2025 Derrek (through 4 weeks)

2-2 (0.500), 382.59 points (95.65 average)

9th place

1.74 expected wins (0.434)

24-28 all-play record (0.462)

+21.5% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 103.80 89.67 Pulley 14.13
2 L 88.30 112.82 Matt -24.52
3 W 119.37 95.32 Kevin 24.05
4 L 71.12 146.34 Babel -75.22 Slapped Heartbeat
5 Schertz
6 Dave
7 Mike R.
8 Richie
9 Pat
10 Scott
11 Ed
12 Pulley
13 Rob
14 Rabbit

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%10.0%10.0%20.0%20.0%30.0%30.0%40.0%40.0%012340.0%61.846153846153854141.2307692307692300.0%164.92307692307693141.23076923076923144.3%268.0000000000000671.9999999999999920.0%371.0769230769231141.2307692307692330.0%474.1538461538462141.2307692307692345.6%61.846153846153854132.47050570920027033.2%164.9230769230769389.2666420924282110.0%268.000000000000062.769230769230745215.8%371.0769230769231116.5769843757796331.1%474.1538461538462139.494524794792884Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st1234Rank by WeekWeek4th11.74615384615384573.30177514792899110th207.5153846153846208.213017751479326th403.28461538461534118.27218934911241310th599.053846153846208.213017751479344th11.74615384615384573.30177514792899110th207.5153846153846208.213017751479325th403.2846153846153495.786982248520739th599.053846153846185.727810650887644th11.74615384615384573.30177514792899110th207.5153846153846208.213017751479326th403.28461538461534118.27218934911241311th599.053846153846230.6982248520714Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.02 2 Christian McCaffrey RB
2.13 27 TreVeyon Henderson RB
3.02 30 DK Metcalf WR
4.13 55 Jakobi Meyers WR
5.02 58 Jerry Jeudy WR
6.13 83 Cooper Kupp WR
7.02 86 Ladd McConkey K WR
8.13 111 Colston Loveland TE
9.02 114 Justin Herbert QB
10.13 139 Austin Ekeler RB
11.02 142 Minnesota DEF
12.13 167 Ricky Pearsall K WR
13.02 170 MarShawn Lloyd RB
14.13 195 Will Shipley RB
15.02 198 Cam Ward QB
16.13 223 Wil Lutz K

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.00012340.54761.12307692307692103.3342389249427210.000166.5076923076923141.2307692307692320.808271.8923076923076785.2849204053119630.000377.276923076923141.2307692307692340.00061.1230769230769265.4377086191162210.295166.5076923076923120.820796204691320.000271.8923076923076729.3390715798546930.085377.276923076923135.335369925690774Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0077131312341063.632692307692387.9763313609467410173.34423076923076141.23076923076923211283.055769230769282.650887573964530392.76730769230767141.230769230769234063.632692307692334.7218934911242513173.34423076923076125.2544378698224820283.055769230769224.07100591715975230392.76730769230767141.230769230769234All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2025 Derrek 2-2 9th 95.65 0.434 17.92
1 982 2014 Ed 2-2 9th 94.67 0.432 12.75 6-7 8th
2 981 2022 Kevin 2-2 9th 91.74 0.436 17.79 6-8 12th
3 977 2019 Richie 2-2 9th 96.22 0.425 19.33 5-8 12th
4 973 2009 Ed 2-2 9th 93.03 0.432 11.73 7-6 4th 6th place
5 969 2012 Pulley 1-3 10th 93.00 0.441 15.26 4-9 12th
6 969 2025 Rob 2-2 8th 96.35 0.446 19.66
7 965 2025 Kevin 2-2 6th 98.07 0.430 26.18
8 965 2012 Derrek 2-2 8th 92.06 0.441 21.14 8-5 5th 5th place
9 963 2011 Dave 1-3 11th 101.35 0.437 13.84 3-10 12th
10 960 2021 Ed 1-3 11th 97.07 0.445 11.80 6-8 8th