2018 Babel (through 10 weeks)

3-7 (0.300), 1,010.22 points

13th place

4.35 expected wins (0.435)

54-76 all-play record (0.415)

+0.4% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 99.69 103.70 Rob -4.01
2 L 91.45 109.71 Schertz -18.26
3 W 116.13 87.17 Pulley 28.96
4 L 124.69 135.93 Richie -11.24
5 W 71.44 46.68 Pat 24.76
6 L 83.98 115.97 Scott -31.99 Slapped Heartbeat
7 L 104.27 149.12 Mike R. -44.85
8 W 119.28 86.90 Dave 32.38
9 L 96.25 96.36 Rabbit -0.11
10 L 103.04 143.91 Matt -40.87
11 Kevin
12 Derrek
13 Ed

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%0123456789100.0%33.73426573426574141.2307692307692300.0%80.5874125874126141.2307692307692310.0%127.44055944055944141.23076923076923218.3%174.2937062937062695.4771578827849830.0%221.14685314685315141.2307692307692340.0%268.0141.2307692307692350.0%314.8531468531468141.2307692307692360.0%361.7062937062937141.2307692307692370.0%408.5594405594406141.2307692307692380.0%455.41258741258747141.2307692307692390.0%502.2657342657343141.23076923076923100.1%33.73426573426574140.9214795607698501.5%80.5874125874126137.5671792775060317.1%127.44055944055944123.50139747547320.0%174.2937062937062649.72354653480073327.6%221.1468531468531572.0425.5%268.077.41850491935476514.3%314.8531468531468105.3355771007493664.7%361.7062937062937129.3498055201267270.8%408.5594405594406139.1342754712410480.1%455.41258741258747141.078875567757190.0%502.2657342657343141.2299517912755410Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678910Rank by WeekWeek7th11.746153846153845140.75739644970415110th77.0025641025641208.213017751479329th142.2589743589743185.727810650887637th207.5153846153846140.75739644970415410th272.77179487179484208.2130177514793512th338.0282051282051253.18343195266272611th403.28461538461534230.698224852071710th468.5410256410256208.213017751479389th533.7974358974359185.727810650887699th599.053846153846185.7278106508876108th11.746153846153845163.24260355029585110th77.0025641025641208.2130177514793210th142.2589743589743208.2130177514793311th207.5153846153846230.698224852071411th272.77179487179484230.698224852071512th338.0282051282051253.18343195266272612th403.28461538461534253.18343195266272710th468.5410256410256208.2130177514793812th533.7974358974359253.18343195266272913th599.053846153846275.6686390532544107th11.746153846153845140.75739644970415110th77.0025641025641208.2130177514793210th142.2589743589743208.213017751479338th207.5153846153846163.24260355029585411th272.77179487179484230.698224852071512th338.0282051282051253.18343195266272611th403.28461538461534230.698224852071710th468.5410256410256208.2130177514793810th533.7974358974359208.2130177514793911th599.053846153846230.69822485207110Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.13 13 Mike Evans WR
2.02 16 Leonard Fournette K RB
3.13 41 Marshawn Lynch RB
4.02 44 Michael Crabtree WR
5.13 69 Delanie Walker TE
6.02 72 Kareem Hunt K RB
7.13 97 Jared Goff QB
8.02 100 D.J. Moore WR
9.13 125 Jacksonville DEF
10.02 128 Anthony Miller WR
11.13 153 Derek Carr QB
12.02 156 Charles Clay TE
13.13 181 Theo Riddick RB
14.02 184 Doug Martin RB
15.13 209 Chris Boswell K
16.02 212 Baker Mayfield QB

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456789100.00029.507692307692306141.2307692307692310.00071.66153846153847141.2307692307692320.688113.815384615384693.6221147532703530.000155.96923076923073141.2307692307692340.006198.12307692307692140.8290443961816450.000240.27692307692305141.2307692307692360.000282.4307692307692141.2307692307692370.722324.5846153846153591.2469947977170680.000366.73846153846154141.2307692307692390.000408.89230769230767141.23076923076923100.41129.507692307692306112.7708091317743310.27271.66153846153847122.430387898378720.000113.815384615384646.0134602757714930.771155.9692307692307387.8263674933077440.000198.12307692307692140.4273195615940350.159240.27692307692305130.1921435426031660.491282.4307692307692107.2250744987120570.000324.5846153846153541.2632203646648980.358366.73846153846154116.4187206424566990.469408.89230769230767108.7933355219960610Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0077131312345678910030.719230769230762141.230769230769231074.60384615384615141.23076923076923212118.4884615384615477.3254437869822530162.3730769230769141.2307692307692341206.2576923076923135.9053254437869850250.14230769230767141.2307692307692360294.026923076923141.23076923076923710337.911538461538487.9763313609467480381.79615384615386141.2307692307692390425.6807692307692141.2307692307692310730.719230769230762103.952662721893491274.60384615384615130.5798816568047320118.4884615384615413.4201183431952737162.3730769230769103.9526627218934940206.2576923076923130.5798816568047350250.14230769230767141.2307692307692367294.026923076923103.9526627218934970337.911538461538434.7218934911242585381.79615384615386114.6035502958579993425.6807692307692125.2544378698224810All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2018 Babel 3-7 13th 101.02 0.435 15.55 4-9 12th
1 978 2018 Schertz 4-6 10th 101.55 0.425 16.10 6-7 10th
2 978 2018 Rabbit 5-5 7th 102.06 0.429 19.20 7-6 7th
3 961 2023 Schertz 4-6 11th 97.45 0.440 22.47 6-8 9th
4 960 2019 Dave 4-6 11th 98.17 0.449 15.89 6-7 10th
5 959 2019 Babel 6-4 6th 97.71 0.423 17.87 8-5 5th 5th place
6 956 2019 Scott 3-7 13th 95.18 0.438 22.46 4-9 14th
7 953 2012 Babel 4-6 8th 92.72 0.441 16.32 6-7 6th 2nd place
8 946 2019 Mike R. 6-4 5th 99.07 0.449 24.26 8-5 4th 4th place
9 946 2014 Ed 4-6 9th 93.03 0.424 15.49 6-7 8th
10 943 2019 Pat 5-5 8th 99.42 0.459 16.38 6-7 9th