2021 Matt (through 8 weeks)

6-2 (0.750), 831.80 points

6th place

3.57 expected wins (0.446)

47-57 all-play record (0.452)

-36.5% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 81.96 102.07 Kevin -20.11
2 W 114.85 106.49 Pulley 8.36
3 W 100.35 80.16 Ed 20.19
4 L 78.00 108.67 Babel -30.67
5 W 172.33 87.89 Rob 84.44 Team Blangums
6 W 90.72 46.10 Scott 44.62
7 W 89.05 52.19 Derrek 36.86
8 W 104.54 102.26 Kevin 2.28
9 Pat
10 Richie
11 Schertz
12 Dave
13 Rabbit
14 Mike R.

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%0123456780.0%38.940170940170944141.2307692307692300.0%96.20512820512818141.2307692307692310.0%153.47008547008548141.2307692307692320.0%210.73504273504273141.2307692307692330.0%268.0141.2307692307692340.0%325.2649572649573141.2307692307692354.5%382.52991452991455130.858230648601360.0%439.79487179487177141.2307692307692370.0%497.05982905982904141.2307692307692380.1%38.940170940170944140.9138891631826603.1%96.20512820512818134.0900749675152115.1%153.47008547008548106.63035695363635230.2%210.7350427350427372.0330.2%268.072.09924490326428416.0%325.2649572649573104.5089900674470950.0%382.52991452991455120.4856920664333760.6%439.79487179487177139.788497552226370.0%497.05982905982904141.154344900102618Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678Rank by WeekWeek13th11.746153846153845275.668639053254418th95.64725274725272163.2426035502958527th179.54835164835166140.75739644970415311th263.44945054945055230.69822485207148th347.3505494505494163.24260355029585510th431.2516483516483208.2130177514793610th515.1527472527472208.2130177514793710th599.053846153846208.2130177514793813th11.746153846153845275.668639053254417th95.64725274725272140.7573964497041527th179.54835164835166140.7573964497041537th263.44945054945055140.7573964497041547th347.3505494505494140.7573964497041556th431.2516483516483118.2721893491124167th515.1527472527472140.7573964497041576th599.053846153846118.27218934911241813th11.746153846153845275.668639053254418th95.64725274725272163.2426035502958528th179.54835164835166163.24260355029585311th263.44945054945055230.69822485207148th347.3505494505494163.2426035502958558th431.2516483516483163.2426035502958569th515.1527472527472185.727810650887679th599.053846153846185.72781065088768Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
2

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.13 13 Dalvin Cook K RB
2.02 16 DeAndre Hopkins WR
3.13 41 Mark Andrews TE
4.02 44 Lamar Jackson K QB
5.13 69 Mike Williams WR
6.02 72 Michael Gallup WR
7.13 97 Michael Pittman, Jr. WR
8.02 100 Leonard Fournette RB
9.13 125 Irv Smith, Jr. TE
10.02 128 Marquez Callaway WR
11.13 153 Matt Ryan QB
12.02 156 Amon-Ra St. Brown WR
13.13 181 James White RB
14.02 184 San Francisco DEF
15.13 209 Jason Myers K
16.02 212 Joshua Palmer WR

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456780.00034.776923076923076141.2307692307692310.71487.4692307692307691.7877282763198820.470140.16153846153844108.6976732230343430.000192.85384615384618141.2307692307692340.944245.5461538461538675.900562257834150.308298.2384615384615119.8914203819817760.286350.93076923076916121.4369529846384770.545403.6230769230769103.4928648993816480.17634.776923076923076129.039609684471810.00087.4692307692307642.3446873218705220.000140.1615384615384476.1645772152994730.125192.85384615384618132.6079717229585840.000245.5461538461538610.57035528489896650.000298.238461538461598.5520715331943260.000350.93076923076916101.643136738507770.000403.623076923076965.754960567994068Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0077131312345678036.20480769230769141.2307692307692311091.0605769230769287.9763313609467426145.91634615384615109.2781065088757430200.77211538461538141.23076923076923413255.627884615384672.052310.48365384615386130.5798816568047364365.3394230769231119.9289940828402379420.195192307692393.301775147928998136.20480769230769135.905325443786981091.0605769230769234.7218934911242520145.9163461538461577.3254437869822532200.77211538461538130.5798816568047340255.62788461538462.769230769230773650310.48365384615386119.9289940828402360365.339423076923198.6272189349112470420.195192307692345.3727810650887458All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2021 Matt 6-2 6th 103.98 0.446 28.20 11-3 2nd 4th place
1 964 2019 Kevin 4-4 7th 103.81 0.433 32.82 6-7 8th
2 959 2023 Schertz 4-4 9th 98.11 0.440 25.05 6-8 9th
3 957 2018 Babel 3-5 10th 101.37 0.441 17.29 4-9 12th
4 955 2024 Kevin 2-6 13th 97.57 0.446 18.67 5-9 11th
5 950 2019 Ed 3-5 10th 99.80 0.457 22.67 5-8 11th
6 944 2013 Rob 4-4 6th 99.33 0.464 29.15 8-5 2nd 2nd place
7 944 2019 Mike R. 5-3 5th 100.78 0.465 25.86 8-5 4th 4th place
8 943 2024 Matt 4-4 10th 96.35 0.453 22.16 8-6 6th
9 939 2019 Rabbit 5-3 6th 97.51 0.433 33.04 6-7 7th
10 938 2024 Schertz 3-5 11th 93.97 0.443 20.57 7-7 7th