2011 Pat (through 12 weeks)

5-7 (0.417), 1,060.12 points (88.34 average)

10th place

4.51 expected wins (0.376)

43-89 all-play record (0.326)

+2.4% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 119.42 103.06 Rabbit 16.36
2 L 104.84 138.17 Derrek -33.33
3 W 93.59 72.00 Allen 21.59
4 L 102.38 165.61 Rob -63.23
5 L 49.67 106.75 Babel -57.08 Slapped Heartbeat
6 L 70.39 134.36 Dave -63.97
7 L 48.73 93.93 Ed -45.20 Slapped Heartbeat
8 W 90.89 72.51 Matt 18.38
9 L 102.28 107.15 Pulley -4.87
10 L 52.13 112.20 Mike R. -60.07 Slapped Heartbeat
11 W 109.79 83.90 Kevin 25.89
12 W 116.01 80.64 Mike R. 35.37
13 Rabbit

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%01234567891011120.0%41.37278106508876141.2307692307692300.0%95.81065088757397141.2307692307692310.0%150.24852071005915141.2307692307692320.0%204.68639053254438141.2307692307692330.0%259.1242603550296141.23076923076923427.9%313.5621301775148672.050.0%368.0141.2307692307692360.0%422.4378698224852141.2307692307692370.0%476.87573964497045141.2307692307692380.0%531.3136094674556141.2307692307692390.0%585.7514792899409141.23076923076923100.0%640.189349112426141.23076923076923110.0%694.6272189349113141.23076923076923120.1%41.37278106508876141.072458262987600.9%95.81065088757397139.0222715113586715.0%150.24852071005915128.73100162730844215.1%204.68639053254438103.69813336841672326.5%259.124260355029675.5059158642333640.0%313.562130177514862.7692307692307736517.4%368.097.9095443023597366.1%422.4378698224852126.1074054215570871.0%476.87573964497045138.7184432284796980.0%531.3136094674556141.10989394882690.0%585.7514792899409141.23076923076923100.0%640.189349112426141.23076923076923110.0%694.6272189349113141.2307692307692312Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st123456789101112Rank by WeekWeek3rd11.74615384615384558.99300699300701514th65.1377622377622385.5664335664335725th118.52937062937062112.1398601398601637th171.92097902097902165.2867132867133411th225.3125874125874271.5804195804196511th278.7041958041958271.5804195804196611th332.09580419580413271.5804195804196711th385.4874125874125271.5804195804196812th438.87902097902094298.15384615384613912th492.27062937062936298.153846153846131011th545.6622377622377271.58041958041961111th599.053846153846271.5804195804196123rd11.74615384615384558.99300699300701514th65.1377622377622385.5664335664335723rd118.5293706293706258.99300699300701536th171.92097902097902138.71328671328675410th225.3125874125874245.006993006993511th278.7041958041958271.5804195804196612th332.09580419580413298.15384615384613712th385.4874125874125298.15384615384613812th438.87902097902094298.15384615384613912th492.27062937062936298.153846153846131011th545.6622377622377271.58041958041961110th599.053846153846245.006993006993123rd11.74615384615384558.99300699300701514th65.1377622377622385.5664335664335725th118.52937062937062112.1398601398601637th171.92097902097902165.2867132867133411th225.3125874125874271.5804195804196511th278.7041958041958271.5804195804196612th332.09580419580413298.15384615384613712th385.4874125874125298.15384615384613812th438.87902097902094298.15384615384613912th492.27062937062936298.153846153846131012th545.6622377622377298.153846153846131111th599.053846153846271.580419580419612Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.03 3 Andre Johnson WR
2.10 22 Peyton Manning QB
3.03 27 Beanie Wells RB
4.10 46 Ray Rice Kx2 RB
5.03 51 Chad Ochocinco WR
6.10 70 Greg Olsen TE
7.03 75 C.J. Spiller RB
8.10 94 Lee Evans WR
9.03 99 Austin Collie K WR
10.10 118 Baltimore DEF
11.03 123 Donald Brown RB
12.10 142 Jerricho Cotchery WR
13.03 147 Dustin Keller TE
14.10 166 Chad Henne QB
15.03 171 Nick Folk K
16.10 190 Jordan Shipley WR

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.0001234567891011120.80837.85384615384615683.11769674878910.00089.00769230769231137.565328628767720.354140.16153846153844113.7160742526731530.000191.3153846153846137.565328628767740.000242.46923076923073137.565328628767750.000293.62307692307695137.565328628767760.000344.7769230769231137.565328628767770.314395.9307692307692116.4321832192173180.000447.0846153846154137.565328628767790.000498.23846153846154137.5653286287677100.662549.392307692307792.92219759023106110.766600.546153846153985.9493396299828120.00037.85384615384615628.670064868810310.56589.0076923076923199.5155456696646820.000140.1615384615384489.866819876578630.518191.3153846153846102.632828751488094-0.024242.46923076923073139.1844407916303250.071293.62307692307695132.77581520438216-0.027344.7769230769231139.3980489297684670.000395.930769230769295.2990378096669380.515447.0846153846154102.881685700083619-0.014498.23846153846154138.48922605827602100.000549.392307692307748.27906655169444110.000600.546153846153934.33335063119791612Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week00661111123456789101112938.9211538461538484.587412587412591091.5173076923077141.2307692307692323144.1134615384615122.3496503496503530196.7096153846154141.2307692307692340249.30576923076924141.2307692307692350301.901923076923141.2307692307692360354.4980769230769141.2307692307692374407.09423076923076116.0559440559440580459.6903846153845141.2307692307692390512.2865384615385141.23076923076923108564.882692307692390.88111888111888117617.478846153846197.1748251748251712038.9211538461538427.9440559440559471391.5173076923077122.3496503496503520144.1134615384615103.4685314685314734196.7096153846154116.0559440559440540249.30576923076924141.2307692307692351301.901923076923134.9370629370629360354.4980769230769141.2307692307692370407.0942307692307690.881118881118984459.6903846153845116.0559440559440590512.2865384615385141.23076923076923100564.882692307692340.53146853146853110617.478846153846153.1188811188811212All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2011 Pat 5-7 10th 88.34 0.376 25.14 5-8 11th
1 986 2014 Derrek 5-7 12th 87.76 0.370 24.99 5-8 12th
2 982 2013 Richie 5-7 11th 86.56 0.377 21.33 6-7 10th
3 975 2025 Richie 7-5 6th 86.55 0.368 26.65 8-6 6th 4th place
4 966 2016 Pat 7-5 5th 89.61 0.370 16.58 7-6 7th
5 963 2015 Pat 5-7 11th 85.47 0.386 23.03 6-7 9th
6 962 2014 Schertz 5-7 11th 90.16 0.380 14.21 5-8 13th
7 961 2009 Pulley 4-8 12th 88.76 0.362 19.83 4-9 12th
8 959 2019 Richie 4-8 13th 90.95 0.365 19.87 5-8 12th
9 958 2010 Pat 3-9 12th 84.74 0.365 21.61 3-10 12th
10 957 2023 Scott 6-6 9th 91.99 0.385 19.90 8-6 7th