2011 Allen (through 5 weeks)

4-1 (0.800), 535.81 points

1st place

2.76 expected wins (0.552)

33-22 all-play record (0.600)

-78.1% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 120.32 62.28 Derrek 58.04
2 W 114.87 70.57 Matt 44.30
3 L 72.00 93.59 Pat -21.59 Slapped Heartbeat
4 W 122.44 76.34 Pulley 46.10
5 W 106.18 84.89 Rob 21.29
6 Mike R.
7 Babel
8 Kevin
9 Dave
10 Rabbit
11 Ed
12 Babel
13 Derrek

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%10.0%10.0%20.0%20.0%30.0%30.0%40.0%40.0%0123450.0%53.25641025641026141.2307692307692300.0%139.15384615384616141.2307692307692310.0%225.05128205128204141.2307692307692320.0%310.94871794871796141.23076923076923321.6%396.84615384615387104.7624224591247640.0%482.7435897435898141.2307692307692350.8%53.25641025641026139.8102297219403708.1%139.15384615384616127.61844265100416127.9%225.0512820512820494.12314667485678241.0%310.9487179487179672.030.0%396.8461538461538768.2940756874803240.5%482.7435897435898140.340601759485255Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345Rank by WeekWeek2nd11.74615384615384532.4195804195804312nd158.573076923076932.4195804195804327th305.4165.286713286713334th452.22692307692385.5664335664335744th599.05384615384685.5664335664335752nd11.74615384615384532.4195804195804312nd158.573076923076932.4195804195804326th305.4138.7132867132867533rd452.22692307692358.99300699300701541st599.0538461538465.84615384615386852nd11.74615384615384532.4195804195804313rd158.573076923076958.99300699300701528th305.4191.860139860139935th452.226923076923112.1398601398601646th599.053846153846138.713286713286755Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.09 9 Drew Brees QB
2.04 16 Steven Jackson RB
3.09 33 Brandon Lloyd WR
4.04 40 Jason Witten TE
5.09 57 Jonathan Stewart RB
6.04 64 Pierre Thomas RB
7.09 81 Steve Smith, Sr. WR
8.04 88 Santonio Holmes K WR
9.09 105 Willis McGahee RB
10.04 112 New York DEF
11.09 129 Robert Meachem WR
12.04 136 Matt Cassel QB
13.09 153 Chris Cooley TE
14.04 160 Marshawn Lynch K RB
15.09 177 Robbie Gould K
16.04 184 Montario Hardesty RB

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123450.74850.5846153846153889.4523965856861310.680134.892307692307794.1571796555381620.000219.2141.2307692307692330.767303.5076923076922588.156876609929840.541387.8153846153846103.7485731602606250.00050.5846153846153837.6740239406030510.000134.892307692307747.0835900803070920.025219.2139.5003788070104630.000303.5076923076922535.08298398909036640.000387.815384615384666.266377089752015Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week00661111123451052.66153846153845678.293706293706316140.43076923076922103.4685314685314720228.20000000000002141.23076923076923310315.969230769230778.293706293706347403.738461538461597.174825174825175052.66153846153845615.3566433566433610140.4307692307692265.7062937062937220228.20000000000002141.2307692307692330315.969230769230715.3566433566433640403.738461538461553.118881118881125All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2011 Allen 4-1 1st 107.16 0.552 18.46 7-6 5th 5th place
1 978 2014 Rabbit 4-1 2nd 102.58 0.550 18.22 10-3 1st 2nd place
2 974 2021 Kevin 4-1 5th 110.78 0.552 24.00 5-9 9th
3 972 2018 Ed 2-3 7th 109.55 0.561 18.60 6-7 9th
4 968 2019 Derrek 3-2 7th 104.72 0.554 9.36 7-6 6th 3rd place
5 967 2024 Ed 3-2 5th 104.38 0.563 18.38 6-8 9th
6 965 2019 Pat 3-2 6th 106.93 0.566 15.86 6-7 9th
7 961 2022 Derrek 3-2 6th 103.53 0.544 22.20 8-6 4th 4th place
8 959 2023 Rob 3-2 6th 103.52 0.550 7.64 8-6 5th Blingabowl XVI champion
9 954 2020 Scott 3-2 6th 105.87 0.536 14.84 7-6 8th
10 949 2024 Babel 4-1 3rd 105.60 0.570 23.03 9-5 4th