2016 Pat (through 12 weeks)

7-5 (0.583), 1,075.35 points

5th place

4.42 expected wins (0.369)

56-100 all-play record (0.359)

-36.5% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 120.17 99.16 Ed 21.01
2 W 99.38 83.87 Mike R. 15.51
3 L 91.12 105.43 Babel -14.31
4 L 59.62 70.22 Kevin -10.60 Slapped Heartbeat
5 L 71.45 109.18 Matt -37.73
6 L 63.16 69.91 Dave -6.75 Slapped Heartbeat
7 W 89.78 70.14 Allen 19.64
8 W 96.60 74.36 Rob 22.24
9 W 94.28 86.16 Schertz 8.12
10 W 104.96 104.88 Derrek 0.08
11 L 89.55 98.03 Pulley -8.48
12 W 95.28 61.63 Richie 33.65
13 Rabbit

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%01234567891011120.0%30.130177514792905141.2307692307692300.0%69.77514792899409141.2307692307692310.0%109.42011834319527141.2307692307692320.0%149.06508875739644141.2307692307692330.0%188.71005917159763141.2307692307692340.0%228.35502958579883141.2307692307692350.0%268.0141.2307692307692366.2%307.64497041420117124.6243353926052370.0%347.28994082840245141.2307692307692380.0%386.93491124260356141.2307692307692390.0%426.5798816568048141.23076923076923100.0%466.2248520710059141.23076923076923110.0%505.8698224852071141.23076923076923120.1%30.130177514792905140.829812494553901.7%69.77514792899409136.6880335969520717.4%109.42011834319527121.22406962599644217.7%149.0650887573964493.66798844855717325.7%188.7100591715976372.0424.2%228.3550295857988375.95301023940324515.1%268.0100.5652033824319660.0%307.64497041420117108.0179015544412471.6%347.28994082840245136.9476986338959880.2%386.93491124260356140.5859409930788590.0%426.5798816568048141.1817505350902100.0%466.2248520710059141.229210128338110.0%505.8698224852071141.2307528483826812Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st123456789101112Rank by WeekWeek3rd11.74615384615384550.81656804733728414th65.1377622377622373.3017751479289928th118.52937062937062163.24260355029585310th171.92097902097902208.2130177514793412th225.3125874125874253.18343195266272513th278.7041958041958275.6686390532544613th332.09580419580413275.6686390532544714th385.4874125874125298.15384615384613813th438.87902097902094275.6686390532544911th492.27062937062936230.6982248520711012th545.6622377622377253.183431952662721112th599.053846153846253.18343195266272123rd11.74615384615384550.81656804733728414th65.1377622377622373.3017751479289927th118.52937062937062140.75739644970415310th171.92097902097902208.2130177514793411th225.3125874125874230.698224852071513th278.7041958041958275.6686390532544612th332.09580419580413253.18343195266272710th385.4874125874125208.213017751479387th438.87902097902094140.7573964497041595th492.2706293706293695.7869822485207106th545.6622377622377118.27218934911241115th599.05384615384695.7869822485207123rd11.74615384615384550.81656804733728415th65.1377622377622395.786982248520729th118.52937062937062185.7278106508876311th171.92097902097902230.698224852071412th225.3125874125874253.18343195266272514th278.7041958041958298.15384615384613614th332.09580419580413298.15384615384613714th385.4874125874125298.15384615384613814th438.87902097902094298.15384615384613913th492.27062937062936275.66863905325441014th545.6622377622377298.153846153846131112th599.053846153846253.1834319526627212Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.08 8 Aaron Rodgers QB
2.07 21 Eddie Lacy RB
3.08 36 Michael Floyd WR
4.07 49 Duke Johnson, Jr. RB
5.08 64 Mike Wallace K WR
6.07 77 Julius Thomas TE
7.08 92 Matthew Stafford K QB
8.07 105 Willie Snead WR
9.08 120 Kenneth Dixon RB
10.07 133 Ted Ginn, Jr. WR
11.08 148 Sammie Coates WR
12.07 161 Devontae Booker RB
13.08 176 Victor Cruz WR
14.07 189 Graham Gano K
15.08 204 New England DEF
16.07 217 Charles Clay TE

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.0001234567891011120.82625.99487179487179584.0133908278195910.50061.12307692307692106.6281693519874820.00096.25128205128203141.2307692307692330.000131.37948717948717141.2307692307692340.000166.5076923076923141.2307692307692350.000201.63589743589745141.2307692307692360.340236.76410256410256117.6741817768574170.455271.89230769230767109.7192345573008780.419307.0205128205128112.2534534572453190.599342.1487179487179499.78691474316885100.000377.2769230769231141.23076923076923110.436412.4051282051282111.07157558462549120.00025.99487179487179526.79601242486994310.00061.1230769230769272.0255694732057320.35896.25128205128203116.4241186423556730.021131.37948717948717139.7889350472245840.099166.5076923076923134.3568425172988450.035201.63589743589745138.811612960250560.000236.7641025641025694.117594322945670.000271.8923076923076778.2076998838325280.000307.020512820512883.276137683721490.000342.1487179487179458.343060255568474100.336377.2769230769231117.93555861407141110.000412.405128205128280.9123819384817612Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week007713131234567891011121127.06217948717948582.65088757396451663.6326923076923109.2781065088757420100.20320512820511141.2307692307692330136.77371794871794141.2307692307692340173.3442307692307141.2307692307692350209.91474358974358141.2307692307692366246.4852564102564109.2781065088757477283.0557692307692103.9526627218934986319.62628205128203109.2781065088757498356.1967948717948598.62721893491124100392.7673076923077141.23076923076923113429.3378205128205125.2544378698224812027.06217948717948524.0710059171597521063.632692307692377.3254437869822523100.20320512820511125.2544378698224830136.77371794871794141.2307692307692341173.3442307692307135.9053254437869850209.91474358974358141.2307692307692360246.485256410256477.3254437869822570283.055769230769266.6745562130177580319.6262820512820377.3254437869822590356.1967948717948556.02366863905324105392.7673076923077114.60355029585799110429.3378205128205109.2781065088757412All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2016 Pat 7-5 5th 89.61 0.369 16.58 7-6 7th
1 989 2009 Pulley 4-8 12th 88.76 0.369 19.83 4-9 12th
2 982 2014 Schertz 5-7 11th 90.16 0.374 14.21 5-8 13th
3 981 2022 Pat 6-6 10th 88.96 0.361 15.85 8-6 6th 6th place
4 978 2019 Richie 4-8 13th 90.95 0.364 19.87 5-8 12th
5 971 2017 Allen 4-8 12th 85.88 0.365 12.97 5-8 12th
6 967 2010 Pat 3-9 12th 84.74 0.367 21.61 3-10 12th
7 967 2013 Richie 5-7 11th 86.56 0.374 21.33 6-7 10th
8 967 2014 Derrek 5-7 12th 87.76 0.373 24.99 5-8 12th
9 962 2011 Pat 5-7 10th 88.34 0.376 25.14 5-8 11th
10 957 2008 Matt 2-10 12th 83.04 0.374 20.13 3-10 12th