2018 Rob (through 4 weeks)

4-0 (1.000), 464.59 points

1st place

2.64 expected wins (0.660)

36-16 all-play record (0.692)

-33.4% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 103.70 99.69 Babel 4.01
2 W 132.39 95.28 Ed 37.11
3 W 114.48 73.75 Richie 40.73
4 W 114.02 106.41 Matt 7.61
5 Scott
6 Pat
7 Dave
8 Mike R.
9 Schertz
10 Rabbit
11 Derrek
12 Kevin
13 Pulley

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%10.0%10.0%20.0%20.0%30.0%30.0%40.0%40.0%012340.0%61.846153846153854141.2307692307692300.0%164.92307692307693141.2307692307692310.0%268.00000000000006141.2307692307692320.0%371.0769230769231141.23076923076923317.7%474.1538461538462110.866153362739441.0%61.846153846153854139.4962057666223209.7%164.92307692307693124.52284179906832131.2%268.0000000000000687.72864283999078240.4%371.076923076923172.030.0%474.153846153846280.501537494709574Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st1234Rank by WeekWeek5th11.74615384615384595.786982248520714th207.515384615384673.3017751479289922nd403.2846153846153428.33136094674557632nd599.05384615384628.33136094674557645th11.74615384615384595.786982248520713rd207.515384615384650.81656804733728422nd403.2846153846153428.33136094674557631st599.0538461538465.84615384615381145th11.74615384615384595.786982248520713rd207.515384615384650.81656804733728423rd403.2846153846153450.81656804733728435th599.05384615384695.78698224852074Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.10 10 A.J. Green WR
2.05 19 Tyreek Hill WR
3.10 38 Jay Ajayi RB
4.05 47 Mark Ingram II RB
5.10 66 Kelvin Benjamin WR
6.05 75 Zach Ertz K TE
7.10 94 C.J. Anderson RB
8.05 103 Calvin Ridley WR
9.10 122 Cameron Meredith WR
10.05 131 Deshaun Watson K QB
11.10 150 Matt Breida RB
12.05 159 Nyheim Hines RB
13.10 178 Blake Bortles QB
14.05 187 Stephen Gostkowski K
15.10 206 Dede Westbrook WR
16.05 215 New Orleans DEF

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.00012340.48661.12307692307692107.5847923416045510.825166.507692307692384.0836054129717920.667271.8923076923076795.0387041553325130.661377.27692307692395.4478157266239940.00061.1230769230769273.9388154524398810.000166.507692307692326.93644159517434420.000271.8923076923076748.8466390798958130.000377.27692307692349.664862222478764Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week007713131234963.632692307692393.30177514792899112173.3442307692307677.32544378698225210283.055769230769287.9763313609467435392.76730769230767114.603550295857994063.632692307692345.37278106508874510173.3442307692307613.4201183431952720283.055769230769234.7218934911242530392.7673076923076787.976331360946744All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2018 Rob 4-0 1st 116.15 0.660 10.32 8-5 5th 5th place
1 986 2020 Pulley 4-0 1st 117.62 0.659 12.81 8-5 4th 4th place
2 981 2018 Kevin 2-2 5th 117.27 0.656 13.63 7-6 6th 3rd place
3 979 2018 Ed 2-2 6th 116.59 0.654 13.58 6-7 9th
4 947 2023 Mike R. 3-1 4th 111.38 0.677 10.31 7-7 8th
5 946 2023 Pulley 3-1 3rd 111.76 0.678 10.37 8-6 4th 6th place
6 946 2016 Rabbit 1-3 12th 112.23 0.642 12.12 9-4 2nd 2nd place
7 944 2014 Rob 3-1 2nd 108.79 0.648 9.58 8-5 3rd 5th place
8 944 2009 Rabbit 3-1 1st 106.83 0.653 12.69 10-3 1st 2nd place
9 942 2022 Matt 2-2 5th 111.66 0.652 22.86 6-8 11th
10 940 2013 Ed 3-1 3rd 114.43 0.683 13.65 7-6 4th 6th place