2010 Derrek (through 7 weeks)

5-2 (0.714), 697.12 points

3rd place

3.89 expected wins (0.556)

44-33 all-play record (0.571)

-18.4% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 88.82 82.53 Matt 6.29
2 W 101.51 85.30 Rob 16.21
3 W 85.65 84.48 Kevin 1.17
4 W 128.72 90.03 Ed 38.69
5 L 83.68 104.34 Rabbit -20.66
6 W 104.37 69.62 Mike R. 34.75
7 L 104.37 107.09 Babel -2.72
8 Pulley
9 Dave
10 Allen
11 Pat
12 Rob
13 Allen

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%32.0%32.0%012345670.0%42.519230769230774141.2307692307692300.0%106.9423076923077141.2307692307692310.0%171.3653846153846141.2307692307692320.0%235.78846153846152141.2307692307692330.0%300.2115384615385141.23076923076923422.0%364.634615384615594.2927417203498850.0%429.0576923076924141.2307692307692360.0%493.4807692307693141.2307692307692370.1%42.519230769230774141.094730080912501.7%106.9423076923077137.50960834018838110.1%171.3653846153846119.77969080733206225.2%235.7884615384615287.38379473866513332.5%300.211538461538571.9999999999999940.0%364.634615384615547.3547142099305557.4%429.0576923076924125.3412762289080161.0%493.4807692307693139.119543070213927Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st1234567Rank by WeekWeek7th11.746153846153845165.286713286713318th109.6307692307692191.860139860139927th207.5153846153846165.286713286713334th305.485.5664335664335745th403.28461538461534112.1398601398601654th501.1692307692307585.5664335664335764th599.05384615384685.5664335664335776th11.746153846153845138.7132867132867514th109.630769230769285.5664335664335722nd207.515384615384632.4195804195804331st305.45.84615384615386843rd403.2846153846153458.99300699300701552nd501.1692307692307532.4195804195804363rd599.05384615384658.99300699300701577th11.746153846153845165.286713286713318th109.6307692307692191.860139860139927th207.5153846153846165.286713286713336th305.4138.7132867132867547th403.28461538461534165.286713286713355th501.16923076923075112.1398601398601665th599.053846153846112.139860139860167Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.10 10 Drew Brees QB
2.03 15 Ryan Grant RB
3.10 34 Chad Ochocinco WR
4.03 39 Donald Driver WR
5.10 58 Kellen Winslow II TE
6.03 63 Brandon Jacobs RB
7.10 82 Braylon Edwards WR
8.03 87 Bernard Berrian WR
9.10 106 Rashard Mendenhall K RB
10.03 111 Darren McFadden RB
11.10 130 Sidney Rice K WR
12.03 135 Willis McGahee RB
13.10 154 Chad Henne QB
14.03 159 Kevin Smith RB
15.10 178 Matt Prater K
16.03 183 Denver DEF

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.00012345670.38938.54065934065934114.28040918372510.59998.7604395604395599.7683126131911420.342158.98021978021976117.5533017540568330.954219.1999999999999675.2102541253887240.000279.4197802197802141.2307692307692350.648339.639560439560496.3363210984681860.000399.8593406593406141.2307692307692370.00038.5406593406593487.3300491366807810.00098.7604395604395558.30585599561304420.000158.9802197802197693.8758342773444530.000219.199999999999969.18973902000820440.310279.4197802197802119.8034153961599850.000339.639560439560451.4418729661671460.648399.859340659340696.336321098468187Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week006611111234567540.12307692307692109.7622377622377617102.815384615384697.1748251748251725165.50769230769228109.76223776223776310228.1999999999999678.293706293706340290.8923076923077141.2307692307692358353.584615384615490.8811188811188860416.2769230769231141.230769230769237040.1230769230769278.2937062937063110102.815384615384653.1188811188811220165.5076923076922878.2937062937063130228.1999999999999615.3566433566433643290.8923076923077122.3496503496503550353.584615384615440.5314685314685366416.2769230769231103.468531468531477All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2010 Derrek 5-2 3rd 99.59 0.556 14.45 7-6 5th 3rd place
1 983 2016 Ed 4-3 6th 102.48 0.555 16.78 6-7 9th
2 983 2015 Mike R. 5-2 3rd 100.05 0.548 14.24 8-5 4th 6th place
3 982 2008 Kevin 3-4 7th 96.42 0.555 13.09 8-5 3rd 6th place
4 973 2009 Rob 4-3 3rd 101.45 0.563 16.81 8-5 3rd 4th place
5 972 2016 Pulley 4-3 5th 103.00 0.553 18.74 8-5 3rd 3rd place
6 971 2022 Derrek 3-4 10th 102.89 0.556 21.60 8-6 4th 4th place
7 970 2020 Scott 4-3 4th 105.01 0.553 12.78 7-6 8th
8 969 2015 Richie 3-4 9th 101.81 0.563 17.95 7-6 6th 4th place
9 967 2020 Schertz 3-4 9th 107.06 0.556 15.69 6-7 9th
10 967 2009 Babel 3-4 8th 101.31 0.559 4.30 5-8 9th