2016 Allen (through 10 weeks)

4-6 (0.400), 973.64 points

11th place

4.56 expected wins (0.456)

62-68 all-play record (0.477)

-4.2% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 72.19 85.25 Richie -13.06 Slapped Heartbeat
2 W 106.42 91.85 Dave 14.57
3 W 136.95 98.49 Mike R. 38.46 Team Blangums
4 W 105.54 93.80 Pulley 11.74
5 L 77.03 129.47 Schertz -52.44
6 L 75.57 76.61 Babel -1.04
7 L 70.14 89.78 Pat -19.64
8 W 104.28 86.50 Ed 17.78
9 L 99.08 110.71 Matt -11.63
10 L 126.44 135.15 Rob -8.71
11 Kevin
12 Rabbit
13 Derrek

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%0123456789100.0%33.73426573426574141.2307692307692300.0%80.5874125874126141.2307692307692310.0%127.44055944055944141.2307692307692320.0%174.29370629370626141.23076923076923328.6%221.1468531468531574.8199030272529840.0%268.0141.2307692307692350.0%314.8531468531468141.2307692307692360.0%361.7062937062937141.2307692307692370.0%408.5594405594406141.2307692307692380.0%455.41258741258747141.2307692307692390.0%502.2657342657343141.23076923076923100.0%33.73426573426574141.1902166321521600.5%80.5874125874126140.1646497931437214.0%127.44055944055944132.02091200729905214.9%174.29370629370626106.6755361874179230.0%221.146853146853158.409036823736727429.8%268.072.0516.7%314.8531468531468102.45640365662264.8%361.7062937062937130.1038832066706270.7%408.5594405594406139.5798133428820680.1%455.41258741258747141.1102159464036390.0%502.2657342657343141.227349044686910Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678910Rank by WeekWeek14th11.746153846153845298.15384615384613112th77.0025641025641253.1834319526627229th142.2589743589743185.727810650887637th207.5153846153846140.7573964497041549th272.77179487179484185.7278106508876510th338.0282051282051208.2130177514793610th403.28461538461534208.213017751479379th468.5410256410256185.7278106508876810th533.7974358974359208.213017751479399th599.053846153846185.72781065088761014th11.746153846153845298.1538461538461319th77.0025641025641185.727810650887626th142.2589743589743118.2721893491124132nd207.515384615384628.33136094674557648th272.77179487179484163.2426035502958559th338.0282051282051185.7278106508876610th403.28461538461534208.213017751479379th468.5410256410256185.7278106508876811th533.7974358974359230.698224852071911th599.053846153846230.6982248520711014th11.746153846153845298.15384615384613112th77.0025641025641253.1834319526627228th142.2589743589743163.2426035502958537th207.5153846153846140.7573964497041549th272.77179487179484185.7278106508876510th338.0282051282051208.2130177514793610th403.28461538461534208.2130177514793711th468.5410256410256230.698224852071810th533.7974358974359208.213017751479399th599.053846153846185.727810650887610Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.02 2 Ezekiel Elliott RB
2.13 27 Russell Wilson K QB
3.02 30 Eric Decker WR
4.13 55 Rashad Jennings RB
5.02 58 Tyler Lockett WR
6.13 83 Isaiah Crowell RB
7.02 86 Marvin Jones, Jr. WR
8.13 111 DeAndre Washington RB
9.02 114 Jordan Reed K TE
10.13 139 Mohamed Sanu WR
11.02 142 Kansas City DEF
12.13 167 Wendell Smallwood RB
13.02 170 Jaelen Strong WR
14.13 195 Paul Perkins RB
15.02 198 Brock Osweiler QB
16.13 223 Josh Brown K

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456789100.00029.507692307692306141.2307692307692310.62071.6615384615384798.2826585758299420.931113.815384615384676.7474800314590230.605155.9692307692307399.3395301349995940.000198.12307692307692141.2307692307692350.000240.27692307692305141.2307692307692360.000282.4307692307692141.2307692307692370.579324.58461538461535101.1578037851839680.000366.73846153846154141.2307692307692390.000408.89230769230767141.23076923076923100.10029.507692307692306134.2731126391664710.00071.6615384615384755.3345479208906720.000113.815384615384612.26419083214881330.000155.9692307692307357.4482910392299640.153198.12307692307692130.6138369181704850.134240.27692307692305131.943449524867860.083282.4307692307692135.4890831427272870.000324.5846153846153561.0848383395986980.488366.73846153846154107.4422120886336290.870408.8923076923076781.0204231093922510Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0077131312345678910030.719230769230762141.230769230769231974.6038461538461593.30177514792899213118.4884615384615472.038162.373076923076998.6272189349112440206.2576923076923141.2307692307692350250.14230769230767141.2307692307692360294.026923076923141.2307692307692378337.911538461538498.6272189349112480381.79615384615386141.2307692307692390425.6807692307692141.2307692307692310030.719230769230762141.230769230769231074.6038461538461545.37278106508874520118.488461538461542.769230769230773630162.373076923076956.0236686390532443206.2576923076923125.2544378698224853250.14230769230767125.2544378698224861294.026923076923135.9053254437869870337.911538461538456.0236686390532487381.79615384615386103.95266272189349910425.680769230769287.9763313609467410All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2016 Allen 4-6 11th 97.36 0.456 22.08 4-9 13th
1 993 2023 Dave 5-5 8th 98.41 0.456 22.79 6-8 10th
2 992 2024 Matt 6-4 5th 96.20 0.456 21.15 8-6 6th
3 987 2023 Ed 7-3 3rd 97.12 0.456 16.73 11-3 1st 2nd place
4 983 2020 Richie 4-6 11th 95.70 0.454 19.03 7-6 7th
5 982 2015 Babel 4-6 10th 95.75 0.459 25.70 5-8 10th
6 982 2024 Schertz 4-6 11th 94.88 0.456 18.87 7-7 7th
7 979 2014 Kevin 3-7 13th 95.58 0.451 20.75 4-9 14th
8 976 2010 Matt 3-7 10th 97.49 0.466 23.79 5-8 9th
9 974 2019 Pat 5-5 8th 99.42 0.459 16.38 6-7 9th
10 974 2019 Mike R. 6-4 5th 99.07 0.449 24.26 8-5 4th 4th place