2019 Kevin (through 8 weeks)

4-4 (0.500), 830.48 points

7th place

3.46 expected wins (0.433)

47-57 all-play record (0.452)

+16.6% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 121.30 111.03 Derrek 10.27
2 L 75.97 87.25 Pat -11.28
3 W 181.71 119.30 Scott 62.41 Team Blangums
4 L 93.76 119.19 Matt -25.43
5 W 86.28 83.38 Rob 2.90
6 L 71.94 121.13 Rabbit -49.19
7 W 97.47 87.98 Ed 9.49
8 L 102.05 144.54 Mike R. -42.49
9 Richie
10 Schertz
11 Babel
12 Pulley
13 Dave

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%32.0%32.0%0123456780.0%38.940170940170944141.2307692307692300.0%96.20512820512818141.2307692307692310.0%153.47008547008548141.2307692307692320.0%210.73504273504273141.23076923076923330.3%268.077.109783026941240.0%325.2649572649573141.2307692307692350.0%382.52991452991455141.2307692307692360.0%439.79487179487177141.2307692307692370.0%497.05982905982904141.2307692307692380.1%38.940170940170944140.9886935966540603.0%96.20512820512818134.97901216615227116.4%153.47008547008548106.48247217198427232.7%210.7350427350427372.030.0%268.012.988796823113177414.0%325.2649572649573111.5253863795593253.2%382.52991452991455134.5423915200655460.3%439.79487179487177140.5835023059273770.0%497.05982905982904141.20964314696398Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678Rank by WeekWeek5th11.74615384615384595.786982248520719th95.64725274725272185.727810650887624th179.5483516483516673.3017751479289934th263.4494505494505573.3017751479289948th347.3505494505494163.24260355029585510th431.2516483516483208.213017751479368th515.1527472527472163.24260355029585710th599.053846153846208.213017751479385th11.74615384615384595.786982248520719th95.64725274725272185.727810650887623rd179.5483516483516650.81656804733728435th263.4494505494505595.786982248520744th347.350549450549473.3017751479289957th431.2516483516483140.7573964497041565th515.152747252747295.786982248520777th599.053846153846140.7573964497041585th11.74615384615384595.786982248520719th95.64725274725272185.727810650887623rd179.5483516483516650.81656804733728434th263.4494505494505573.3017751479289944th347.350549450549473.3017751479289957th431.2516483516483140.7573964497041565th515.152747252747295.786982248520775th599.05384615384695.78698224852078Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.12 12 Mike Evans WR
2.03 17 Keenan Allen WR
3.12 40 Matt Ryan QB
4.03 45 Hunter Henry TE
5.12 68 Marvin Jones, Jr. WR
6.03 73 Marquez Valdes-Scantling WR
7.12 96 Matt Breida RB
8.03 101 Marlon Mack K RB
9.12 124 Jamison Crowder WR
10.03 129 Kyle Rudolph TE
11.12 152 Josh Allen QB
12.03 157 Alvin Kamara K RB
13.12 180 Stephen Gostkowski K
14.03 185 Mike Davis RB
15.12 208 Marquise Goodwin WR
16.03 213 Houston DEF

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456780.79734.77692307692307686.0579340226418310.00087.46923076923076141.2307692307692320.950140.1615384615384475.4551258000043230.000192.85384615384618141.2307692307692340.249245.54615384615386123.991668049612950.000298.2384615384615141.2307692307692360.427350.93076923076916111.6387714386729570.000403.6230769230769141.2307692307692380.00034.77692307692307630.8850988145144510.10587.46923076923076133.9353520740585920.000140.161538461538449.67948236923942330.368192.85384615384618115.78670820315640.000245.54615384615386106.7525668684565750.063298.2384615384615136.8445899143535560.000350.9307692307691682.0467736465766770.505403.6230769230769106.286228380942768Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0077131312345678936.2048076923076993.301775147928991091.06057692307692141.23076923076923213145.9163461538461572.030200.77211538461538141.2307692307692343255.6278846153846125.2544378698224850310.48365384615386141.2307692307692367365.3394230769231103.9526627218934970420.1951923076923141.230769230769238036.2048076923076945.3727810650887451391.06057692307692125.2544378698224820145.916346153846152.769230769230773636200.77211538461538109.2781065088757440255.6278846153846109.2781065088757452310.48365384615386130.5798816568047360365.339423076923166.6745562130177574420.1951923076923119.928994082840238All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2019 Kevin 4-4 7th 103.81 0.433 32.82 6-7 8th
1 974 2019 Rabbit 5-3 6th 97.51 0.433 33.04 6-7 7th
2 964 2021 Matt 6-2 6th 103.98 0.446 28.20 11-3 2nd 4th place
3 947 2023 Schertz 4-4 9th 98.11 0.440 25.05 6-8 9th
4 944 2018 Babel 3-5 10th 101.37 0.441 17.29 4-9 12th
5 929 2020 Babel 5-3 5th 96.36 0.434 12.81 8-5 3rd 3rd place
6 927 2011 Derrek 4-4 8th 95.16 0.422 24.27 8-5 3rd 6th place
7 923 2014 Schertz 5-3 5th 95.09 0.436 14.48 5-8 13th
8 921 2024 Kevin 2-6 13th 97.57 0.446 18.67 5-9 11th
9 921 2013 Schertz 4-4 7th 91.67 0.437 21.83 6-7 9th
10 919 2023 Ed 5-3 6th 95.58 0.425 16.55 11-3 1st 2nd place