2023 Schertz (through 10 weeks)

4-6 (0.400), 974.51 points

11th place

4.40 expected wins (0.440)

60-70 all-play record (0.462)

+8.0% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 76.13 63.28 Scott 12.85
2 W 94.72 80.58 Kevin 14.14
3 L 74.79 129.29 Pulley -54.50
4 W 139.82 85.70 Richie 54.12 Team Blangums
5 W 131.30 100.59 Rob 30.71
6 L 66.01 92.96 Derrek -26.95 Slapped Heartbeat
7 L 94.26 123.75 Rabbit -29.49
8 L 107.86 117.33 Ed -9.47
9 L 97.22 112.56 Scott -15.34
10 L 92.40 120.79 Matt -28.39
11 Babel
12 Dave
13 Mike R.
14 Pat

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%0123456789100.0%33.73426573426574141.2307692307692300.0%80.5874125874126141.2307692307692310.0%127.44055944055944141.2307692307692320.0%174.29370629370626141.23076923076923329.8%221.1468531468531572.040.0%268.0141.2307692307692350.0%314.8531468531468141.2307692307692360.0%361.7062937062937141.2307692307692370.0%408.5594405594406141.2307692307692380.0%455.41258741258747141.2307692307692390.0%502.2657342657343141.23076923076923100.0%33.73426573426574141.1806265277279800.6%80.5874125874126139.8252634951563815.3%127.44055944055944128.87084905946062218.0%174.2937062937062699.5097545296795730.0%221.146853146853152.7692307692307736427.2%268.078.00439263799245514.2%314.8531468531468108.3115085890994264.1%361.7062937062937131.6568687309758270.6%408.5594405594406139.785020613902380.0%455.41258741258747141.129893137082190.0%502.2657342657343141.228432661374710Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678910Rank by WeekWeek9th11.746153846153845185.727810650887619th77.0025641025641185.7278106508876212th142.2589743589743253.1834319526627239th207.5153846153846185.727810650887647th272.77179487179484140.7573964497041559th338.0282051282051185.727810650887669th403.28461538461534185.727810650887679th468.5410256410256185.727810650887689th533.7974358974359185.7278106508876910th599.053846153846208.2130177514793107th11.746153846153845140.7573964497041514th77.002564102564173.3017751479289929th142.2589743589743185.727810650887636th207.5153846153846118.2721893491124145th272.7717948717948495.786982248520755th338.028205128205195.786982248520767th403.28461538461534140.7573964497041579th468.5410256410256185.7278106508876810th533.7974358974359208.2130177514793911th599.053846153846230.698224852071109th11.746153846153845185.727810650887618th77.0025641025641163.24260355029585212th142.2589743589743253.1834319526627238th207.5153846153846163.2426035502958547th272.77179487179484140.7573964497041557th338.0282051282051140.7573964497041568th403.28461538461534163.2426035502958579th468.5410256410256185.727810650887689th533.7974358974359185.727810650887699th599.053846153846185.727810650887610Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.08 8 Saquon Barkley RB
2.07 21 Najee Harris RB
3.08 36 D.J. Moore WR
4.07 49 T.J. Hockenson TE
5.08 64 Khalil Herbert RB
6.07 77 Jahan Dotson WR
7.08 92 Quentin Johnston WR
8.07 105 Treylon Burks K WR
9.08 120 Justin Fields K QB
10.07 133 Jameson Williams WR
11.08 148 San Francisco DEF
12.07 161 Tyler Bass K
13.08 176 Joshua Kelley RB
14.07 189 Matt Breida RB
15.08 204 Kareem Hunt RB
16.07 217 Chase Claypool WR

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456789100.13529.507692307692306131.8863037815762610.41271.66153846153847112.6807883515040520.000113.8153846153846141.2307692307692330.936155.9692307692307376.406229030326240.894198.1230769230769279.3381952912484750.000240.27692307692305141.2307692307692360.000282.4307692307692141.2307692307692370.000324.58461538461535141.2307692307692380.000366.73846153846154141.2307692307692390.000408.89230769230767141.23076923076923100.00029.507692307692306122.541838332383310.00071.6615384615384784.1308074722388620.120113.8153846153846132.9090827098049830.000155.9692307692307311.58168882988317740.000198.1230769230769217.4456213517277150.042240.27692307692305138.3298110294170760.405282.4307692307692113.2262704465593470.638324.5846153846153597.0663633805459180.450366.73846153846154110.0670199793640390.369408.89230769230767115.6582114536809210Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0077131312345678910530.719230769230762114.603550295857991474.60384615384615119.9289940828402320118.48846153846154141.23076923076923313162.373076923076972.0411206.257692307692382.650887573964550250.14230769230767141.2307692307692360294.026923076923141.2307692307692370337.9115384615384141.2307692307692380381.79615384615386141.2307692307692390425.6807692307692141.2307692307692310030.71923076923076287.976331360946741074.6038461538461598.6272189349112421118.48846153846154135.9053254437869830162.37307692307692.769230769230773640206.257692307692324.07100591715975250250.14230769230767141.2307692307692367294.026923076923103.9526627218934975337.9115384615384114.60355029585799810381.7961538461538687.9763313609467494425.6807692307692119.9289940828402310All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2023 Schertz 4-6 11th 97.45 0.440 22.47 6-8 9th
1 987 2019 Scott 3-7 13th 95.18 0.438 22.46 4-9 14th
2 972 2019 Mike R. 6-4 5th 99.07 0.449 24.26 8-5 4th 4th place
3 968 2014 Kevin 3-7 13th 95.58 0.451 20.75 4-9 14th
4 967 2012 Babel 4-6 8th 92.72 0.441 16.32 6-7 6th 2nd place
5 967 2019 Dave 4-6 11th 98.17 0.449 15.89 6-7 10th
6 966 2016 Allen 4-6 11th 97.36 0.456 22.08 4-9 13th
7 964 2023 Dave 5-5 8th 98.41 0.456 22.79 6-8 10th
8 964 2013 Schertz 5-5 7th 91.68 0.446 21.52 6-7 9th
9 962 2024 Matt 6-4 5th 96.20 0.456 21.15 8-6 6th
10 961 2018 Babel 3-7 13th 101.02 0.435 15.55 4-9 12th