2018 Matt (through 4 weeks)

3-1 (0.750), 479.88 points

3rd place

2.58 expected wins (0.646)

32-20 all-play record (0.615)

-33.2% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 147.40 84.03 Scott 63.37
2 W 130.28 92.06 Rabbit 38.22
3 W 95.79 87.66 Derrek 8.13
4 L 106.41 114.02 Rob -7.61
5 Dave
6 Richie
7 Schertz
8 Kevin
9 Ed
10 Babel
11 Pulley
12 Pat
13 Mike R.

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%10.0%10.0%20.0%20.0%30.0%30.0%40.0%40.0%012340.0%61.846153846153854141.2307692307692300.0%164.92307692307693141.2307692307692310.0%268.00000000000006141.23076923076923241.6%371.076923076923172.030.0%474.1538461538462141.2307692307692340.7%61.846153846153854140.1170212507334209.0%164.92307692307693126.30585871172906135.2%268.0000000000000682.5915384512392420.0%371.07692307692312.7692307692307736313.6%474.1538461538462118.559447031992394Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st1234Rank by WeekWeek2nd11.74615384615384528.33136094674557611st207.51538461538465.84615384615381121st403.284615384615345.84615384615381135th599.05384615384695.786982248520742nd11.74615384615384528.33136094674557611st207.51538461538465.84615384615381121st403.284615384615345.84615384615381133rd599.05384615384650.81656804733728442nd11.74615384615384528.33136094674557611st207.51538461538465.84615384615381121st403.284615384615345.84615384615381132nd599.05384615384628.3313609467455764Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.06 6 Melvin Gordon III RB
2.09 23 Rob Gronkowski TE
3.06 34 Brandin Cooks WR
4.09 51 Russell Wilson QB
5.06 62 Rashaad Penny RB
6.09 79 Michael Thomas K WR
7.06 90 Kenny Golladay WR
8.09 107 Keelan Cole WR
9.06 118 Giovani Bernard RB
10.09 135 Chris Godwin WR
11.06 146 Evan Engram K TE
12.09 163 Austin Ekeler RB
13.06 174 Mitchell Trubisky QB
14.09 191 John Kelly RB
15.06 202 Pittsburgh DEF
16.09 219 Josh Lambo K

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.00012340.88061.1230769230769280.3334160094665610.814166.507692307692384.8563717143001420.354271.89230769230767116.7443458544082430.000377.276923076923141.2307692307692340.00061.1230769230769219.43606278816389510.000166.507692307692328.48197419783106520.000271.8923076923076792.2579224780472330.537377.276923076923104.039158723745064Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0077131312341263.632692307692377.32544378698225111173.3442307692307682.650887573964525283.0557692307692114.6035502958579930392.76730769230767141.230769230769234063.632692307692313.4201183431952710173.3442307692307624.07100591715975220283.055769230769287.9763313609467434392.76730769230767119.928994082840234All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2018 Matt 3-1 3rd 119.97 0.646 20.17 8-5 4th 2nd place
1 959 2018 Ed 2-2 6th 116.59 0.654 13.58 6-7 9th
2 956 2018 Kevin 2-2 5th 117.27 0.656 13.63 7-6 6th 3rd place
3 951 2020 Pulley 4-0 1st 117.62 0.659 12.81 8-5 4th 4th place
4 949 2022 Matt 2-2 5th 111.66 0.652 22.86 6-8 11th
5 946 2021 Mike R. 1-3 9th 111.23 0.642 14.21 4-10 11th
6 945 2016 Rabbit 1-3 12th 112.23 0.642 12.12 9-4 2nd 2nd place
7 937 2018 Rob 4-0 1st 116.15 0.660 10.32 8-5 5th 5th place
8 931 2022 Dave 2-2 6th 106.83 0.638 20.26 8-6 3rd 3rd place
9 931 2014 Rob 3-1 2nd 108.79 0.648 9.58 8-5 3rd 5th place
10 927 2016 Schertz 2-2 6th 112.03 0.630 15.57 7-6 5th 4th place