2012 Allen (through 5 weeks)

2-3 (0.400), 537.95 points

7th place

2.84 expected wins (0.569)

34-31 all-play record (0.523)

+6.7% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 81.76 87.05 Ed -5.29
2 W 147.72 108.53 Pat 39.19 Team Blangums
3 L 86.43 100.96 Pulley -14.53
4 W 131.94 101.92 Rob 30.02
5 L 90.10 101.09 Rabbit -10.99
6 Kevin
7 Matt
8 Mike R.
9 Babel
10 Schertz
11 Dave
12 Richie
13 Derrek

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%10.0%10.0%20.0%20.0%30.0%30.0%40.0%40.0%0123450.0%53.25641025641026141.2307692307692300.0%139.15384615384616141.23076923076923133.9%225.0512820512820486.3752950625514320.0%310.94871794871796141.2307692307692330.0%396.84615384615387141.2307692307692340.0%482.7435897435898141.2307692307692350.0%53.25641025641026141.1980205568324602.5%139.15384615384616137.2234520545962710.0%225.0512820512820431.519820894333634242.8%310.9487179487179672.0318.3%396.84615384615387111.6226145772382142.6%482.7435897435898137.09676605953685Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345Rank by WeekWeek13th11.746153846153845275.668639053254414th158.573076923076973.3017751479289924th305.473.3017751479289934th452.22692307692373.3017751479289945th599.05384615384695.7869822485207513th11.746153846153845275.668639053254414th158.573076923076973.3017751479289928th305.4163.2426035502958535th452.22692307692395.786982248520747th599.053846153846140.75739644970415513th11.746153846153845275.668639053254411st158.57307692307695.84615384615381124th305.473.3017751479289934th452.22692307692373.3017751479289945th599.05384615384695.78698224852075Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.10 10 Drew Brees K QB
2.05 19 Wes Welker WR
3.10 38 Brandon Lloyd WR
4.05 47 Willis McGahee RB
5.10 66 DeAngelo Williams RB
6.05 75 Santonio Holmes WR
7.10 94 Green Bay DEF
8.05 103 Felix Jones RB
9.10 122 Brent Celek TE
10.05 131 LeGarrette Blount RB
11.10 150 Jake Locker QB
12.05 159 Marshawn Lynch K RB
13.10 178 David Akers K
14.05 187 Jerome Simpson WR
15.10 206 Mike Tolbert RB
16.05 215 Jonathan Dwyer RB

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123450.00050.58461538461538141.2307692307692310.991134.892307692307772.641753190998120.000219.2141.2307692307692330.934303.5076923076922576.5737699595217540.000387.8153846153846141.2307692307692350.24050.58461538461538124.6102869553296310.000134.89230769230774.05273715122697820.313219.2119.530484945127130.000303.5076923076922511.91677068827428340.367387.8153846153846115.837116593190135Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0077131312345052.661538461538456141.23076923076923113140.4307692307692272.020228.20000000000002141.23076923076923311315.969230769230782.650887573964540403.7384615384615141.230769230769235152.661538461538456135.9053254437869810140.430769230769222.769230769230773627228.20000000000002103.9526627218934930315.969230769230724.07100591715975242403.7384615384615130.579881656804735All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2012 Allen 2-3 7th 107.59 0.569 26.92 6-7 8th
1 982 2024 Babel 4-1 3rd 105.60 0.570 23.03 9-5 4th
2 970 2019 Pat 3-2 6th 106.93 0.566 15.86 6-7 9th
3 963 2014 Matt 2-3 9th 106.08 0.582 23.98 7-6 6th 4th place
4 961 2013 Dave 2-3 10th 107.43 0.585 23.54 7-6 5th 4th place
5 960 2018 Ed 2-3 7th 109.55 0.561 18.60 6-7 9th
6 960 2020 Richie 4-1 2nd 109.27 0.568 11.12 7-6 7th
7 958 2024 Ed 3-2 5th 104.38 0.563 18.38 6-8 9th
8 956 2013 Schertz 3-2 6th 105.00 0.573 14.00 6-7 9th
9 948 2021 Kevin 4-1 5th 110.78 0.552 24.00 5-9 9th
10 948 2011 Allen 4-1 1st 107.16 0.552 18.46 7-6 5th 5th place