2016 Richie (through 9 weeks)

4-5 (0.444), 817.21 points

12th place

3.30 expected wins (0.367)

37-80 all-play record (0.316)

-0.0% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 85.25 72.19 Allen 13.06
2 L 75.70 139.75 Matt -64.05
3 W 84.08 67.22 Derrek 16.86
4 W 128.25 88.31 Rob 39.94
5 W 108.72 60.32 Mike R. 48.40
6 L 103.34 124.07 Rabbit -20.73
7 L 76.70 90.37 Kevin -13.67
8 L 86.15 125.04 Dave -38.89
9 L 69.02 145.34 Pulley -76.32 Slapped Heartbeat
10 Babel
11 Ed
12 Pat
13 Schertz

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%32.0%32.0%01234567890.0%36.07692307692308141.2307692307692300.0%87.61538461538464141.2307692307692310.0%139.15384615384616141.2307692307692320.0%190.6923076923077141.23076923076923326.4%242.2307692307692584.2632901089109540.0%293.7692307692308141.2307692307692350.0%345.3076923076923141.2307692307692360.0%396.8461538461538141.2307692307692370.0%448.3846153846154141.2307692307692380.0%499.9230769230769141.2307692307692390.4%36.07692307692308140.3109928985017505.4%87.61538461538464129.54874016824385119.9%139.1538461538461698.32333245648957232.1%190.692307692307772.030.0%242.2307692307692527.295810987052676412.1%293.7692307692308115.1005675467473753.2%345.3076923076923134.328002712219660.5%396.8461538461538140.199622795058570.0%448.3846153846154141.1509780248945380.0%499.9230769230769141.228329502628049Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st123456789Rank by WeekWeek12th11.746153846153845253.18343195266272113th85.15961538461536275.6686390532544214th158.5730769230769298.15384615384613311th231.98653846153846230.698224852071410th305.4208.213017751479359th378.8134615384615185.727810650887669th452.226923076923185.7278106508876711th525.6403846153845230.698224852071811th599.053846153846230.69822485207197th11.746153846153845140.75739644970415110th85.15961538461536208.213017751479328th158.5730769230769163.2426035502958534th231.9865384615384673.3017751479289943rd305.450.81656804733728455th378.813461538461595.786982248520767th452.226923076923140.7573964497041578th525.6403846153845163.24260355029585812th599.053846153846253.18343195266272912th11.746153846153845253.18343195266272113th85.15961538461536275.6686390532544214th158.5730769230769298.15384615384613310th231.98653846153846208.2130177514793410th305.4208.213017751479359th378.8134615384615185.727810650887669th452.226923076923185.7278106508876710th525.6403846153845208.2130177514793811th599.053846153846230.6982248520719Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.11 11 Rob Gronkowski K TE
2.04 18 Alshon Jeffery WR
3.11 39 Golden Tate WR
4.04 46 Matt Jones RB
5.11 67 Emmanuel Sanders WR
6.04 74 Carson Palmer QB
7.11 95 Justin Forsett RB
8.04 102 Corey Coleman WR
9.11 123 Thomas Rawls K RB
10.04 130 Tony Romo QB
11.11 151 Ladarius Green TE
12.04 158 Steve Smith, Sr. WR
13.11 179 Terrance Williams WR
14.04 186 Kendall Wright WR
15.11 207 Buffalo DEF
16.04 214 Adam Vinatieri K

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.0001234567890.27131.84957264957265122.4457295823021410.00078.68717948717948141.2307692307692320.254125.5247863247863123.6503358755492730.887172.3623931623931879.8072124854790640.664219.295.2398100914187550.000266.03760683760686141.2307692307692360.000312.8752136752136141.2307692307692370.000359.7128205128205141.2307692307692380.000406.5504273504273141.2307692307692390.00031.84957264957265103.6606899338350410.14178.68717948717948131.5030052022829420.000125.5247863247863106.0699025203293230.000172.3623931623931818.383655740188940.000219.249.2488509520682850.567266.03760683760686101.9560583867872260.154312.8752136752136130.5825041668771370.285359.7128205128205121.4911359159553580.080406.5504273504273135.71912722864799Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week00771313123456789233.15726495726496130.579881656804731081.9179487179487141.2307692307692322130.67863247863247130.57988165680473310179.439316239316287.9763313609467447228.2103.9526627218934950276.96068376068376141.2307692307692360325.7213675213675141.2307692307692370374.4820512820512141.2307692307692380423.242735042735141.230769230769239033.15726495726496119.928994082840231281.9179487179487130.5798816568047320130.67863247863247119.9289940828402330179.439316239316234.7218934911242540228.266.67455621301775510276.9606837606837687.9763313609467462325.7213675213675130.5798816568047372374.4820512820512130.5798816568047380423.242735042735141.230769230769239All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2016 Richie 4-5 12th 90.80 0.367 17.89 5-8 12th
1 990 2020 Pat 4-5 12th 91.32 0.364 18.73 5-8 12th
2 987 2015 Derrek 5-4 6th 87.80 0.367 18.31 7-6 7th
3 987 2022 Pulley 4-5 10th 89.37 0.367 14.40 7-7 8th
4 985 2014 Richie 3-6 11th 89.47 0.368 21.69 6-7 9th
5 980 2016 Mike R. 2-7 13th 89.38 0.360 17.30 5-8 11th
6 975 2014 Pat 3-6 12th 87.68 0.362 19.71 5-8 11th
7 972 2023 Richie 1-8 14th 89.67 0.359 14.52 4-10 13th
8 971 2013 Richie 4-5 11th 87.67 0.364 22.94 6-7 10th
9 968 2023 Derrek 2-7 13th 88.83 0.356 16.85 5-9 12th
10 963 2014 Derrek 3-6 13th 87.10 0.366 27.69 5-8 12th