2023 Dave (through 10 weeks)

5-5 (0.500), 984.10 points (98.41 average)

8th place

4.54 expected wins (0.454)

58-72 all-play record (0.446)

-15.9% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 83.70 63.20 Derrek 20.50
2 L 85.05 93.59 Ed -8.54
3 W 120.41 72.32 Scott 48.09
4 L 71.98 109.71 Rob -37.73
5 L 87.27 101.66 Babel -14.39
6 W 113.32 86.17 Rabbit 27.15
7 W 144.61 110.68 Pat 33.93 Team Blangums
8 L 115.48 149.12 Pulley -33.64
9 W 92.23 84.46 Mike R. 7.77
10 L 70.05 90.10 Derrek -20.05 Slapped Heartbeat
11 Matt
12 Schertz
13 Richie
14 Kevin

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%0123456789100.0%46.32167832167832141.2307692307692300.0%110.65734265734265141.2307692307692310.0%174.993006993007141.2307692307692320.0%239.3286713286713141.2307692307692330.0%303.6643356643357141.23076923076923429.5%367.9999999999999472.5326246398119750.0%432.33566433566426141.2307692307692360.0%496.67132867132864141.2307692307692370.0%561.006993006993141.2307692307692380.0%625.3426573426574141.2307692307692390.0%689.6783216783215141.23076923076923100.0%46.32167832167832141.2054350493046400.4%110.65734265734265140.2869216264505813.8%174.993006993007132.3972675623407215.2%239.3286713286713105.86023176873582329.8%303.664335664335772.040.0%367.999999999999943.834480048854715515.8%432.33566433566426104.4598841365062364.7%496.67132867132864130.3598407914364870.7%561.006993006993139.507648489666280.1%625.3426573426574141.0988480457908790.0%689.6783216783215141.2269728245550510Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678910Rank by WeekWeek8th11.746153846153845163.24260355029585112th77.0025641025641253.1834319526627229th142.2589743589743185.7278106508876311th207.5153846153846230.698224852071412th272.77179487179484253.18343195266272511th338.0282051282051230.69822485207167th403.28461538461534140.7573964497041577th468.5410256410256140.7573964497041587th533.7974358974359140.7573964497041599th599.053846153846185.7278106508876106th11.746153846153845118.2721893491124118th77.0025641025641163.2426035502958526th142.2589743589743118.2721893491124139th207.5153846153846185.7278106508876410th272.77179487179484208.2130177514793510th338.0282051282051208.213017751479366th403.28461538461534118.2721893491124177th468.5410256410256140.7573964497041588th533.7974358974359163.2426035502958598th599.053846153846163.24260355029585108th11.746153846153845163.2426035502958519th77.0025641025641185.727810650887628th142.2589743589743163.24260355029585311th207.5153846153846230.698224852071411th272.77179487179484230.698224852071511th338.0282051282051230.69822485207166th403.28461538461534118.2721893491124176th468.5410256410256118.2721893491124187th533.7974358974359140.7573964497041598th599.053846153846163.2426035502958510Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
7
8

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.12 12 Travis Kelce K TE
2.03 17 A.J. Brown K WR
3.12 40 Joe Burrow QB
4.03 45 James Conner RB
5.12 68 Michael Pittman, Jr. WR
6.03 73 Javonte Williams RB
7.12 96 Zay Flowers WR
8.03 101 Darnell Mooney WR
9.12 124 Jeff Wilson, Jr. RB
10.03 129 Justin Tucker K
11.12 152 Philadelphia DEF
12.03 157 Derek Carr QB
13.12 180 Clyde Edwards-Helaire RB
14.03 185 Van Jefferson WR
15.12 208 Leonard Fournette RB
16.03 213 Jalin Hyatt WR

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456789100.22242.969230769230776125.8448888127489810.000104.35384615384616141.2307692307692320.810165.7384615384615685.1641989838346430.000227.12307692307695141.2307692307692340.000288.5076923076923141.2307692307692350.717349.8923076923076791.6248597385870660.962411.27692307692374.6011876147608970.000472.6615384615384141.2307692307692380.381534.0461538461539114.8510892291906390.000595.4307692307691141.23076923076923100.00042.969230769230776110.4590083947287310.250104.35384615384616123.8888763581119920.000165.7384615384615629.09762873690003530.084227.12307692307695135.420512678056440.289288.5076923076923121.195475180595950.000349.8923076923076742.018950246404960.000411.2769230769237.97160599875255170.752472.661538461538489.1443034084089780.000534.046153846153988.4714092276120490.075595.4307692307691136.0111292915011610Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0077131312345678910644.18076923076923109.2781065088757410107.29615384615383141.2307692307692329170.4115384615384493.3017751479289930233.52692307692305141.2307692307692340296.6423076923077141.23076923076923511359.757692307692382.6508875739645613422.873076923076972.070485.9884615384615141.2307692307692388549.103846153846298.6272189349112490612.2192307692309141.2307692307692310044.1807692307692377.3254437869822511107.29615384615383135.9053254437869820170.4115384615384445.37278106508874531233.52692307692305135.9053254437869842296.6423076923077130.5798816568047350359.757692307692324.07100591715975260422.87307692307692.769230769230773677485.9884615384615103.9526627218934980549.103846153846256.0236686390532490612.2192307692309141.2307692307692310All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2023 Dave 5-5 8th 98.41 0.454 22.79 6-8 10th
1 987 2024 Matt 6-4 5th 96.20 0.455 21.15 8-6 6th 6th place
2 985 2019 Mike R. 6-4 5th 99.07 0.450 24.26 8-5 4th 4th place
3 983 2010 Matt 3-7 10th 97.49 0.460 23.79 5-8 9th
4 982 2023 Schertz 4-6 11th 97.45 0.448 22.47 6-8 9th
5 982 2023 Ed 7-3 3rd 97.12 0.455 16.73 11-3 1st 2nd place
6 982 2016 Allen 4-6 11th 97.36 0.461 22.08 4-9 13th
7 980 2020 Richie 4-6 11th 95.70 0.455 19.03 7-6 7th
8 979 2019 Pat 5-5 8th 99.42 0.456 16.38 6-7 9th
9 976 2024 Schertz 4-6 11th 94.88 0.455 18.87 7-7 7th
10 975 2014 Kevin 3-7 13th 95.58 0.450 20.75 4-9 14th