2018 Kevin (through 4 weeks)

2-2 (0.500), 469.09 points (117.27 average)

5th place

2.61 expected wins (0.653)

37-15 all-play record (0.712)

+29.2% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 108.58 76.15 Pat 32.43
2 W 121.51 119.04 Richie 2.47
3 L 101.62 140.04 Rabbit -38.42
4 L 137.38 160.96 Mike R. -23.58
5 Pulley
6 Schertz
7 Ed
8 Matt
9 Derrek
10 Scott
11 Babel
12 Rob
13 Dave

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%10.0%10.0%20.0%20.0%30.0%30.0%40.0%40.0%012340.0%61.846153846153854141.2307692307692300.0%164.92307692307693141.23076923076923132.9%268.0000000000000685.0930975249358720.0%371.0769230769231141.2307692307692330.0%474.1538461538462141.2307692307692340.9%61.846153846153854139.7589339566986609.7%164.92307692307693124.7126637378940610.0%268.0000000000000628.955425819102516240.6%371.076923076923172.0316.0%474.1538461538462113.936787857253144Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st1234Rank by WeekWeek4th11.74615384615384573.3017751479289914th207.515384615384673.3017751479289926th403.28461538461534118.2721893491124132nd599.05384615384628.33136094674557644th11.74615384615384573.3017751479289914th207.515384615384673.3017751479289926th403.28461538461534118.2721893491124135th599.05384615384695.786982248520744th11.74615384615384573.3017751479289914th207.515384615384673.3017751479289926th403.28461538461534118.2721893491124133rd599.05384615384650.8165680473372844Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.11 11 Devonta Freeman RB
2.04 18 Stefon Diggs WR
3.11 39 Keenan Allen K WR
4.04 46 Marquise Goodwin WR
5.11 67 Trey Burton TE
6.04 74 Sterling Shepard WR
7.11 95 Ben Roethlisberger QB
8.04 102 Marlon Mack RB
9.11 123 Jack Doyle TE
10.04 130 Tyrell Williams WR
11.11 151 Alex Smith QB
12.04 158 John Ross III WR
13.11 179 Chris Ivory RB
14.04 186 Alvin Kamara K RB
15.11 207 Harrison Butker K
16.04 214 Denver DEF

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.00012340.56361.12307692307692102.2814263047410710.743166.507692307692389.7835249074157420.000271.89230769230767141.2307692307692330.000377.276923076923141.2307692307692340.00061.1230769230769263.3320833787129410.000166.507692307692338.3362805840622520.444271.89230769230767110.505939635340530.862377.27692307692381.554800610138024Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0077131312341063.632692307692387.9763313609467419173.3442307692307693.3017751479289920283.0557692307692141.2307692307692330392.76730769230767141.230769230769234063.632692307692334.7218934911242510173.3442307692307645.37278106508874527283.0557692307692103.95266272189349311392.7673076923076782.65088757396454All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2018 Kevin 2-2 5th 117.27 0.653 13.63 7-6 6th 3rd place
1 988 2018 Ed 2-2 6th 116.59 0.648 13.58 6-7 9th
2 984 2018 Rob 4-0 1st 116.15 0.651 10.32 8-5 5th 5th place
3 984 2020 Pulley 4-0 1st 117.62 0.659 12.81 8-5 4th 4th place
4 975 2018 Matt 3-1 3rd 119.97 0.652 20.17 8-5 4th 2nd place
5 960 2016 Rabbit 1-3 12th 112.23 0.644 12.12 9-4 2nd 2nd place
6 953 2022 Matt 2-2 5th 111.66 0.656 22.86 6-8 11th
7 952 2021 Mike R. 1-3 9th 111.23 0.642 14.21 4-10 11th
8 937 2014 Rob 3-1 2nd 108.79 0.643 9.58 8-5 3rd 5th place
9 936 2013 Ed 3-1 3rd 114.43 0.679 13.65 7-6 4th 6th place
10 934 2016 Schertz 2-2 6th 112.03 0.632 15.57 7-6 5th 4th place