2014 Pat (through 9 weeks)

3-6 (0.333), 789.10 points (87.68 average)

12th place

3.30 expected wins (0.366)

44-73 all-play record (0.376)

+18.0% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 103.15 62.19 Mike R. 40.96
2 W 107.21 100.70 Richie 6.51
3 L 84.31 147.33 Pulley -63.02
4 L 97.37 124.36 Derrek -26.99
5 W 78.58 72.85 Kevin 5.73
6 L 66.61 111.37 Matt -44.76
7 L 81.67 111.64 Rob -29.97
8 L 118.22 151.00 Babel -32.78
9 L 51.98 93.61 Ed -41.63 Slapped Heartbeat
10 Schertz
11 Dave
12 Allen
13 Rabbit

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%01234567890.0%36.07692307692308141.2307692307692300.0%87.61538461538464141.2307692307692310.0%139.15384615384616141.23076923076923231.5%190.692307692307772.030.0%242.23076923076925141.2307692307692340.0%293.7692307692308141.2307692307692350.0%345.3076923076923141.2307692307692360.0%396.8461538461538141.2307692307692370.0%448.3846153846154141.2307692307692380.0%499.9230769230769141.2307692307692390.6%36.07692307692308139.8729033631468305.7%87.61538461538464128.6026867044016119.4%139.1538461538461698.6010400654682520.0%190.69230769230772.7692307692307736326.9%242.2307692307692581.97656200052964412.4%293.7692307692308113.8925093115756453.0%345.3076923076923134.5883346529294660.3%396.8461538461538140.4690481129158670.0%448.3846153846154141.2020067387334780.0%499.9230769230769141.230769230769239Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st123456789Rank by WeekWeek7th11.746153846153845140.7573964497041515th85.1596153846153695.786982248520726th158.5730769230769118.2721893491124138th231.98653846153846163.2426035502958548th305.4163.24260355029585512th378.8134615384615253.18343195266272611th452.226923076923230.698224852071710th525.6403846153845208.2130177514793812th599.053846153846253.1834319526627296th11.746153846153845118.2721893491124113rd85.1596153846153650.81656804733728425th158.573076923076995.786982248520738th231.98653846153846163.2426035502958546th305.4118.2721893491124158th378.8134615384615163.24260355029585610th452.226923076923208.2130177514793710th525.6403846153845208.2130177514793812th599.053846153846253.1834319526627297th11.746153846153845140.7573964497041515th85.1596153846153695.786982248520726th158.5730769230769118.2721893491124138th231.98653846153846163.2426035502958549th305.4185.7278106508876512th378.8134615384615253.18343195266272611th452.226923076923230.69822485207179th525.6403846153845185.7278106508876813th599.053846153846275.66863905325449Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.04 4 Calvin Johnson WR
2.11 25 Drew Brees K QB
3.04 32 Eddie Lacy K RB
4.11 53 Stevan Ridley RB
5.04 60 Reggie Wayne WR
6.11 81 Khiry Robinson RB
7.04 88 Cecil Shorts III WR
8.11 109 Delanie Walker TE
9.04 116 Chris Ivory RB
10.11 137 Donald Brown RB
11.04 144 James Starks RB
12.11 165 James Jones WR
13.04 172 Kansas City DEF
14.11 193 Nick Novak K
15.04 200 Stevie Johnson WR
16.11 221 BenJarvus Green-Ellis RB

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.0001234567890.56731.84957264957265101.9846319750136710.65978.6871794871794895.597053636885520.000125.5247863247863141.1950768359300530.000172.36239316239318141.1950768359300540.210219.2126.6629566303044650.000266.03760683760686141.1950768359300560.000312.8752136752136141.1950768359300570.000359.7128205128205141.1950768359300580.000406.5504273504273141.1950768359300590.00031.8495726495726562.7741871140972910.00078.6871794871794849.9990304378409620.285125.5247863247863121.4520407714697730.464172.36239316239318109.0740548743204140.000219.2112.1308364246788850.065266.03760683760686136.695545882898560.241312.8752136752136124.5307435408211370.806359.712820512820585.435534896587078-0.000406.5504273504273141.212923033349639Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week00771313123456789733.15726495726496103.9526627218934911181.917948717948782.650887573964520130.67863247863247141.2307692307692330179.4393162393162141.2307692307692343228.2125.2544378698224850276.96068376068376141.2307692307692360325.7213675213675141.2307692307692370374.4820512820512141.2307692307692380423.242735042735141.230769230769239033.1572649572649666.674556213017751081.917948717948724.07100591715975224130.67863247863247119.9289940828402333179.4393162393162125.2544378698224840228.2109.2781065088757451276.96068376068376135.9053254437869866325.7213675213675109.2781065088757479374.482051282051293.3017751479289980423.242735042735141.230769230769239All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2014 Pat 3-6 12th 87.68 0.366 19.71 5-8 11th
1 993 2013 Richie 4-5 11th 87.67 0.366 22.94 6-7 10th
2 992 2015 Derrek 5-4 6th 87.80 0.368 18.31 7-6 7th
3 983 2014 Richie 3-6 11th 89.47 0.369 21.69 6-7 9th
4 980 2022 Pulley 4-5 10th 89.37 0.365 14.40 7-7 8th
5 979 2016 Richie 4-5 12th 90.80 0.368 17.89 5-8 12th
6 977 2016 Mike R. 2-7 13th 89.38 0.361 17.30 5-8 11th
7 976 2020 Pat 4-5 12th 91.32 0.363 18.73 5-8 12th
8 974 2023 Derrek 2-7 13th 88.83 0.358 16.85 5-9 12th
9 973 2014 Derrek 3-6 13th 87.10 0.362 27.69 5-8 12th
10 973 2014 Allen 4-5 10th 87.73 0.356 16.62 6-7 10th