2018 Kevin (through 4 weeks)

2-2 (0.500), 469.09 points

5th place

2.62 expected wins (0.656)

37-15 all-play record (0.712)

+26.9% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 108.58 76.15 Pat 32.43
2 W 121.51 119.04 Richie 2.47
3 L 101.62 140.04 Rabbit -38.42
4 L 137.38 160.96 Mike R. -23.58
5 Pulley
6 Schertz
7 Ed
8 Matt
9 Derrek
10 Scott
11 Babel
12 Rob
13 Dave

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%10.0%10.0%20.0%20.0%30.0%30.0%40.0%40.0%012340.0%61.846153846153854141.2307692307692300.0%164.92307692307693141.23076923076923132.4%268.0000000000000686.2206736870359320.0%371.0769230769231141.2307692307692330.0%474.1538461538462141.2307692307692340.9%61.846153846153854139.7456035320577109.5%164.92307692307693125.0943795296910410.0%268.0000000000000631.210578143302627240.8%371.076923076923172.0316.5%474.1538461538462113.25673724414294Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st1234Rank by WeekWeek4th11.74615384615384573.3017751479289913rd207.515384615384650.81656804733728426th403.28461538461534118.2721893491124133rd599.05384615384650.81656804733728444th11.74615384615384573.3017751479289914th207.515384615384673.3017751479289926th403.28461538461534118.2721893491124135th599.05384615384695.786982248520744th11.74615384615384573.3017751479289914th207.515384615384673.3017751479289926th403.28461538461534118.2721893491124133rd599.05384615384650.8165680473372844Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.11 11 Devonta Freeman RB
2.04 18 Stefon Diggs WR
3.11 39 Keenan Allen K WR
4.04 46 Marquise Goodwin WR
5.11 67 Trey Burton TE
6.04 74 Sterling Shepard WR
7.11 95 Ben Roethlisberger QB
8.04 102 Marlon Mack RB
9.11 123 Jack Doyle TE
10.04 130 Tyrell Williams WR
11.11 151 Alex Smith QB
12.04 158 John Ross III WR
13.11 179 Chris Ivory RB
14.04 186 Alvin Kamara K RB
15.11 207 Harrison Butker K
16.04 214 Denver DEF

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.00012340.57461.12307692307692101.45948298254610.750166.507692307692389.3111421572518120.000271.89230769230767141.2307692307692330.000377.276923076923141.2307692307692340.00061.1230769230769261.688196734322810.000166.507692307692337.3915150837343920.449271.89230769230767110.1190112415489930.851377.27692307692382.333517024669364Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0077131312341063.632692307692387.9763313609467419173.3442307692307693.3017751479289920283.0557692307692141.2307692307692330392.76730769230767141.230769230769234063.632692307692334.7218934911242510173.3442307692307645.37278106508874527283.0557692307692103.95266272189349311392.7673076923076782.65088757396454All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2018 Kevin 2-2 5th 117.27 0.656 13.63 7-6 6th 3rd place
1 992 2020 Pulley 4-0 1st 117.62 0.659 12.81 8-5 4th 4th place
2 992 2018 Ed 2-2 6th 116.59 0.654 13.58 6-7 9th
3 981 2018 Rob 4-0 1st 116.15 0.660 10.32 8-5 5th 5th place
4 956 2018 Matt 3-1 3rd 119.97 0.646 20.17 8-5 4th 2nd place
5 951 2022 Matt 2-2 5th 111.66 0.652 22.86 6-8 11th
6 950 2009 Rabbit 3-1 1st 106.83 0.653 12.69 10-3 1st 2nd place
7 949 2016 Rabbit 1-3 12th 112.23 0.642 12.12 9-4 2nd 2nd place
8 947 2021 Mike R. 1-3 9th 111.23 0.642 14.21 4-10 11th
9 941 2014 Rob 3-1 2nd 108.79 0.648 9.58 8-5 3rd 5th place
10 937 2022 Scott 2-2 4th 117.48 0.673 27.82 6-8 10th