2019 Pat (through 5 weeks)

3-2 (0.600), 534.65 points (106.93 average)

6th place

2.82 expected wins (0.564)

36-29 all-play record (0.554)

+0.2% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 102.27 115.23 Rob -12.96
2 W 87.25 75.97 Kevin 11.28
3 L 95.86 145.86 Pulley -50.00
4 W 131.67 92.84 Babel 38.83 Team Blangums
5 W 117.60 94.00 Ed 23.60
6 Mike R.
7 Richie
8 Scott
9 Dave
10 Derrek
11 Matt
12 Rabbit
13 Schertz

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%32.0%32.0%0123450.0%73.12820512820512141.2307692307692300.0%191.07692307692304141.2307692307692310.0%309.02564102564105141.23076923076923238.6%426.97435897435972.030.0%544.9230769230769141.2307692307692340.0%662.8717948717949141.2307692307692350.6%73.12820512820512140.1408408793913307.8%191.07692307692304127.25630918440297128.7%309.0256410256410589.7462352617215820.0%426.9743589743592.7692307692307736320.7%544.9230769230769104.1507913010250543.7%662.8717948717949134.654054803038465Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345Rank by WeekWeek9th11.746153846153845185.7278106508876110th158.5730769230769208.213017751479329th305.4185.727810650887635th452.22692307692395.786982248520744th599.05384615384673.30177514792899510th11.746153846153845208.2130177514793110th158.5730769230769208.2130177514793211th305.4230.69822485207136th452.226923076923118.2721893491124146th599.053846153846118.2721893491124159th11.746153846153845185.7278106508876110th158.5730769230769208.2130177514793210th305.4208.213017751479335th452.22692307692395.786982248520746th599.053846153846118.272189349112415Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.06 6 Michael Thomas WR
2.09 23 Leonard Fournette RB
3.06 34 David Montgomery RB
4.09 51 Josh Gordon WR
5.06 62 Carson Wentz QB
6.09 79 Sterling Shepard WR
7.06 90 David Njoku TE
8.09 107 Nick Chubb K RB
9.06 118 Christian Kirk K WR
10.09 135 Mitchell Trubisky QB
11.06 146 Nyheim Hines RB
12.09 163 Jordan Reed TE
13.06 174 DaeSean Hamilton WR
14.09 191 Hollywood Brown WR
15.06 202 New Orleans DEF
16.09 219 Mike Badgley K

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123450.00073.66153846153847141.2307692307692310.268196.43076923076924122.691845117450820.000319.20000000000005141.2307692307692330.885441.9692307692307679.9873633663948740.755564.738461538461688.9887166763552750.51073.66153846153847105.925169781668110.000196.43076923076924104.1529210041323720.402319.20000000000005113.3960670679254930.000441.9692307692307618.74395750202053540.000564.738461538461636.746664121941295Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0077131312345075.73846153846152141.2307692307692316201.96923076923076109.2781065088757420328.2141.23076923076923313454.4307692307691672.047580.6615384615385103.952662721893495575.73846153846152114.6035502958579910201.9692307692307677.3254437869822525328.2114.6035502958579930454.430769230769162.769230769230773640580.661538461538566.674556213017755All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % StDev Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2019 Pat 3-2 6th 106.93 0.564 15.86 6-7 9th
1 992 2011 Allen 4-1 1st 107.16 0.563 18.46 7-6 5th 5th place
2 975 2024 Ed 3-2 5th 104.38 0.559 18.38 6-8 9th
3 973 2020 Richie 4-1 2nd 109.27 0.568 11.12 7-6 7th
4 972 2018 Ed 2-3 7th 109.55 0.558 18.60 6-7 9th
5 969 2026 Ed 1-4 11th 105.61 0.556 10.33
6 968 2012 Allen 2-3 7th 107.59 0.567 26.92 6-7 8th
7 967 2026 Rabbit 2-3 7th 106.73 0.574 10.01
8 965 2013 Schertz 3-2 6th 105.00 0.576 14.00 6-7 9th
9 961 2009 Matt 4-1 2nd 100.34 0.565 10.63 9-4 2nd Blingabowl II champion
10 958 2024 Babel 4-1 3rd 105.60 0.575 23.03 9-5 4th 4th place