2023 Dave (through 9 weeks)

5-4 (0.556), 914.05 points

8th place

4.56 expected wins (0.506)

58-59 all-play record (0.496)

-12.5% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 83.70 63.20 Derrek 20.50
2 L 85.05 93.59 Ed -8.54
3 W 120.41 72.32 Scott 48.09
4 L 71.98 109.71 Rob -37.73
5 L 87.27 101.66 Babel -14.39
6 W 113.32 86.17 Rabbit 27.15
7 W 144.61 110.68 Pat 33.93 Team Blangums
8 L 115.48 149.12 Pulley -33.64
9 W 92.23 84.46 Mike R. 7.77
10 Derrek
11 Matt
12 Schertz
13 Richie
14 Kevin

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%01234567890.0%36.07692307692308141.2307692307692300.0%87.61538461538464141.2307692307692310.0%139.15384615384616141.2307692307692320.0%190.6923076923077141.2307692307692330.0%242.23076923076925141.23076923076923430.2%293.769230769230871.9999999999999950.0%345.3076923076923141.2307692307692360.0%396.8461538461538141.2307692307692370.0%448.3846153846154141.2307692307692380.0%499.9230769230769141.2307692307692390.0%36.07692307692308141.206426604296500.4%87.61538461538464140.388890653538413.5%139.15384615384616133.12702221756314214.7%190.6923076923077107.39817578912675329.9%242.2307692307692572.5772539178022440.0%293.76923076923082.769230769230745516.0%345.3076923076923104.4255017788779364.5%396.8461538461538130.8494697343769570.6%448.3846153846154139.7999597183598780.0%499.9230769230769141.15913014805289Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st123456789Rank by WeekWeek8th11.746153846153845163.24260355029585111th85.15961538461536230.69822485207129th158.5730769230769185.7278106508876311th231.98653846153846230.698224852071412th305.4253.18343195266272511th378.8134615384615230.69822485207167th452.226923076923140.7573964497041576th525.6403846153845118.2721893491124187th599.053846153846140.7573964497041596th11.746153846153845118.2721893491124118th85.15961538461536163.2426035502958526th158.5730769230769118.2721893491124139th231.98653846153846185.7278106508876410th305.4208.2130177514793510th378.8134615384615208.213017751479366th452.226923076923118.2721893491124177th525.6403846153845140.7573964497041588th599.053846153846163.2426035502958598th11.746153846153845163.2426035502958519th85.15961538461536185.727810650887628th158.5730769230769163.24260355029585311th231.98653846153846230.698224852071411th305.4230.698224852071511th378.8134615384615230.69822485207166th452.226923076923118.2721893491124176th525.6403846153845118.2721893491124187th599.053846153846140.757396449704159Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
7
8

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.12 12 Travis Kelce K TE
2.03 17 A.J. Brown K WR
3.12 40 Joe Burrow QB
4.03 45 James Conner RB
5.12 68 Michael Pittman, Jr. WR
6.03 73 Javonte Williams RB
7.12 96 Zay Flowers WR
8.03 101 Darnell Mooney WR
9.12 124 Jeff Wilson, Jr. RB
10.03 129 Justin Tucker K
11.12 152 Philadelphia DEF
12.03 157 Derek Carr QB
13.12 180 Clyde Edwards-Helaire RB
14.03 185 Van Jefferson WR
15.12 208 Leonard Fournette RB
16.03 213 Jalin Hyatt WR

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.0001234567890.24331.84957264957265124.4386152258772110.00078.68717948717948141.2307692307692320.823125.524786324786384.2434033464893630.000172.36239316239318141.2307692307692340.000219.2141.2307692307692350.733266.0376068376068690.4709905983707860.957312.875213675213674.9929361511764570.000359.7128205128205141.2307692307692380.374406.5504273504273115.335882764641890.00031.84957264957265107.646461220985210.26478.68717948717948122.9385394644751120.000125.524786324786327.2560374622094930.099172.36239316239318134.382299250322940.299219.2120.5634195089218150.000266.0376068376068639.7112119659723160.000312.87521367521368.75510307158367670.764359.712820512820588.3345190594041680.000406.550427350427389.440996298514369Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week00771313123456789633.15726495726496109.278106508875741081.9179487179487141.2307692307692329130.6786324786324793.3017751479289930179.4393162393162141.2307692307692340228.2141.23076923076923511276.9606837606837682.6508875739645613325.721367521367572.070374.4820512820512141.2307692307692388423.24273504273598.627218934911249033.1572649572649677.325443786982251181.9179487179487135.9053254437869820130.6786324786324745.37278106508874531179.4393162393162135.9053254437869842228.2130.5798816568047350276.9606837606837624.07100591715975260325.72136752136752.769230769230773677374.4820512820512103.9526627218934980423.24273504273556.023668639053249All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2023 Dave 5-4 8th 101.56 0.506 21.85 6-8 10th
1 986 2024 Dave 5-4 5th 102.25 0.511 22.11 9-5 3rd
2 984 2022 Matt 4-5 9th 100.73 0.510 24.65 6-8 11th
3 973 2023 Pat 4-5 9th 98.92 0.501 19.48 5-9 11th
4 972 2011 Dave 3-6 11th 100.69 0.516 24.53 3-10 12th
5 969 2024 Scott 4-5 10th 99.49 0.514 25.16 5-9 12th
6 969 2024 Pat 5-4 6th 102.08 0.492 22.08 6-8 10th
7 969 2024 Ed 4-5 9th 101.03 0.497 16.39 6-8 9th
8 963 2011 Babel 5-4 5th 101.47 0.520 16.90 7-6 7th
9 962 2010 Pulley 7-2 3rd 94.36 0.504 19.82 8-5 4th 5th place
10 958 2015 Schertz 6-3 4th 100.79 0.491 26.00 9-4 2nd 2nd place