2014 Pat (through 9 weeks)

3-6 (0.333), 789.10 points

12th place

3.26 expected wins (0.362)

44-73 all-play record (0.376)

+19.2% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 103.15 62.19 Mike R. 40.96
2 W 107.21 100.70 Richie 6.51
3 L 84.31 147.33 Pulley -63.02
4 L 97.37 124.36 Derrek -26.99
5 W 78.58 72.85 Kevin 5.73
6 L 66.61 111.37 Matt -44.76
7 L 81.67 111.64 Rob -29.97
8 L 118.22 151.00 Babel -32.78
9 L 51.98 93.61 Ed -41.63 Slapped Heartbeat
10 Schertz
11 Dave
12 Allen
13 Rabbit

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%01234567890.0%36.07692307692308141.2307692307692300.0%87.61538461538464141.2307692307692310.0%139.15384615384616141.23076923076923231.9%190.692307692307772.030.0%242.23076923076925141.2307692307692340.0%293.7692307692308141.2307692307692350.0%345.3076923076923141.2307692307692360.0%396.8461538461538141.2307692307692370.0%448.3846153846154141.2307692307692380.0%499.9230769230769141.2307692307692390.6%36.07692307692308139.8428701278470506.0%87.61538461538464128.3092747190919119.9%139.1538461538461697.9535065741257420.0%190.69230769230772.7692307692307736326.6%242.2307692307692583.44774285353259411.8%293.7692307692308115.5202391308360752.8%345.3076923076923135.198159358346160.3%396.8461538461538140.5405400416867770.0%448.3846153846154141.2002029207229280.0%499.9230769230769141.230486835398079Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st123456789Rank by WeekWeek7th11.746153846153845140.7573964497041515th85.1596153846153695.786982248520726th158.5730769230769118.2721893491124138th231.98653846153846163.2426035502958549th305.4185.7278106508876512th378.8134615384615253.18343195266272612th452.226923076923253.18343195266272710th525.6403846153845208.2130177514793813th599.053846153846275.668639053254496th11.746153846153845118.2721893491124113rd85.1596153846153650.81656804733728425th158.573076923076995.786982248520738th231.98653846153846163.2426035502958546th305.4118.2721893491124158th378.8134615384615163.24260355029585610th452.226923076923208.2130177514793710th525.6403846153845208.2130177514793812th599.053846153846253.1834319526627297th11.746153846153845140.7573964497041515th85.1596153846153695.786982248520726th158.5730769230769118.2721893491124138th231.98653846153846163.2426035502958549th305.4185.7278106508876512th378.8134615384615253.18343195266272611th452.226923076923230.69822485207179th525.6403846153845185.7278106508876813th599.053846153846275.66863905325449Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.04 4 Calvin Johnson WR
2.11 25 Drew Brees K QB
3.04 32 Eddie Lacy K RB
4.11 53 Stevan Ridley RB
5.04 60 Reggie Wayne WR
6.11 81 Khiry Robinson RB
7.04 88 Cecil Shorts III WR
8.11 109 Delanie Walker TE
9.04 116 Chris Ivory RB
10.11 137 Donald Brown RB
11.04 144 James Starks RB
12.11 165 James Jones WR
13.04 172 Kansas City DEF
14.11 193 Nick Novak K
15.04 200 Stevie Johnson WR
16.11 221 BenJarvus Green-Ellis RB

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.0001234567890.57231.84957264957265101.6481424025744410.65278.6871794871794896.0683151385712120.000125.5247863247863141.2307692307692330.000172.36239316239318141.2307692307692340.186219.2128.3426724293434850.000266.03760683760686141.2307692307692360.000312.8752136752136141.2307692307692370.000359.7128205128205141.2307692307692380.000406.5504273504273141.2307692307692390.00031.8495726495726562.06551557437964610.00078.6871794871794850.9058610463731920.266125.5247863247863122.796937796281230.474172.36239316239318108.4212117495111640.000219.2115.4545756279177250.068266.03760683760686136.5476322758003760.223312.8752136752136125.7857251087717370.809359.712820512820585.22685849934780.012406.5504273504273140.38873536181489Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week00771313123456789733.15726495726496103.9526627218934911181.917948717948782.650887573964520130.67863247863247141.2307692307692330179.4393162393162141.2307692307692343228.2125.2544378698224850276.96068376068376141.2307692307692360325.7213675213675141.2307692307692370374.4820512820512141.2307692307692380423.242735042735141.230769230769239033.1572649572649666.674556213017751081.917948717948724.07100591715975224130.67863247863247119.9289940828402333179.4393162393162125.2544378698224840228.2109.2781065088757451276.96068376068376135.9053254437869866325.7213675213675109.2781065088757479374.482051282051293.3017751479289980423.242735042735141.230769230769239All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2014 Pat 3-6 12th 87.68 0.362 19.71 5-8 11th
1 991 2013 Richie 4-5 11th 87.67 0.364 22.94 6-7 10th
2 988 2015 Derrek 5-4 6th 87.80 0.367 18.31 7-6 7th
3 984 2016 Mike R. 2-7 13th 89.38 0.360 17.30 5-8 11th
4 981 2020 Pat 4-5 12th 91.32 0.364 18.73 5-8 12th
5 978 2014 Richie 3-6 11th 89.47 0.368 21.69 6-7 9th
6 977 2023 Derrek 2-7 13th 88.83 0.356 16.85 5-9 12th
7 976 2014 Allen 4-5 10th 87.73 0.354 16.62 6-7 10th
8 976 2014 Derrek 3-6 13th 87.10 0.366 27.69 5-8 12th
9 975 2016 Richie 4-5 12th 90.80 0.367 17.89 5-8 12th
10 974 2023 Richie 1-8 14th 89.67 0.359 14.52 4-10 13th