2011 Pat (through 12 weeks)

5-7 (0.417), 1,060.12 points (88.34 average)

10th place

4.51 expected wins (0.376)

43-89 all-play record (0.326)

+2.4% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 119.42 103.06 Rabbit 16.36
2 L 104.84 138.17 Derrek -33.33
3 W 93.59 72.00 Allen 21.59
4 L 102.38 165.61 Rob -63.23
5 L 49.67 106.75 Babel -57.08 Slapped Heartbeat
6 L 70.39 134.36 Dave -63.97
7 L 48.73 93.93 Ed -45.20 Slapped Heartbeat
8 W 90.89 72.51 Matt 18.38
9 L 102.28 107.15 Pulley -4.87
10 L 52.13 112.20 Mike R. -60.07 Slapped Heartbeat
11 W 109.79 83.90 Kevin 25.89
12 W 116.01 80.64 Mike R. 35.37
13 Rabbit

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%01234567891011120.0%41.37278106508876141.2307692307692300.0%95.81065088757397141.2307692307692310.0%150.24852071005915141.2307692307692320.0%204.68639053254438141.2307692307692330.0%259.1242603550296141.23076923076923427.9%313.5621301775148672.050.0%368.0141.2307692307692360.0%422.4378698224852141.2307692307692370.0%476.87573964497045141.2307692307692380.0%531.3136094674556141.2307692307692390.0%585.7514792899409141.23076923076923100.0%640.189349112426141.23076923076923110.0%694.6272189349113141.23076923076923120.1%41.37278106508876141.072458262987600.9%95.81065088757397139.0222715113586715.0%150.24852071005915128.73100162730844215.1%204.68639053254438103.69813336841672326.5%259.124260355029675.5059158642333640.0%313.562130177514862.7692307692307736517.4%368.097.9095443023597366.1%422.4378698224852126.1074054215570871.0%476.87573964497045138.7184432284796980.0%531.3136094674556141.10989394882690.0%585.7514792899409141.23076923076923100.0%640.189349112426141.23076923076923110.0%694.6272189349113141.2307692307692312Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st123456789101112Rank by WeekWeek3rd11.74615384615384558.99300699300701514th65.1377622377622385.5664335664335725th118.52937062937062112.1398601398601637th171.92097902097902165.2867132867133411th225.3125874125874271.5804195804196511th278.7041958041958271.5804195804196611th332.09580419580413271.5804195804196711th385.4874125874125271.5804195804196812th438.87902097902094298.15384615384613912th492.27062937062936298.153846153846131011th545.6622377622377271.58041958041961111th599.053846153846271.5804195804196123rd11.74615384615384558.99300699300701514th65.1377622377622385.5664335664335723rd118.5293706293706258.99300699300701536th171.92097902097902138.71328671328675410th225.3125874125874245.006993006993511th278.7041958041958271.5804195804196612th332.09580419580413298.15384615384613712th385.4874125874125298.15384615384613812th438.87902097902094298.15384615384613912th492.27062937062936298.153846153846131011th545.6622377622377271.58041958041961110th599.053846153846245.006993006993123rd11.74615384615384558.99300699300701514th65.1377622377622385.5664335664335725th118.52937062937062112.1398601398601637th171.92097902097902165.2867132867133411th225.3125874125874271.5804195804196511th278.7041958041958271.5804195804196612th332.09580419580413298.15384615384613712th385.4874125874125298.15384615384613812th438.87902097902094298.15384615384613912th492.27062937062936298.153846153846131012th545.6622377622377298.153846153846131111th599.053846153846271.580419580419612Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.03 3 Andre Johnson WR
2.10 22 Peyton Manning QB
3.03 27 Beanie Wells RB
4.10 46 Ray Rice K RB
5.03 51 Chad Ochocinco WR
6.10 70 Greg Olsen TE
7.03 75 C.J. Spiller RB
8.10 94 Lee Evans WR
9.03 99 Austin Collie K WR
10.10 118 Baltimore DEF
11.03 123 Donald Brown RB
12.10 142 Jerricho Cotchery WR
13.03 147 Dustin Keller TE
14.10 166 Chad Henne QB
15.03 171 Nick Folk K
16.10 190 Jordan Shipley WR

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.0001234567891011120.80837.85384615384615683.11769674878910.00089.00769230769231137.565328628767720.354140.16153846153844113.7160742526731530.000191.3153846153846137.565328628767740.000242.46923076923073137.565328628767750.000293.62307692307695137.565328628767760.000344.7769230769231137.565328628767770.314395.9307692307692116.4321832192173180.000447.0846153846154137.565328628767790.000498.23846153846154137.5653286287677100.662549.392307692307792.92219759023106110.766600.546153846153985.9493396299828120.00037.85384615384615628.670064868810310.56589.0076923076923199.5155456696646820.000140.1615384615384489.866819876578630.518191.3153846153846102.632828751488094-0.024242.46923076923073139.1844407916303250.071293.62307692307695132.77581520438216-0.027344.7769230769231139.3980489297684670.000395.930769230769295.2990378096669380.515447.0846153846154102.881685700083619-0.014498.23846153846154138.48922605827602100.000549.392307692307748.27906655169444110.000600.546153846153934.33335063119791612Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week00661111123456789101112938.9211538461538484.587412587412591091.5173076923077141.2307692307692323144.1134615384615122.3496503496503530196.7096153846154141.2307692307692340249.30576923076924141.2307692307692350301.901923076923141.2307692307692360354.4980769230769141.2307692307692374407.09423076923076116.0559440559440580459.6903846153845141.2307692307692390512.2865384615385141.23076923076923108564.882692307692390.88111888111888117617.478846153846197.1748251748251712038.9211538461538427.9440559440559471391.5173076923077122.3496503496503520144.1134615384615103.4685314685314734196.7096153846154116.0559440559440540249.30576923076924141.2307692307692351301.901923076923134.9370629370629360354.4980769230769141.2307692307692370407.0942307692307690.881118881118984459.6903846153845116.0559440559440590512.2865384615385141.23076923076923100564.882692307692340.53146853146853110617.478846153846153.1188811188811212All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2011 Pat 5-7 10th 88.34 0.376 25.14 5-8 11th
1 986 2014 Derrek 5-7 12th 87.76 0.370 24.99 5-8 12th
2 982 2013 Richie 5-7 11th 86.56 0.377 21.33 6-7 10th
3 975 2025 Richie 7-5 6th 86.55 0.368 26.65 8-6 6th
4 966 2016 Pat 7-5 5th 89.61 0.370 16.58 7-6 7th
5 963 2015 Pat 5-7 11th 85.47 0.386 23.03 6-7 9th
6 962 2014 Schertz 5-7 11th 90.16 0.380 14.21 5-8 13th
7 961 2009 Pulley 4-8 12th 88.76 0.362 19.83 4-9 12th
8 959 2019 Richie 4-8 13th 90.95 0.365 19.87 5-8 12th
9 958 2010 Pat 3-9 12th 84.74 0.365 21.61 3-10 12th
10 957 2023 Scott 6-6 9th 91.99 0.385 19.90 8-6 7th