2009 Rob (through 10 weeks)

6-4 (0.600), 978.26 points (97.83 average)

4th place

4.99 expected wins (0.499)

56-54 all-play record (0.509)

+5.6% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 74.36 103.24 Babel -28.88
2 W 115.60 86.69 Pulley 28.91 Team Blangums
3 W 104.58 93.65 Ed 10.93
4 W 118.20 101.62 Allen 16.58
5 L 81.24 95.19 Matt -13.95
6 L 96.75 116.11 Rabbit -19.36
7 W 119.43 118.61 Kevin 0.82
8 L 77.40 121.28 Dave -43.88
9 W 90.13 83.77 Pat 6.36
10 W 100.57 78.45 Mike R. 22.12
11 Derrek
12 Babel
13 Pulley

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%0123456789100.0%33.73426573426574141.2307692307692300.0%80.5874125874126141.2307692307692310.0%127.44055944055944141.2307692307692320.0%174.29370629370626141.2307692307692330.0%221.14685314685315141.2307692307692340.0%268.0141.23076923076923522.5%314.853146853146889.062039676706860.0%361.7062937062937141.2307692307692370.0%408.5594405594406141.2307692307692380.0%455.41258741258747141.2307692307692390.0%502.2657342657343141.23076923076923100.0%33.73426573426574141.200476508929500.3%80.5874125874126140.5798305763498212.4%127.44055944055944135.75698062220818210.0%174.29370629370626118.13610074595643322.9%221.1468531468531588.2147999621945429.9%268.072.050.0%314.853146853146836.89331012264439469.6%361.7062937062937118.8719052252754172.3%408.5594405594406136.0048744904713780.3%455.41258741258747140.6191732420437690.0%502.2657342657343141.202919797471510Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678910Rank by WeekWeek11th11.746153846153845271.580419580419618th77.0025641025641191.860139860139925th142.2589743589743112.1398601398601632nd207.515384615384632.4195804195804346th272.77179487179484138.7132867132867558th338.0282051282051191.860139860139965th403.28461538461534112.1398601398601675th468.5410256410256112.1398601398601686th533.7974358974359138.7132867132867599th599.053846153846218.433566433566451011th11.746153846153845271.580419580419619th77.0025641025641218.4335664335664525th142.2589743589743112.1398601398601632nd207.515384615384632.4195804195804344th272.7717948717948485.5664335664335757th338.0282051282051165.286713286713363rd403.2846153846153458.99300699300701576th468.5410256410256138.7132867132867585th533.7974358974359112.1398601398601694th599.05384615384685.566433566433571011th11.746153846153845271.580419580419619th77.0025641025641218.4335664335664527th142.2589743589743165.286713286713332nd207.515384615384632.4195804195804346th272.77179487179484138.7132867132867558th338.0282051282051191.860139860139965th403.28461538461534112.1398601398601676th468.5410256410256138.7132867132867587th533.7974358974359165.286713286713398th599.053846153846191.860139860139910Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.11 11 Ronnie Brown RB
2.02 14 Andre Johnson K WR
3.11 35 DeSean Jackson WR
4.02 38 Donovan McNabb QB
5.11 59 Derrick Ward RB
6.02 62 Chris Cooley TE
7.11 83 Donnie Avery WR
8.02 86 Laveranues Coles WR
9.11 107 Fred Jackson RB
10.02 110 Steve Slaton K RB
11.11 131 Justin Gage WR
12.02 134 Joe Flacco QB
13.11 155 Correll Buckhalter RB
14.02 158 Garrett Hartley K
15.11 179 Mario Manningham WR
16.02 182 New Orleans DEF

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456789100.00029.507692307692306141.2307692307692310.81971.6615384615384784.5368267023881520.617113.815384615384698.5317363256737630.848155.9692307692307382.5176656477190340.000198.12307692307692141.2307692307692350.000240.27692307692305141.2307692307692360.868282.430769230769281.1082023947825270.000324.58461538461535141.2307692307692380.348366.73846153846154117.1381123395543790.534408.89230769230767104.2339309933594100.12229.507692307692306132.7687280621151710.00071.6615384615384727.84288417400708220.000113.815384615384655.83270342057828430.000155.9692307692307323.8045620646688340.200198.12307692307692127.3727357346837250.482240.27692307692305107.875658062537960.000282.430769230769220.98563555879580670.147324.58461538461535131.0352013318056780.000366.7384615384615493.0454554483395290.000408.8923076923076767.2370927559495510Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0066111112345678910030.719230769230762141.2307692307692311174.6038461538461572.028118.4884615384615490.88111888111888310162.373076923076978.293706293706340206.2576923076923141.2307692307692350250.14230769230767141.23076923076923610294.02692307692378.293706293706370337.9115384615384141.2307692307692384381.79615384615386116.0559440559440595425.6807692307692109.7622377622377610130.719230769230762134.937062937062931074.603846153846152.769230769230773620118.4884615384615440.5314685314685330162.373076923076915.3566433566433642206.2576923076923128.6433566433566454250.14230769230767116.0559440559440560294.02692307692315.3566433566433671337.9115384615384134.9370629370629380381.7961538461538690.881118881118990425.680769230769278.2937062937063110All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2009 Rob 6-4 4th 97.83 0.499 15.98 8-5 3rd 4th place
1 992 2009 Babel 3-7 11th 97.25 0.500 14.18 5-8 9th
2 983 2020 Mike R. 4-6 10th 98.47 0.493 13.98 6-7 11th
3 979 2024 Scott 4-6 10th 98.10 0.501 24.23 5-9 12th
4 978 2011 Babel 5-5 8th 99.44 0.492 17.14 7-6 7th
5 977 2015 Mike R. 7-3 3rd 96.29 0.506 16.98 8-5 4th 6th place
6 971 2020 Babel 6-4 6th 98.82 0.488 13.87 8-5 3rd 3rd place
7 970 2014 Mike R. 5-5 7th 98.26 0.490 21.47 6-7 7th
8 970 2022 Kevin 5-5 8th 97.49 0.504 24.98 6-8 12th
9 964 2024 Kevin 3-7 12th 99.76 0.486 17.32 5-9 11th
10 964 2021 Ed 3-7 9th 100.37 0.511 15.43 6-8 8th