2014 Schertz (through 12 weeks)

5-7 (0.417), 1,081.88 points

11th place

4.49 expected wins (0.374)

57-99 all-play record (0.365)

-11.1% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 83.62 157.21 Dave -73.59
2 W 74.81 72.63 Ed 2.18
3 W 96.28 75.96 Mike R. 20.32
4 W 100.39 87.58 Babel 12.81
5 W 107.18 89.05 Allen 18.13
6 W 120.48 60.70 Kevin 59.78 Team Blangums
7 L 78.03 84.05 Matt -6.02
8 L 99.95 153.86 Rabbit -53.91
9 L 74.25 82.06 Rob -7.81
10 L 82.61 110.01 Pat -27.40
11 L 74.61 104.02 Derrek -29.41
12 L 89.67 101.83 Pulley -12.16
13 Richie

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%01234567891011120.0%30.130177514792905141.2307692307692300.0%69.77514792899409141.2307692307692310.0%109.42011834319527141.2307692307692320.0%149.06508875739644141.2307692307692330.0%188.71005917159763141.23076923076923424.4%228.3550295857988374.9955933350859450.0%268.0141.2307692307692360.0%307.64497041420117141.2307692307692370.0%347.28994082840245141.2307692307692380.0%386.93491124260356141.2307692307692390.0%426.5798816568048141.23076923076923100.0%466.2248520710059141.23076923076923110.0%505.8698224852071141.23076923076923120.1%30.130177514792905140.9066930939052301.5%69.77514792899409137.2313672785192616.9%109.42011834319527122.47489954702058217.1%149.0650887573964494.78042519552884325.5%188.7100591715976372.040.0%228.355029585798838.760417439402659515.5%268.099.1734206566340566.6%307.64497041420117123.245797211613671.9%347.28994082840245136.05475629221480.4%386.93491124260356140.2464046200864290.0%426.5798816568048141.11256533732973100.0%466.2248520710059141.22267112599673110.0%505.8698224852071141.2305284345418412Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st123456789101112Rank by WeekWeek11th11.746153846153845230.698224852071113th65.13776223776223275.6686390532544211th118.52937062937062230.698224852071311th171.92097902097902230.698224852071410th225.3125874125874208.213017751479357th278.7041958041958140.7573964497041568th332.09580419580413163.2426035502958578th385.4874125874125163.2426035502958589th438.87902097902094185.7278106508876911th492.27062937062936230.6982248520711012th545.6622377622377253.183431952662721112th599.053846153846253.183431952662721211th11.746153846153845230.698224852071111th65.13776223776223230.69822485207128th118.52937062937062163.2426035502958534th171.9209790209790273.3017751479289943rd225.312587412587450.81656804733728453rd278.704195804195850.81656804733728464th332.0958041958041373.3017751479289975th385.487412587412595.786982248520786th438.87902097902094118.2721893491124198th492.27062937062936163.24260355029585109th545.6622377622377185.72781065088761111th599.053846153846230.6982248520711211th11.746153846153845230.698224852071113th65.13776223776223275.6686390532544211th118.52937062937062230.698224852071310th171.92097902097902208.2130177514793410th225.3125874125874208.213017751479357th278.7041958041958140.7573964497041568th332.09580419580413163.2426035502958578th385.4874125874125163.2426035502958588th438.87902097902094163.24260355029585910th492.27062937062936208.21301775147931011th545.6622377622377230.6982248520711112th599.053846153846253.1834319526627212Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.02 2 Matt Forte RB
2.13 27 Vincent Jackson WR
3.02 30 Pierre Garcon WR
4.13 55 Vernon Davis TE
5.02 58 Tom Brady QB
6.13 83 Ben Tate K RB
7.02 86 Terrance West RB
8.13 111 Justin Hunter WR
9.02 114 Jay Cutler QB
10.13 139 St. Louis DEF
11.02 142 Matt Prater K
12.13 167 Jonathan Grimes RB
13.02 170 Michael Crabtree K WR
14.13 195 Brandon Bostick TE
15.02 198 C.J. Anderson RB
16.13 223 Harry Douglas WR

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.0001234567891011120.00025.994871794871795141.2307692307692310.14761.12307692307692131.0284141334699420.46596.25128205128203109.0045745456119730.530131.37948717948717104.5498041026603240.658166.507692307692395.6970842683252350.843201.6358974358974582.8441624035845960.000236.76410256410256141.2307692307692370.000271.89230769230767141.2307692307692380.000307.0205128205128141.2307692307692390.000342.14871794871794141.23076923076923100.000377.2769230769231141.23076923076923110.000412.4051282051282141.23076923076923120.26025.994871794871795123.2552942789318310.00061.12307692307692120.8260590361706620.00096.2512820512820376.778379860454730.000131.3794871794871767.868838974551440.000166.507692307692350.1633993058812450.000201.6358974358974524.45755557639995560.184236.76410256410256128.4828310232118470.521271.89230769230767105.1861998802248280.140307.0205128205128131.5057109666433390.247342.14871794871794124.164431104024100.145377.2769230769231131.16478465723378110.351412.4051282051282116.9140649239139112Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week00771313123456789101112027.062179487179485141.230769230769231263.6326923076923130.5798816568047325100.20320512820511114.6035502958579935136.77371794871794114.60355029585799410173.344230769230787.97633136094674513209.9147435897435872.060246.4852564102564141.2307692307692370283.0557692307692141.2307692307692380319.62628205128203141.2307692307692390356.19679487179485141.23076923076923100392.7673076923077141.23076923076923110429.3378205128205141.2307692307692312327.062179487179485125.254437869822481063.6326923076923119.9289940828402320100.2032051282051187.9763313609467430136.7737179487179487.9763313609467440173.344230769230734.7218934911242550209.914743589743582.769230769230773665246.4852564102564114.6035502958579975283.0557692307692114.6035502958579983319.62628205128203125.2544378698224892356.19679487179485130.57988165680473101392.7673076923077135.90532544378698113429.3378205128205125.2544378698224812All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2014 Schertz 5-7 11th 90.16 0.374 14.21 5-8 13th
1 982 2016 Pat 7-5 5th 89.61 0.369 16.58 7-6 7th
2 973 2009 Pulley 4-8 12th 88.76 0.369 19.83 4-9 12th
3 971 2013 Richie 5-7 11th 86.56 0.374 21.33 6-7 10th
4 967 2016 Mike R. 4-8 13th 91.24 0.387 16.09 5-8 11th
5 967 2011 Pat 5-7 10th 88.34 0.376 25.14 5-8 11th
6 966 2014 Derrek 5-7 12th 87.76 0.373 24.99 5-8 12th
7 966 2022 Pat 6-6 10th 88.96 0.361 15.85 8-6 6th 6th place
8 964 2019 Richie 4-8 13th 90.95 0.364 19.87 5-8 12th
9 962 2017 Allen 4-8 12th 85.88 0.365 12.97 5-8 12th
10 958 2008 Matt 2-10 12th 83.04 0.374 20.13 3-10 12th