2022 Derrek (through 7 weeks)

3-4 (0.429), 720.21 points

10th place

3.89 expected wins (0.556)

51-40 all-play record (0.560)

+18.3% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 137.10 91.48 Matt 45.62 Team Blangums
2 L 84.98 93.01 Ed -8.03
3 W 79.38 74.12 Mike R. 5.26
4 L 94.52 127.48 Dave -32.96
5 W 121.68 98.61 Pat 23.07
6 L 81.37 113.64 Rob -32.27
7 L 121.18 139.37 Kevin -18.19
8 Babel
9 Matt
10 Richie
11 Schertz
12 Scott
13 Pulley
14 Rabbit

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%32.0%32.0%012345670.0%42.519230769230774141.2307692307692300.0%106.9423076923077141.2307692307692310.0%171.3653846153846141.23076923076923228.1%235.7884615384615289.3689320063584330.0%300.2115384615385141.2307692307692340.0%364.6346153846155141.2307692307692350.0%429.0576923076924141.2307692307692360.0%493.4807692307693141.2307692307692370.0%42.519230769230774141.2042361059834300.6%106.9423076923077140.0916873153031516.9%171.3653846153846128.4704944727455420.0%235.7884615384615237.50709478194764337.5%300.211538461538572.0421.1%364.6346153846155102.1599341114703655.3%429.0576923076924131.4087134825430260.5%493.4807692307693140.321869575720267Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st1234567Rank by WeekWeek1st11.7461538461538455.84615384615381116th109.6307692307692118.2721893491124129th207.5153846153846185.727810650887638th305.4163.2426035502958547th403.28461538461534140.7573964497041558th501.16923076923075163.2426035502958567th599.053846153846140.7573964497041571st11.7461538461538455.84615384615381116th109.6307692307692118.2721893491124127th207.5153846153846140.7573964497041537th305.4140.7573964497041546th403.28461538461534118.2721893491124157th501.16923076923075140.75739644970415610th599.053846153846208.213017751479371st11.7461538461538455.84615384615381115th109.630769230769295.786982248520728th207.5153846153846163.2426035502958537th305.4140.7573964497041547th403.28461538461534140.7573964497041557th501.16923076923075140.7573964497041567th599.053846153846140.757396449704157Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.12 12 Jonathan Taylor K RB
2.03 17 D.J. Moore WR
3.12 40 Antonio Gibson RB
4.03 45 Patrick Mahomes II QB
5.12 68 DeAndre Hopkins WR
6.03 73 Hunter Renfrow WR
7.12 96 Justin Jefferson K WR
8.03 101 Dawson Knox TE
9.12 124 Alexander Mattison RB
10.03 129 Michael Carter RB
11.12 152 Raheem Mostert RB
12.03 157 Tampa Bay DEF
13.12 180 Matt Ryan QB
14.03 185 Daniel Carlson K
15.12 208 Tyrion Davis-Price RB
16.03 213 Sony Michel RB

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.00012345670.96638.5406593406593474.3679303531099710.00098.76043956043955141.2307692307692320.214158.98021978021976126.3932851690097730.000219.19999999999996141.2307692307692340.867279.419780219780281.1978207516149650.000339.6395604395604141.2307692307692360.000399.8593406593406141.2307692307692370.00038.540659340659347.50509147545071210.29598.76043956043955120.8020936946928920.000158.98021978021976111.5558011072503230.449219.19999999999996110.1311002101734640.000279.419780219780221.16487227246068450.239339.6395604395604124.6659252013346360.864399.859340659340681.4251049578887Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0077131312345671340.1230769230769272.010102.8153846153846141.2307692307692322165.50769230769228130.5798816568047330228.19999999999996141.23076923076923411290.892307692307782.650887573964550353.5846153846154141.2307692307692360416.2769230769231141.230769230769237040.123076923076922.769230769230773615102.8153846153846114.6035502958579920165.50769230769228119.9289940828402335228.19999999999996114.6035502958579940290.892307692307724.07100591715975253353.5846153846154125.25443786982248612416.276923076923177.325443786982257All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2022 Derrek 3-4 10th 102.89 0.556 21.60 8-6 4th 4th place
1 987 2016 Pulley 4-3 5th 103.00 0.553 18.74 8-5 3rd 3rd place
2 987 2016 Ed 4-3 6th 102.48 0.555 16.78 6-7 9th
3 977 2014 Matt 4-3 6th 103.69 0.566 21.87 7-6 6th 4th place
4 975 2015 Richie 3-4 9th 101.81 0.563 17.95 7-6 6th 4th place
5 971 2010 Derrek 5-2 3rd 99.59 0.556 14.45 7-6 5th 3rd place
6 971 2020 Schertz 3-4 9th 107.06 0.556 15.69 6-7 9th
7 971 2009 Rob 4-3 3rd 101.45 0.563 16.81 8-5 3rd 4th place
8 968 2020 Scott 4-3 4th 105.01 0.553 12.78 7-6 8th
9 964 2024 Ed 4-3 6th 104.53 0.567 16.93 6-8 9th
10 957 2015 Mike R. 5-2 3rd 100.05 0.548 14.24 8-5 4th 6th place