2016 Matt (through 4 weeks)

2-2 (0.500), 428.38 points

8th place

1.98 expected wins (0.495)

28-24 all-play record (0.538)

+20.5% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 76.63 119.84 Pulley -43.21
2 W 139.75 75.70 Richie 64.05 Team Blangums
3 L 69.92 135.90 Dave -65.98
4 W 142.08 109.53 Schertz 32.55 Team Blangums
5 Pat
6 Ed
7 Babel
8 Rabbit
9 Allen
10 Kevin
11 Rob
12 Derrek
13 Mike R.

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%20.0%20.0%40.0%40.0%60.0%60.0%012340.0%61.846153846153854141.2307692307692300.0%164.92307692307693141.23076923076923172.8%268.0000000000000672.020.0%371.0769230769231141.2307692307692330.0%474.1538461538462141.2307692307692340.7%61.846153846153854140.59018029201496013.9%164.92307692307693128.010446638621210.0%268.000000000000062.7692307692307736212.2%371.0769230769231129.589903508216730.4%474.1538461538462140.833861473514134Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st1234Rank by WeekWeek13th11.746153846153845275.668639053254418th207.5153846153846163.24260355029585211th403.28461538461534230.69822485207139th599.053846153846185.7278106508876413th11.746153846153845275.668639053254417th207.5153846153846140.75739644970415210th403.28461538461534208.213017751479338th599.053846153846163.24260355029585413th11.746153846153845275.668639053254417th207.5153846153846140.75739644970415211th403.28461538461534230.69822485207136th599.053846153846118.272189349112414Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.10 10 Julio Jones K WR
2.05 19 Mark Ingram II RB
3.10 38 Greg Olsen TE
4.05 47 Cam Newton K QB
5.10 66 Giovani Bernard RB
6.05 75 Torrey Smith WR
7.10 94 Tavon Austin WR
8.05 103 Michael Thomas WR
9.10 122 Derrick Henry RB
10.05 131 C.J. Prosise RB
11.10 150 Robert Woods WR
12.05 159 Marcus Mariota QB
13.10 178 Will Tye TE
14.05 187 Will Fuller V WR
15.10 206 Pittsburgh DEF
16.05 215 Chris Boswell K

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.00012340.00061.12307692307692141.2307692307692310.908166.507692307692378.3990650682213320.000271.89230769230767141.2307692307692330.914377.27692307692377.9444966556752540.11161.12307692307692133.5154850894345210.000166.507692307692315.5673609056734420.045271.89230769230767138.1066260561500230.000377.27692307692314.6582240805812774Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week007713131234063.6326923076923141.23076923076923113173.3442307692307672.020283.0557692307692141.23076923076923313392.7673076923076772.04163.6326923076923135.9053254437869810173.344230769230762.769230769230773621283.0557692307692135.9053254437869830392.767307692307672.76923076923077364All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2016 Matt 2-2 8th 107.10 0.495 33.91 5-8 10th
1 967 2018 Rabbit 2-2 8th 107.29 0.490 22.02 7-6 7th
2 957 2018 Richie 1-3 12th 105.95 0.486 23.59 5-8 11th
3 956 2020 Matt 2-2 6th 107.72 0.502 20.21 8-5 2nd 2nd place
4 947 2011 Babel 2-2 5th 105.64 0.500 15.73 7-6 7th
5 942 2011 Pat 2-2 6th 105.06 0.494 9.29 5-8 11th
6 941 2020 Rabbit 1-3 10th 109.26 0.480 23.11 6-7 10th
7 939 2021 Kevin 3-1 6th 104.06 0.507 22.23 5-9 9th
8 935 2011 Mike R. 1-3 10th 110.05 0.510 22.56 6-7 9th
9 930 2016 Ed 2-2 9th 101.14 0.505 20.69 6-7 9th
10 930 2020 Scott 2-2 7th 105.30 0.509 16.54 7-6 8th