2023 Dave (through 8 weeks)

4-4 (0.500), 821.82 points (102.73 average)

7th place

4.03 expected wins (0.504)

50-54 all-play record (0.481)

-10.7% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 83.70 63.20 Derrek 20.50
2 L 85.05 93.59 Ed -8.54
3 W 120.41 72.32 Scott 48.09
4 L 71.98 109.71 Rob -37.73
5 L 87.27 101.66 Babel -14.39
6 W 113.32 86.17 Rabbit 27.15
7 W 144.61 110.68 Pat 33.93 Team Blangums
8 L 115.48 149.12 Pulley -33.64
9 Mike R.
10 Derrek
11 Matt
12 Schertz
13 Richie
14 Kevin

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%32.0%32.0%0123456780.0%53.470085470085465141.2307692307692300.0%132.1025641025641141.2307692307692310.0%210.73504273504273141.2307692307692320.0%289.36752136752136141.23076923076923336.2%368.072.040.0%446.6324786324787141.2307692307692350.0%525.2649572649573141.2307692307692360.0%603.897435897436141.2307692307692370.0%682.5299145299145141.2307692307692380.0%53.470085470085465141.1815585059249800.8%132.1025641025641139.6666089862596316.8%210.73504273504273128.28289715295267223.3%289.3675213675213696.7070717932666630.0%368.02.7692307692307736424.2%446.632478632478794.9068817220316657.5%525.2649572649573126.8478366095542961.0%603.897435897436139.2511738105362770.0%682.5299145299145141.142029768314738Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678Rank by WeekWeek8th11.746153846153845163.24260355029585112th95.64725274725272253.1834319526627229th179.54835164835166185.7278106508876311th263.44945054945055230.698224852071412th347.3505494505494253.18343195266272511th431.2516483516483230.69822485207167th515.1527472527472140.7573964497041577th599.053846153846140.7573964497041586th11.746153846153845118.2721893491124118th95.64725274725272163.2426035502958526th179.54835164835166118.2721893491124139th263.44945054945055185.7278106508876410th347.3505494505494208.2130177514793510th431.2516483516483208.213017751479366th515.1527472527472118.2721893491124177th599.053846153846140.7573964497041588th11.746153846153845163.2426035502958519th95.64725274725272185.727810650887628th179.54835164835166163.24260355029585311th263.44945054945055230.698224852071411th347.3505494505494230.698224852071511th431.2516483516483230.69822485207166th515.1527472527472118.2721893491124176th599.053846153846118.272189349112418Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
7
8

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.12 12 Travis Kelce K TE
2.03 17 A.J. Brown K WR
3.12 40 Joe Burrow QB
4.03 45 James Conner RB
5.12 68 Michael Pittman, Jr. WR
6.03 73 Javonte Williams RB
7.12 96 Zay Flowers WR
8.03 101 Darnell Mooney WR
9.12 124 Jeff Wilson, Jr. RB
10.03 129 Justin Tucker K
11.12 152 Philadelphia DEF
12.03 157 Derek Carr QB
13.12 180 Clyde Edwards-Helaire RB
14.03 185 Van Jefferson WR
15.12 208 Leonard Fournette RB
16.03 213 Jalin Hyatt WR

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456780.21650.642307692307696126.2965847834709610.000127.37307692307691141.2307692307692320.803204.1038461538461585.6419149167994130.000280.8346153846154141.2307692307692340.000357.56538461538463141.2307692307692350.709434.2961538461538692.1465272359105360.955511.026923076923175.1079668022661570.000587.7576923076922141.2307692307692380.00050.642307692307696111.362400336172710.244127.37307692307691124.327265670188720.000204.1038461538461530.0530606028295930.077280.8346153846154135.9037101864138340.283357.56538461538463121.6491823849493150.000434.2961538461538643.06228524105182560.000511.02692307692318.9851643737630770.745587.757692307692289.649095800332288Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0077131312345678652.07019230769231109.2781065088757410130.96442307692305141.2307692307692329209.8586538461538693.3017751479289930288.75288461538463141.2307692307692340367.6471153846154141.23076923076923511446.541346153846282.6508875739645613525.43557692307772.070604.3298076923076141.230769230769238052.0701923076923177.3254437869822511130.96442307692305135.9053254437869820209.8586538461538645.37278106508874531288.75288461538463135.9053254437869842367.6471153846154130.5798816568047350446.541346153846224.07100591715975260525.4355769230772.769230769230773677604.3298076923076103.952662721893498All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2023 Dave 4-4 7th 102.73 0.504 22.91 6-8 10th
1 991 2020 Rabbit 4-4 6th 103.79 0.503 23.84 6-7 10th
2 983 2020 Matt 4-4 7th 102.99 0.496 23.38 8-5 2nd 2nd place
3 981 2023 Pat 3-5 10th 99.89 0.505 20.45 5-9 11th
4 979 2011 Ed 5-3 4th 101.16 0.502 17.06 9-4 1st 3rd place
5 979 2011 Kevin 4-4 6th 104.56 0.505 29.13 6-7 8th
6 978 2024 Richie 4-4 6th 105.04 0.503 28.33 8-6 5th 5th place
7 976 2019 Pat 4-4 8th 103.21 0.508 15.66 6-7 9th
8 974 2022 Kevin 4-4 8th 99.30 0.501 20.03 6-8 12th
9 972 2020 Richie 4-4 8th 99.78 0.500 18.97 7-6 7th
10 970 2011 Dave 3-5 10th 100.07 0.511 25.96 3-10 12th