2023 Pat (through 8 weeks)

3-5 (0.375), 799.09 points (99.89 average)

10th place

4.04 expected wins (0.505)

50-54 all-play record (0.481)

+34.8% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 56.18 120.90 Rabbit -64.72 Slapped Heartbeat
2 W 99.99 88.68 Derrek 11.31
3 W 132.84 125.95 Matt 6.89
4 L 93.83 103.39 Pulley -9.56
5 L 107.37 118.00 Scott -10.63
6 W 90.72 86.28 Babel 4.44
7 L 110.68 144.61 Dave -33.93
8 L 107.48 129.08 Rabbit -21.60
9 Kevin
10 Rob
11 Mike R.
12 Richie
13 Ed
14 Schertz

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%0123456780.0%38.940170940170944141.2307692307692300.0%96.20512820512818141.2307692307692310.0%153.47008547008548141.23076923076923222.3%210.7350427350427392.3651428281678530.0%268.0141.2307692307692340.0%325.2649572649573141.2307692307692350.0%382.52991452991455141.2307692307692360.0%439.79487179487177141.2307692307692370.0%497.05982905982904141.2307692307692380.1%38.940170940170944141.0361943036210701.5%96.20512820512818137.8480016370287418.5%153.47008547008548122.6189089134823320.0%210.7350427350427343.499516425566455331.6%268.071.99999999999999424.6%325.264957264957387.3098916799939259.8%382.52991452991455119.6487692658676361.6%439.79487179487177137.7843212197771570.0%497.05982905982904141.230769230769238Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678Rank by WeekWeek14th11.746153846153845298.15384615384613110th95.64725274725272208.213017751479328th179.54835164835166163.2426035502958538th263.44945054945055163.2426035502958548th347.3505494505494163.2426035502958557th431.2516483516483140.7573964497041566th515.1527472527472118.2721893491124176th599.053846153846118.27218934911241814th11.746153846153845298.15384615384613110th95.64725274725272208.213017751479327th179.54835164835166140.7573964497041538th263.44945054945055163.2426035502958549th347.3505494505494185.727810650887658th431.2516483516483163.2426035502958569th515.1527472527472185.7278106508876710th599.053846153846208.2130177514793814th11.746153846153845298.15384615384613112th95.64725274725272253.1834319526627229th179.54835164835166185.727810650887639th263.44945054945055185.727810650887649th347.3505494505494185.727810650887658th431.2516483516483163.2426035502958567th515.1527472527472140.7573964497041578th599.053846153846163.242603550295858Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.09 9 Davante Adams WR
2.06 20 Ja'Marr Chase K WR
3.09 37 Lamar Jackson QB
4.06 48 Alvin Kamara RB
5.09 65 D'Andre Swift RB
6.06 76 A.J. Dillon RB
7.09 93 Chris Olave K WR
8.06 104 Dalton Kincaid TE
9.09 121 Dalton Schultz TE
10.06 132 Kenneth Gainwell RB
11.09 149 Devin Singletary RB
12.06 160 K.J. Osborn WR
13.09 177 Matthew Stafford QB
14.06 188 New England DEF
15.09 205 Jason Myers K
16.06 216 Josh Downs WR

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456780.00034.776923076923076140.719531147317110.49087.46923076923076106.8990143624451720.909140.1615384615384478.0120004805493630.000192.85384615384618140.719531147317140.000245.54615384615386140.719531147317150.342298.2384615384615117.1561097692428360.000350.93076923076916140.719531147317170.000403.6230769230769140.71953114731718-0.00434.776923076923076140.9751501890431810.00087.4692307692307673.0784975775732320.000140.1615384615384415.30446981378162330.409192.85384615384618112.4833454254849740.610245.5461538461538698.6112059513202250.000298.238461538461593.5926883911685660.670350.9307692307691694.4786143893441470.616403.623076923076998.221202076904768Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0077131312345678036.20480769230769141.230769230769231591.06057692307692114.60355029585799212145.9163461538461577.3254437869822530200.77211538461538141.2307692307692340255.6278846153846141.2307692307692357310.48365384615386103.9526627218934960365.3394230769231141.2307692307692370420.1951923076923141.230769230769238036.20480769230769141.230769230769231091.0605769230769287.9763313609467420145.9163461538461513.4201183431952735200.77211538461538114.6035502958579947255.6278846153846103.9526627218934950310.4836538461538666.67455621301775610365.339423076923187.9763313609467474420.1951923076923119.928994082840238All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2023 Pat 3-5 10th 99.89 0.505 20.45 5-9 11th
1 988 2022 Kevin 4-4 8th 99.30 0.501 20.03 6-8 12th
2 985 2020 Richie 4-4 8th 99.78 0.500 18.97 7-6 7th
3 982 2011 Ed 5-3 4th 101.16 0.502 17.06 9-4 1st 3rd place
4 980 2023 Dave 4-4 7th 102.73 0.504 22.91 6-8 10th
5 978 2011 Dave 3-5 10th 100.07 0.511 25.96 3-10 12th
6 975 2011 Matt 4-4 7th 99.50 0.498 16.72 7-6 6th 2nd place
7 974 2022 Rabbit 5-3 3rd 99.83 0.511 28.07 8-6 5th 5th place
8 973 2017 Ed 3-5 8th 95.19 0.502 20.17 4-9 13th
9 972 2019 Pat 4-4 8th 103.21 0.508 15.66 6-7 9th
10 972 2020 Rabbit 4-4 6th 103.79 0.503 23.84 6-7 10th