2018 Pat (through 12 weeks)

2-10 (0.167), 1,060.67 points

14th place

3.24 expected wins (0.270)

36-120 all-play record (0.231)

+7.8% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 76.15 108.58 Kevin -32.43 Slapped Heartbeat
2 L 70.83 116.15 Derrek -45.32 Slapped Heartbeat
3 L 73.08 107.26 Scott -34.18 Slapped Heartbeat
4 L 67.27 114.06 Rabbit -46.79 Slapped Heartbeat
5 L 46.68 71.44 Babel -24.76 Slapped Heartbeat
6 L 104.47 110.61 Rob -6.14
7 L 100.32 137.51 Pulley -37.19
8 L 102.67 109.24 Ed -6.57
9 L 92.27 140.12 Mike R. -47.85
10 W 123.93 89.59 Richie 34.34
11 W 88.10 75.93 Dave 12.17
12 L 114.90 139.96 Matt -25.06
13 Schertz

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%01234567891011120.0%30.130177514792905141.2307692307692300.0%69.77514792899409141.23076923076923118.3%109.4201183431952798.9923763123566520.0%149.06508875739644141.2307692307692330.0%188.71005917159763141.2307692307692340.0%228.35502958579883141.2307692307692350.0%268.0141.2307692307692360.0%307.64497041420117141.2307692307692370.0%347.28994082840245141.2307692307692380.0%386.93491124260356141.2307692307692390.0%426.5798816568048141.23076923076923100.0%466.2248520710059141.23076923076923110.0%505.8698224852071141.23076923076923120.7%30.130177514792905139.700869977046205.6%69.77514792899409128.2582094426610710.0%109.4201183431952756.75398339394408230.0%149.0650887573964471.99999999999999327.2%188.7100591715976378.52923057370049413.9%228.35502958579883109.2692469752735653.8%268.0132.4262362128710660.5%307.64497041420117140.0698796231325870.0%347.28994082840245141.1770449509386480.0%386.93491124260356141.2301140666415390.0%426.5798816568048141.2307690542543100.0%466.2248520710059141.23076923076923110.0%505.8698224852071141.2307692307692312Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st123456789101112Rank by WeekWeek14th11.746153846153845298.15384615384613114th65.13776223776223298.15384615384613214th118.52937062937062298.15384615384613314th171.92097902097902298.15384615384613414th225.3125874125874298.15384615384613514th278.7041958041958298.15384615384613614th332.09580419580413298.15384615384613714th385.4874125874125298.15384615384613814th438.87902097902094298.15384615384613914th492.27062937062936298.153846153846131014th545.6622377622377298.153846153846131114th599.053846153846298.153846153846131214th11.746153846153845298.15384615384613114th65.13776223776223298.15384615384613214th118.52937062937062298.15384615384613314th171.92097902097902298.15384615384613414th225.3125874125874298.15384615384613514th278.7041958041958298.15384615384613614th332.09580419580413298.15384615384613714th385.4874125874125298.15384615384613814th438.87902097902094298.15384615384613914th492.27062937062936298.153846153846131014th545.6622377622377298.153846153846131114th599.053846153846298.153846153846131214th11.746153846153845298.15384615384613114th65.13776223776223298.15384615384613214th118.52937062937062298.15384615384613314th171.92097902097902298.15384615384613414th225.3125874125874298.15384615384613514th278.7041958041958298.15384615384613614th332.09580419580413298.15384615384613714th385.4874125874125298.15384615384613814th438.87902097902094298.15384615384613914th492.27062937062936298.153846153846131014th545.6622377622377298.153846153846131114th599.053846153846298.1538461538461312Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
5
6
10

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.08 8 Dalvin Cook RB
2.07 21 Kenyan Drake RB
3.08 36 Jarvis Landry WR
4.07 49 Sammy Watkins WR
5.08 64 Alshon Jeffery WR
6.07 77 Marcus Mariota QB
7.08 92 Benjamin Watson TE
8.07 105 Dion Lewis K RB
9.08 120 Kenny Stills K WR
10.07 133 Christian Kirk WR
11.08 148 Jordan Wilkins RB
12.07 161 Philadelphia DEF
13.08 176 Austin Hooper TE
14.07 189 Wil Lutz K
15.08 204 Jaylen Samuels RB
16.07 217 Case Keenum QB

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.0001234567891011120.00025.994871794871795128.791520496279510.00061.12307692307692128.791520496279520.00096.25128205128203128.791520496279530.000131.37948717948717128.791520496279540.000166.5076923076923128.791520496279550.000201.63589743589745128.791520496279560.000236.76410256410256128.791520496279570.000271.89230769230767128.791520496279580.000307.0205128205128128.791520496279590.763342.1487179487179480.69868234245304100.221377.2769230769231114.89350258519953110.000412.4051282051282128.7915204962795120.05225.994871794871795125.5367179602104710.00061.12307692307692128.774158594203120.01896.25128205128203127.657086426563473-0.031131.37948717948717130.739378148383934-0.099166.5076923076923135.0111448635243550.492201.6358974358974597.7650626813918760.417236.76410256410256102.5229626546717770.460271.8923076923076799.8337148436874780.284307.0205128205128110.9216904335919590.000342.1487179487179432.60584418862658100.000377.2769230769231100.99548467411955110.663412.405128205128287.0080714374546712Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week00771313123456789101112027.062179487179485141.230769230769231063.6326923076923141.2307692307692320100.20320512820511141.2307692307692330136.77371794871794141.2307692307692340173.3442307692307141.2307692307692350209.91474358974358141.2307692307692360246.4852564102564141.2307692307692370283.0557692307692141.2307692307692380319.62628205128203141.23076923076923911356.1967948717948582.6508875739645104392.7673076923077119.92899408284023110429.3378205128205141.2307692307692312027.062179487179485141.230769230769231063.6326923076923141.2307692307692320100.20320512820511141.2307692307692330136.77371794871794141.2307692307692340173.3442307692307141.2307692307692352209.91474358974358130.5798816568047366246.4852564102564109.2781065088757474283.0557692307692119.9289940828402383319.62628205128203125.2544378698224890356.1967948717948524.071005917159752100392.767307692307798.62721893491124116429.3378205128205109.2781065088757412All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2018 Pat 2-10 14th 88.39 0.270 21.34 2-11 14th
1 973 2023 Kevin 3-9 14th 83.97 0.271 18.15 4-10 14th
2 967 2018 Dave 4-8 13th 91.36 0.279 19.66 4-9 13th
3 926 2012 Richie 1-11 14th 79.71 0.286 18.36 1-12 14th
4 914 2017 Mike R. 3-9 14th 78.94 0.287 14.49 3-10 14th
5 901 2015 Kevin 3-9 14th 80.90 0.298 15.18 3-10 14th
6 895 2011 Pulley 4-8 11th 88.02 0.317 16.23 5-8 10th
7 895 2024 Derrek 4-8 14th 87.03 0.317 18.23 4-10 14th
8 888 2015 Allen 4-8 12th 80.63 0.308 19.03 4-9 13th
9 881 2021 Rob 2-10 14th 85.79 0.320 16.50 2-12 14th
10 880 2016 Richie 5-7 11th 87.31 0.324 17.91 5-8 12th