2011 Dave (through 8 weeks)

3-5 (0.375), 800.59 points

10th place

4.09 expected wins (0.511)

40-48 all-play record (0.455)

-2.1% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 95.82 71.61 Pulley 24.21
2 L 113.62 145.29 Mike R. -31.67
3 L 81.20 113.31 Kevin -32.11
4 L 114.74 119.40 Rabbit -4.66
5 L 92.26 108.41 Derrek -16.15
6 W 134.36 70.39 Pat 63.97 Team Blangums
7 W 122.26 70.65 Rob 51.61
8 L 46.33 108.65 Babel -62.32 Slapped Heartbeat
9 Allen
10 Ed
11 Matt
12 Rob
13 Kevin

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%32.0%32.0%0123456780.0%38.940170940170944141.2307692307692300.0%96.20512820512818141.2307692307692310.0%153.47008547008548141.23076923076923221.1%210.7350427350427399.0737993768304130.0%268.0141.2307692307692340.0%325.2649572649573141.2307692307692350.0%382.52991452991455141.2307692307692360.0%439.79487179487177141.2307692307692370.0%497.05982905982904141.2307692307692380.0%38.940170940170944141.1431968299408500.9%96.20512820512818139.4820318840738816.3%153.47008547008548128.642352327658520.0%210.7350427350427356.916829522891575334.7%268.072.0426.8%325.264957264957387.7849351180545559.1%382.52991452991455123.1021455063394761.0%439.79487179487177139.177945725783570.0%497.05982905982904141.230769230769238Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678Rank by WeekWeek8th11.746153846153845191.860139860139918th95.64725274725272191.8601398601399211th179.54835164835166271.580419580419639th263.44945054945055218.43356643356645410th347.3505494505494245.00699300699356th431.2516483516483138.7132867132867563rd515.152747252747258.99300699300701576th599.053846153846138.7132867132867586th11.746153846153845138.7132867132867517th95.64725274725272165.2867132867133210th179.54835164835166245.006993006993311th263.44945054945055271.5804195804196411th347.3505494505494271.5804195804196510th431.2516483516483245.00699300699369th515.1527472527472218.43356643356645710th599.053846153846245.00699300699388th11.746153846153845191.860139860139918th95.64725274725272191.8601398601399210th179.54835164835166245.00699300699339th263.44945054945055218.43356643356645410th347.3505494505494245.00699300699356th431.2516483516483138.7132867132867564th515.152747252747285.5664335664335778th599.053846153846191.86013986013998Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.06 6 Michael Turner RB
2.07 19 Ahmad Bradshaw RB
3.06 30 Antonio Gates TE
4.07 43 Tim Hightower RB
5.06 54 Jeremy Maclin K WR
6.07 67 Josh Freeman QB
7.06 78 Plaxico Burress WR
8.07 91 Brandon Jacobs RB
9.06 102 Green Bay DEF
10.07 115 Mike Williams K WR
11.06 126 Devin Hester WR
12.07 139 Brent Celek TE
13.06 150 Ryan Torain RB
14.07 163 Stephen Gostkowski K
15.06 174 Darren Sproles RB
16.07 187 Cam Newton QB

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456780.41634.776923076923076109.2682968463060110.00087.46923076923076137.2706907145484620.000140.16153846153844137.2706907145484630.000192.85384615384618137.2706907145484640.000245.54615384615386137.2706907145484650.897298.238461538461576.9234776046956560.818350.9307692307691682.2664443326613170.000403.6230769230769137.2706907145484680.00034.77692307692307681.2659029780635610.71787.4692307692307689.077622992072120.182140.16153846153844125.0432957187501330.732192.8538461538461888.0730569337149140.353245.54615384615386113.5073448288242350.000298.238461538461516.57626449484281760.000350.9307692307691627.262197950774157-0.029403.6230769230769139.250729972658868Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0066111112345678436.20480769230769116.055944055944051091.06057692307692141.2307692307692320145.91634615384615141.2307692307692330200.77211538461538141.2307692307692340255.6278846153846141.23076923076923511310.4836538461538672.0610365.339423076923178.293706293706370420.1951923076923141.230769230769238036.2048076923076990.88111888111891591.06057692307692109.7622377622377621145.91634615384615134.9370629370629336200.77211538461538103.4685314685314743255.6278846153846122.3496503496503550310.483653846153862.769230769230773660365.339423076923115.3566433566433670420.1951923076923141.230769230769238All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2011 Dave 3-5 10th 100.07 0.511 25.96 3-10 12th
1 990 2022 Rabbit 5-3 3rd 99.83 0.513 28.07 8-6 5th 5th place
2 980 2016 Matt 3-5 11th 100.75 0.509 33.10 5-8 10th
3 977 2023 Dave 4-4 7th 102.73 0.507 22.91 6-8 10th
4 976 2011 Kevin 4-4 6th 104.56 0.511 29.13 6-7 8th
5 974 2023 Pat 3-5 10th 99.89 0.503 20.45 5-9 11th
6 970 2012 Allen 3-5 7th 101.75 0.520 23.52 6-7 8th
7 967 2013 Mike R. 5-3 4th 98.02 0.521 24.10 7-6 6th 5th place
8 965 2010 Matt 3-5 8th 98.54 0.497 26.46 5-8 9th
9 965 2011 Ed 5-3 4th 101.16 0.504 17.06 9-4 1st 3rd place
10 965 2019 Pat 4-4 8th 103.21 0.512 15.66 6-7 9th