2017 Mike R. (through 12 weeks)

3-9 (0.250), 947.24 points

14th place

3.45 expected wins (0.287)

41-115 all-play record (0.263)

+10.9% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 95.23 120.77 Dave -25.54
2 W 88.46 77.41 Allen 11.05
3 L 61.00 104.61 Rabbit -43.61
4 W 84.39 67.10 Richie 17.29
5 L 86.32 129.21 Rob -42.89
6 L 64.55 103.06 Kevin -38.51 Slapped Heartbeat
7 W 94.79 93.31 Pat 1.48
8 L 86.88 139.26 Ed -52.38
9 L 60.97 69.95 Babel -8.98 Slapped Heartbeat
10 L 97.97 102.12 Derrek -4.15
11 L 69.06 110.27 Pulley -41.21
12 L 57.62 74.59 Schertz -16.97 Slapped Heartbeat
13 Matt

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%01234567891011120.0%30.130177514792905141.2307692307692300.0%69.77514792899409141.2307692307692310.0%109.42011834319527141.23076923076923226.4%149.0650887573964472.030.0%188.71005917159763141.2307692307692340.0%228.35502958579883141.2307692307692350.0%268.0141.2307692307692360.0%307.64497041420117141.2307692307692370.0%347.28994082840245141.2307692307692380.0%386.93491124260356141.2307692307692390.0%426.5798816568048141.23076923076923100.0%466.2248520710059141.23076923076923110.0%505.8698224852071141.23076923076923121.2%30.130177514792905138.0595718962500807.1%69.77514792899409122.6056936094216118.1%109.4201183431952793.7182429186951520.0%149.065088757396442.7692307692307736324.3%188.7100591715976377.46018467892743414.8%228.35502958579883102.389161555210956.1%268.0125.3143262415804761.7%307.64497041420117136.8419268732721470.3%347.28994082840245140.4263281296520680.0%386.93491124260356141.1351075815401390.0%426.5798816568048141.22372563670663100.0%466.2248520710059141.23047867488208110.0%505.8698224852071141.2307641104896712Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st123456789101112Rank by WeekWeek7th11.746153846153845140.7573964497041518th65.13776223776223163.24260355029585211th118.52937062937062230.698224852071313th171.92097902097902275.6686390532544412th225.3125874125874253.18343195266272513th278.7041958041958275.6686390532544613th332.09580419580413275.6686390532544713th385.4874125874125275.6686390532544814th438.87902097902094298.15384615384613914th492.27062937062936298.153846153846131014th545.6622377622377298.153846153846131114th599.053846153846298.15384615384613129th11.746153846153845185.727810650887616th65.13776223776223118.27218934911241211th118.52937062937062230.69822485207138th171.92097902097902163.2426035502958549th225.3125874125874185.7278106508876511th278.7041958041958230.698224852071611th332.09580419580413230.698224852071712th385.4874125874125253.18343195266272814th438.87902097902094298.15384615384613914th492.27062937062936298.153846153846131014th545.6622377622377298.153846153846131114th599.053846153846298.15384615384613127th11.746153846153845140.7573964497041518th65.13776223776223163.24260355029585211th118.52937062937062230.698224852071311th171.92097902097902230.698224852071410th225.3125874125874208.2130177514793513th278.7041958041958275.6686390532544613th332.09580419580413275.6686390532544713th385.4874125874125275.6686390532544814th438.87902097902094298.15384615384613914th492.27062937062936298.153846153846131014th545.6622377622377298.153846153846131114th599.053846153846298.1538461538461312Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
3
9
10

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.06 6 A.J. Green WR
2.09 23 Dalvin Cook RB
3.06 34 Greg Olsen TE
4.09 51 Derek Carr QB
5.06 62 Mike Gillislee RB
6.09 79 Jeremy Maclin WR
7.06 90 Kelvin Benjamin K WR
8.09 107 Samaje Perine RB
9.06 118 Terrelle Pryor, Sr. K WR
10.09 135 Jeremy Hill RB
11.06 146 Arizona DEF
12.09 163 Stephen Gostkowski K
13.06 174 Tyler Lockett WR
14.09 191 Marlon Mack RB
15.06 202 DeShone Kizer QB
16.09 219 Tarik Cohen RB

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.0001234567891011120.00025.994871794871795141.2307692307692310.38361.12307692307692114.7202311805069420.00096.25128205128203141.2307692307692330.321131.37948717948717119.0272668893811440.000166.5076923076923141.2307692307692350.000201.63589743589745141.2307692307692360.489236.76410256410256107.3789513178876370.000271.89230769230767141.2307692307692380.000307.0205128205128141.2307692307692390.000342.14871794871794141.23076923076923100.000377.2769230769231141.23076923076923110.000412.4051282051282141.23076923076923120.49725.994871794871795106.8334692228323210.00061.1230769230769288.2096931302446720.09096.25128205128203135.016710800689830.000131.3794871794871796.8237645479930540.352166.5076923076923116.8339742988462650.108201.63589743589745133.7439192455607360.000236.7641025641025673.5271334050060370.359271.89230769230767116.3566774656728780.089307.0205128205128135.0394392213170890.538342.14871794871794104.01514506504657100.143377.2769230769231131.33470665906648110.077412.4051282051282135.869026574213712Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week00771313123456789101112027.062179487179485141.230769230769231663.6326923076923109.2781065088757420100.20320512820511141.2307692307692335136.77371794871794114.6035502958579940173.3442307692307141.2307692307692350209.91474358974358141.2307692307692365246.4852564102564114.6035502958579970283.0557692307692141.2307692307692380319.62628205128203141.2307692307692390356.19679487179485141.23076923076923100392.7673076923077141.23076923076923110429.3378205128205141.2307692307692312727.062179487179485103.952662721893491063.632692307692377.3254437869822521100.20320512820511135.9053254437869830136.7737179487179487.9763313609467445173.3442307692307114.6035502958579950209.91474358974358141.2307692307692360246.485256410256487.9763313609467474283.0557692307692119.9289940828402380319.62628205128203141.2307692307692396356.19679487179485109.27810650887574102392.7673076923077130.57988165680473110429.3378205128205141.2307692307692312All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2017 Mike R. 3-9 14th 78.94 0.287 14.49 3-10 14th
1 988 2012 Richie 1-11 14th 79.71 0.286 18.36 1-12 14th
2 968 2015 Kevin 3-9 14th 80.90 0.298 15.18 3-10 14th
3 943 2015 Allen 4-8 12th 80.63 0.308 19.03 4-9 13th
4 941 2023 Kevin 3-9 14th 83.97 0.271 18.15 4-10 14th
5 923 2018 Dave 4-8 13th 91.36 0.279 19.66 4-9 13th
6 922 2013 Allen 4-8 13th 82.72 0.318 14.91 4-9 14th
7 914 2018 Pat 2-10 14th 88.39 0.270 21.34 2-11 14th
8 904 2021 Rob 2-10 14th 85.79 0.320 16.50 2-12 14th
9 901 2011 Pulley 4-8 11th 88.02 0.317 16.23 5-8 10th
10 901 2024 Derrek 4-8 14th 87.03 0.317 18.23 4-10 14th