2011 Pat (through 12 weeks)

5-7 (0.417), 1,060.12 points

10th place

4.52 expected wins (0.376)

43-89 all-play record (0.326)

+2.8% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 119.42 103.06 Rabbit 16.36
2 L 104.84 138.17 Derrek -33.33
3 W 93.59 72.00 Allen 21.59
4 L 102.38 165.61 Rob -63.23
5 L 49.67 106.75 Babel -57.08 Slapped Heartbeat
6 L 70.39 134.36 Dave -63.97
7 L 48.73 93.93 Ed -45.20 Slapped Heartbeat
8 W 90.89 72.51 Matt 18.38
9 L 102.28 107.15 Pulley -4.87
10 L 52.13 112.20 Mike R. -60.07 Slapped Heartbeat
11 W 109.79 83.90 Kevin 25.89
12 W 116.01 80.64 Mike R. 35.37
13 Rabbit

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%01234567891011120.0%30.130177514792905141.2307692307692300.0%69.77514792899409141.2307692307692310.0%109.42011834319527141.2307692307692320.0%149.06508875739644141.2307692307692330.0%188.71005917159763141.23076923076923427.8%228.3550295857988372.050.0%268.0141.2307692307692360.0%307.64497041420117141.2307692307692370.0%347.28994082840245141.2307692307692380.0%386.93491124260356141.2307692307692390.0%426.5798816568048141.23076923076923100.0%466.2248520710059141.23076923076923110.0%505.8698224852071141.23076923076923120.1%30.130177514792905141.0650024582175200.9%69.77514792899409138.9937364650561415.0%109.42011834319527128.8282509512965214.9%149.06508875739644104.29000683355716326.1%188.7100591715976376.3388822535141640.0%228.355029585798832.7692307692307736517.8%268.097.0068452450464866.4%307.64497041420117125.3948578644212371.1%347.28994082840245138.5459961096968380.0%386.93491124260356141.1068883683202690.0%426.5798816568048141.23076923076923100.0%466.2248520710059141.23076923076923110.0%505.8698224852071141.2307692307692312Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st123456789101112Rank by WeekWeek3rd11.74615384615384558.99300699300701514th65.1377622377622385.5664335664335724th118.5293706293706285.5664335664335737th171.92097902097902165.2867132867133411th225.3125874125874271.5804195804196511th278.7041958041958271.5804195804196611th332.09580419580413271.5804195804196711th385.4874125874125271.5804195804196812th438.87902097902094298.15384615384613912th492.27062937062936298.153846153846131011th545.6622377622377271.58041958041961111th599.053846153846271.5804195804196123rd11.74615384615384558.99300699300701514th65.1377622377622385.5664335664335723rd118.5293706293706258.99300699300701536th171.92097902097902138.71328671328675410th225.3125874125874245.006993006993511th278.7041958041958271.5804195804196612th332.09580419580413298.15384615384613712th385.4874125874125298.15384615384613812th438.87902097902094298.15384615384613912th492.27062937062936298.153846153846131011th545.6622377622377271.58041958041961110th599.053846153846245.006993006993123rd11.74615384615384558.99300699300701514th65.1377622377622385.5664335664335725th118.52937062937062112.1398601398601637th171.92097902097902165.2867132867133411th225.3125874125874271.5804195804196511th278.7041958041958271.5804195804196612th332.09580419580413298.15384615384613712th385.4874125874125298.15384615384613812th438.87902097902094298.15384615384613912th492.27062937062936298.153846153846131012th545.6622377622377298.153846153846131111th599.053846153846271.580419580419612Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.03 3 Andre Johnson WR
2.10 22 Peyton Manning QB
3.03 27 Beanie Wells RB
4.10 46 Ray Rice K RB
5.03 51 Chad Ochocinco WR
6.10 70 Greg Olsen TE
7.03 75 C.J. Spiller RB
8.10 94 Lee Evans WR
9.03 99 Austin Collie K WR
10.10 118 Baltimore DEF
11.03 123 Donald Brown RB
12.10 142 Jerricho Cotchery WR
13.03 147 Dustin Keller TE
14.10 166 Chad Henne QB
15.03 171 Nick Folk K
16.10 190 Jordan Shipley WR

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.0001234567891011120.79325.99487179487179584.0789686541975810.00061.12307692307692137.5404341417063620.37796.25128205128203112.1083702748355630.000131.37948717948717137.5404341417063640.000166.5076923076923137.5404341417063650.000201.63589743589745137.5404341417063660.000236.76410256410256137.5404341417063670.329271.89230769230767115.3604002971195380.000307.0205128205128137.5404341417063690.000342.14871794871794137.54043414170636100.659377.276923076923193.12713381823937110.752412.405128205128286.8443003057996120.00025.99487179487179530.6175031666888210.56961.1230769230769299.1666181453381620.00096.2512820512820386.6763064079647730.524131.37948717948717102.230605615313184-0.026166.5076923076923139.3192337265993550.065201.63589743589745133.135952153617276-0.027236.76410256410256139.385601686237870.000271.8923076923076793.180366452532780.523307.0205128205128102.330157554770869-0.022342.14871794871794139.03163923483274100.000377.276923076923148.71383349477237110.000412.405128205128236.1481664698928412Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week00661111123456789101112927.06217948717948584.587412587412591063.6326923076923141.2307692307692323100.20320512820511122.3496503496503530136.77371794871794141.2307692307692340173.3442307692307141.2307692307692350209.91474358974358141.2307692307692360246.4852564102564141.2307692307692374283.0557692307692116.0559440559440580319.62628205128203141.2307692307692390356.19679487179485141.23076923076923108392.767307692307790.88111888111888117429.337820512820597.1748251748251712027.06217948717948527.9440559440559471363.6326923076923122.3496503496503520100.20320512820511103.4685314685314734136.77371794871794116.0559440559440540173.3442307692307141.2307692307692351209.91474358974358134.9370629370629360246.4852564102564141.2307692307692370283.055769230769290.881118881118984319.62628205128203116.0559440559440590356.19679487179485141.23076923076923100392.767307692307740.53146853146853110429.337820512820553.1188811188811212All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2011 Pat 5-7 10th 88.34 0.376 25.14 5-8 11th
1 991 2014 Derrek 5-7 12th 87.76 0.373 24.99 5-8 12th
2 981 2013 Richie 5-7 11th 86.56 0.374 21.33 6-7 10th
3 973 2009 Pulley 4-8 12th 88.76 0.369 19.83 4-9 12th
4 973 2015 Pat 5-7 11th 85.47 0.382 23.03 6-7 9th
5 967 2014 Schertz 5-7 11th 90.16 0.374 14.21 5-8 13th
6 963 2008 Matt 2-10 12th 83.04 0.374 20.13 3-10 12th
7 962 2016 Pat 7-5 5th 89.61 0.369 16.58 7-6 7th
8 960 2010 Pat 3-9 12th 84.74 0.367 21.61 3-10 12th
9 954 2019 Richie 4-8 13th 90.95 0.364 19.87 5-8 12th
10 950 2023 Scott 6-6 9th 91.99 0.389 19.90 8-6 7th