2021 Pat (through 10 weeks)

1-9 (0.100), 945.34 points

14th place

4.20 expected wins (0.420)

52-78 all-play record (0.400)

+30.5% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 111.39 108.98 Mike R. 2.41
2 L 70.04 103.20 Dave -33.16 Slapped Heartbeat
3 L 90.18 107.27 Rabbit -17.09
4 L 122.50 133.41 Mike R. -10.91
5 L 107.40 108.34 Pulley -0.94
6 L 91.28 125.74 Ed -34.46
7 L 84.72 106.59 Babel -21.87
8 L 82.78 97.21 Rob -14.43
9 L 91.70 101.27 Matt -9.57
10 L 93.35 106.84 Derrek -13.49
11 Kevin
12 Scott
13 Richie
14 Schertz

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%0123456789100.0%33.73426573426574141.2307692307692301.9%80.5874125874126136.6674265533033610.0%127.44055944055944141.2307692307692320.0%174.29370629370626141.2307692307692330.0%221.14685314685315141.2307692307692340.0%268.0141.2307692307692350.0%314.8531468531468141.2307692307692360.0%361.7062937062937141.2307692307692370.0%408.5594405594406141.2307692307692380.0%455.41258741258747141.2307692307692390.0%502.2657342657343141.23076923076923100.1%33.73426573426574140.8623631789962200.0%80.5874125874126132.104083875837518.6%127.44055944055944119.92903572069096220.6%174.2937062937062690.5701431944365328.1%221.1468531468531572.0423.5%268.083.35765373795853512.3%314.8531468531468110.8792947671454864.0%361.7062937062937131.320178512363270.8%408.5594405594406139.3101619586630680.1%455.41258741258747141.0348687095659690.0%502.2657342657343141.2231811534821310Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678910Rank by WeekWeek4th11.74615384615384573.30177514792899110th77.0025641025641208.2130177514793211th142.2589743589743230.69822485207138th207.5153846153846163.2426035502958549th272.77179487179484185.7278106508876511th338.0282051282051230.698224852071612th403.28461538461534253.18343195266272711th468.5410256410256230.698224852071811th533.7974358974359230.698224852071911th599.053846153846230.698224852071104th11.74615384615384573.3017751479289918th77.0025641025641163.24260355029585210th142.2589743589743208.2130177514793310th207.5153846153846208.2130177514793410th272.77179487179484208.2130177514793512th338.0282051282051253.18343195266272612th403.28461538461534253.18343195266272713th468.5410256410256275.6686390532544813th533.7974358974359275.6686390532544914th599.053846153846298.15384615384613104th11.74615384615384573.30177514792899110th77.0025641025641208.2130177514793211th142.2589743589743230.69822485207138th207.5153846153846163.2426035502958549th272.77179487179484185.7278106508876511th338.0282051282051230.698224852071612th403.28461538461534253.18343195266272711th468.5410256410256230.698224852071811th533.7974358974359230.698224852071911th599.053846153846230.69822485207110Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
8

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.06 6 Tyreek Hill WR
2.09 23 Chris Carson RB
3.06 34 Miles Sanders RB
4.09 51 Kenny Golladay WR
5.06 62 Myles Gaskin RB
6.09 79 Michael Thomas WR
7.06 90 Dallas Goedert TE
8.09 107 Darrell Henderson, Jr. K RB
9.06 118 Justin Herbert K QB
10.09 135 Mike Gesicki TE
11.06 146 Washington DEF
12.09 163 Gabe Davis WR
13.06 174 Ryan Succop K
14.09 191 Jameis Winston QB
15.06 202 Dyami Brown WR
16.09 219 Mac Jones QB

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456789100.70029.50769230769230692.739277957761210.00071.66153846153847141.2307692307692320.000113.8153846153846141.2307692307692330.000155.96923076923073141.2307692307692340.000198.12307692307692141.2307692307692350.000240.27692307692305141.2307692307692360.000282.4307692307692141.2307692307692370.000324.58461538461535141.2307692307692380.000366.73846153846154141.2307692307692390.000408.89230769230767141.23076923076923100.00029.50769230769230644.24778668475319410.08171.66153846153847135.5937150505436620.339113.8153846153846117.7291764374824130.840155.9692307692307383.0683349808431940.641198.1230769230769296.8644863016169650.355240.27692307692305116.6268480370581560.257282.4307692307692123.4453742252494770.227324.58461538461535125.5022962920205280.363366.73846153846154116.115458572943890.393408.89230769230767114.047172295859110Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week00771313123456789101030.71923076923076287.976331360946741074.60384615384615141.2307692307692320118.48846153846154141.2307692307692330162.3730769230769141.2307692307692340206.2576923076923141.2307692307692350250.14230769230767141.2307692307692360294.026923076923141.2307692307692370337.9115384615384141.2307692307692380381.79615384615386141.2307692307692390425.6807692307692141.2307692307692310030.71923076923076234.721893491124251074.60384615384615141.2307692307692324118.48846153846154119.92899408284023310162.373076923076987.9763313609467444206.2576923076923119.9289940828402354250.14230769230767119.9289940828402362294.026923076923130.5798816568047374337.9115384615384119.9289940828402387381.79615384615386103.9526627218934997425.6807692307692103.9526627218934910All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2021 Pat 1-9 14th 94.53 0.420 14.51 3-11 12th
1 984 2014 Ed 4-6 9th 93.03 0.424 15.49 6-7 8th
2 977 2016 Babel 5-5 9th 94.31 0.412 17.69 7-6 6th 6th place
3 973 2019 Babel 6-4 6th 97.71 0.423 17.87 8-5 5th 5th place
4 971 2012 Pulley 4-6 9th 91.66 0.427 13.12 4-9 12th
5 968 2009 Pat 5-5 9th 95.57 0.415 24.17 6-7 8th
6 957 2018 Schertz 4-6 10th 101.55 0.425 16.10 6-7 10th
7 947 2012 Babel 4-6 8th 92.72 0.441 16.32 6-7 6th 2nd place
8 945 2008 Katie 4-6 9th 85.36 0.413 17.16 5-8 10th
9 945 2019 Scott 3-7 13th 95.18 0.438 22.46 4-9 14th
10 944 2008 Mike R. 3-7 11th 86.50 0.412 19.08 5-8 8th