2026 Matt

2-5 (0.286), 729.67 points (104.24 average)

9th place

3.89 expected wins (0.555)

46-45 all-play record (0.505)

+2.3% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 106.90 89.74 Babel 17.16
2 W 118.63 64.88 Richie 53.75
3 L 102.77 103.07 Scott -0.30
4 L 94.68 103.28 Pulley -8.60
5 L 98.04 108.61 Ed -10.57
6 L 85.65 102.84 Pat -17.19
7 L 123.00 139.59 Schertz -16.59
8 Kevin
9 Rob
10 Babel
11 Dave
12 Rabbit
13 Derrek
14 Mike R.

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%012345670.0%58.38461538461538141.2307692307692300.0%146.84615384615384141.23076923076923110.3%235.30769230769232118.86040654015920.0%323.7692307692308141.2307692307692330.0%412.2307692307692141.2307692307692340.0%500.6923076923077141.2307692307692350.0%589.1538461538461141.2307692307692360.0%677.6153846153845141.2307692307692370.2%58.38461538461538140.8702194689502702.1%146.84615384615384136.6388793683244410.0%235.3076923076923296.4900438495488224.7%323.769230769230887.54600488849107331.8%412.230769230769272.0422.2%500.692307692307792.9200096946430657.8%589.1538461538461124.355395340345161.0%677.6153846153845138.98699290415757Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st1234567Rank by WeekWeek7th11.746153846153845140.7573964497041514th109.630769230769273.3017751479289925th207.515384615384695.786982248520734th305.473.3017751479289947th403.28461538461534140.7573964497041558th501.16923076923075163.2426035502958565th599.05384615384695.786982248520775th11.74615384615384595.786982248520713rd109.630769230769250.81656804733728425th207.515384615384695.786982248520736th305.4118.2721893491124148th403.28461538461534163.24260355029585510th501.16923076923075208.213017751479369th599.053846153846185.727810650887677th11.746153846153845140.7573964497041515th109.630769230769295.786982248520725th207.515384615384695.786982248520734th305.473.3017751479289947th403.28461538461534140.7573964497041558th501.16923076923075163.2426035502958565th599.05384615384695.78698224852077Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
5

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.04 4 Amon-Ra St. Brown WR
2.11 25 DeVonta Smith WR
3.04 32 Zay Flowers WR
4.11 53 Rhamondre Stevenson RB
5.04 60 Harold Fannin, Jr. TE
6.11 81 Bo Nix QB
7.04 88 Bucky Irving K×2 RB
8.11 109 Chris Rodriguez, Jr. RB
9.04 116 Javonte Williams K RB
10.11 137 Khalil Shakir WR
11.04 144 Kyler Murray QB
12.11 165 Keenan Allen WR
13.04 172 Cyrus Allen WR
14.11 193 Green Bay DEF
15.04 200 Wil Lutz K
16.11 221 Kaytron Allen RB

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.00012345670.60956.1230769230769399.0778047336746410.785143.8153846153846386.8944122787351920.000231.5076923076923141.2307692307692330.000319.2141.2307692307692340.000406.89230769230767141.2307692307692350.000494.5846153846154141.2307692307692360.000582.276923076923141.2307692307692370.00056.1230769230769356.9248402365800710.000143.8153846153846332.5580553267011520.537231.5076923076923104.0882425516676230.419319.2112.1992729603499740.471406.89230769230767108.6339570889686950.250494.5846153846154123.9500353841908160.816582.27692307692384.752449209668377Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week007713131234567757.7054945054945103.95266272189349110147.8703296703296587.9763313609467420238.0351648351648141.2307692307692330328.19999999999993141.2307692307692340418.36483516483514141.2307692307692350508.52967032967035141.2307692307692360598.6945054945054141.230769230769237057.705494505494566.6745562130177510147.8703296703296534.7218934911242526238.0351648351648109.2781065088757434328.19999999999993119.9289940828402344418.36483516483514119.9289940828402354508.52967032967035119.92899408284023611598.694505494505482.65088757396457All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % StDev Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2026 Matt 2-5 9th 104.24 0.555 12.21
1 987 2020 Scott 4-3 4th 105.01 0.551 12.78 7-6 8th
2 981 2020 Schertz 3-4 9th 107.06 0.555 15.69 6-7 9th
3 980 2025 Pulley 4-3 4th 104.21 0.563 14.05 6-8 8th
4 975 2022 Derrek 3-4 10th 102.89 0.556 21.60 8-6 4th 4th place
5 973 2016 Ed 4-3 6th 102.48 0.550 16.78 6-7 9th
6 971 2011 Babel 4-3 3rd 105.72 0.566 12.10 7-6 7th
7 971 2024 Ed 4-3 6th 104.53 0.565 16.93 6-8 9th
8 969 2016 Pulley 4-3 5th 103.00 0.549 18.74 8-5 3rd 3rd place
9 969 2026 Ed 2-5 10th 102.88 0.548 17.96
10 967 2010 Derrek 5-2 3rd 99.59 0.560 14.45 7-6 5th 3rd place