2009 Derrek (through 12 weeks)

6-6 (0.500), 1,192.68 points (99.39 average)

6th place

6.15 expected wins (0.512)

66-66 all-play record (0.500)

-9.2% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 98.07 103.78 Ed -5.71
2 W 113.43 96.95 Allen 16.48
3 L 79.29 93.31 Matt -14.02
4 W 119.18 87.02 Rabbit 32.16 Team Blangums
5 W 108.29 96.73 Kevin 11.56
6 L 96.12 96.50 Dave -0.38
7 L 73.82 81.24 Pat -7.42
8 L 85.27 90.33 Mike R. -5.06
9 W 115.93 82.90 Pulley 33.03
10 W 121.13 116.97 Babel 4.16
11 L 76.86 114.41 Rob -37.55 Slapped Heartbeat
12 W 105.29 96.63 Ed 8.66
13 Allen

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%01234567891011120.0%30.130177514792905141.2307692307692300.0%69.77514792899409141.2307692307692310.0%109.42011834319527141.2307692307692320.0%149.06508875739644141.2307692307692330.0%188.71005917159763141.2307692307692340.0%228.35502958579883141.23076923076923527.3%268.071.9999999999999960.0%307.64497041420117141.2307692307692370.0%347.28994082840245141.2307692307692380.0%386.93491124260356141.2307692307692390.0%426.5798816568048141.23076923076923100.0%466.2248520710059141.23076923076923110.0%505.8698224852071141.23076923076923120.0%30.130177514792905141.226390103850800.0%69.77514792899409141.120162534532610.5%109.42011834319527140.0635711540398322.7%149.06508875739644134.501771179384939.2%188.71005917159763117.91095111722058419.9%228.3550295857988390.7044043851033250.0%268.02.769230769230745623.5%307.6449704142011781.66569269158556712.4%347.28994082840245109.7664198726310683.9%386.93491124260356131.401577189872490.7%426.5798816568048139.50531351391965100.1%466.2248520710059141.07544521605266110.0%505.8698224852071141.2252301229338212Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st123456789101112Rank by WeekWeek8th11.746153846153845191.860139860139912nd65.1377622377622332.4195804195804328th118.52937062937062191.860139860139933rd171.9209790209790258.99300699300701542nd225.312587412587432.4195804195804353rd278.704195804195858.99300699300701567th332.09580419580413165.286713286713378th385.4874125874125191.860139860139985th438.87902097902094112.1398601398601693rd492.2706293706293658.993006993007015108th545.6622377622377191.8601398601399115th599.053846153846112.13986013986016128th11.746153846153845191.860139860139913rd65.1377622377622358.99300699300701529th118.52937062937062218.4335664335664535th171.92097902097902112.1398601398601643rd225.312587412587458.99300699300701556th278.7041958041958138.7132867132867569th332.09580419580413218.43356643356645710th385.4874125874125245.00699300699389th438.87902097902094218.4335664335664597th492.27062937062936165.2867132867133108th545.6622377622377191.8601398601399116th599.053846153846138.71328671328675128th11.746153846153845191.860139860139912nd65.1377622377622332.4195804195804328th118.52937062937062191.860139860139933rd171.9209790209790258.99300699300701542nd225.312587412587432.4195804195804354th278.704195804195885.5664335664335768th332.09580419580413191.860139860139978th385.4874125874125191.860139860139985th438.87902097902094112.1398601398601696th492.27062937062936138.71328671328675108th545.6622377622377191.8601398601399117th599.053846153846165.286713286713312Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.06 6 Frank Gore RB
2.07 19 Marion Barber III K RB
3.06 30 Brandon Marshall WR
4.07 43 Antonio Gates TE
5.06 54 Roddy White K WR
6.07 67 Matt Cassel QB
7.06 78 Devin Hester WR
8.07 91 Tennessee DEF
9.06 102 Steve Breaston WR
10.07 115 David Garrard QB
11.06 126 Rashard Mendenhall RB
12.07 139 Ladell Betts RB
13.06 150 Sidney Rice WR
14.07 163 David Akers K
15.06 174 Brent Celek TE
16.07 187 Robert Meachem WR

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.0001234567891011120.00025.994871794871795141.2307692307692310.75861.1230769230769288.7702399393154720.00096.25128205128203141.2307692307692330.842131.3794871794871782.917877441593440.672166.507692307692394.6820631855783350.000201.63589743589745141.2307692307692360.000236.76410256410256141.2307692307692370.000271.89230769230767141.2307692307692380.810307.020512820512885.1875952950693190.863342.1487179487179481.4539888740592100.000377.2769230769231141.23076923076923110.616412.405128205128298.59519748003913120.48525.994871794871795107.6831699745510810.00061.1230769230769236.3097106478617220.15896.25128205128203130.3159908678660830.000131.3794871794871724.60498565241758240.000166.507692307692348.1333571403874250.449201.63589743589745110.1595377742505760.103236.76410256410256134.1089567958879670.264271.89230769230767122.9373696922352280.000307.020512820512829.14442135936940390.000342.1487179487179421.677208517349186100.127377.2769230769231132.4561248927047110.000412.405128205128255.9596257293090412Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week00661111123456789101112027.062179487179485141.2307692307692311063.632692307692378.293706293706320100.20320512820511141.23076923076923311136.7737179487179472.049173.344230769230784.5874125874125950209.91474358974358141.2307692307692360246.4852564102564141.2307692307692370283.0557692307692141.2307692307692389319.6262820512820384.5874125874125999356.1967948717948584.58741258741259100392.7673076923077141.23076923076923117429.337820512820597.1748251748251712427.062179487179485116.055944055944051063.632692307692315.3566433566433621100.20320512820511134.9370629370629330136.773717948717942.769230769230773640173.344230769230727.94405594405594752209.91474358974358128.6433566433566461246.4852564102564134.9370629370629373283.0557692307692122.3496503496503580319.6262820512820327.94405594405594790356.1967948717948527.944055944055947100392.7673076923077141.23076923076923110429.337820512820553.1188811188811212All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2009 Derrek 6-6 6th 99.39 0.512 16.40 7-6 5th 3rd place
1 994 2016 Ed 6-6 8th 99.54 0.514 17.79 6-7 9th
2 983 2012 Rob 2-10 13th 96.75 0.512 13.93 3-10 13th
3 983 2009 Babel 4-8 11th 99.30 0.504 16.66 5-8 9th
4 980 2009 Rob 7-5 4th 99.04 0.504 15.32 8-5 3rd 4th place
5 978 2009 Allen 6-6 5th 99.99 0.521 16.04 6-7 7th
6 977 2024 Matt 7-5 6th 100.07 0.507 21.16 8-6 6th 6th place
7 974 2022 Matt 6-6 8th 100.68 0.517 21.63 6-8 11th
8 973 2019 Mike R. 8-4 3rd 101.77 0.510 22.97 8-5 4th 4th place
9 971 2020 Babel 7-5 5th 101.67 0.522 16.08 8-5 3rd 3rd place
10 967 2009 Mike R. 5-7 9th 100.04 0.500 19.93 5-8 10th