2024 Kevin (through 10 weeks)

3-7 (0.300), 997.57 points

12th place

4.92 expected wins (0.492)

56-74 all-play record (0.431)

-1.9% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 85.49 87.90 Richie -2.41
2 L 72.58 82.85 Pat -10.27 Slapped Heartbeat
3 L 102.58 115.58 Scott -13.00
4 W 136.75 112.42 Rob 24.33
5 L 108.57 148.27 Rabbit -39.70
6 L 83.91 92.29 Ed -8.38
7 W 103.65 59.68 Pulley 43.97
8 L 86.99 106.30 Matt -19.31 Slapped Heartbeat
9 L 111.70 129.65 Richie -17.95
10 W 105.35 63.29 Derrek 42.06
11 Schertz
12 Babel
13 Mike R.
14 Dave

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%0123456789100.0%33.73426573426574141.2307692307692300.0%80.5874125874126141.2307692307692310.0%127.44055944055944141.23076923076923211.4%174.29370629370626113.326660391051230.0%221.14685314685315141.2307692307692340.0%268.0141.2307692307692350.0%314.8531468531468141.2307692307692360.0%361.7062937062937141.2307692307692370.0%408.5594405594406141.2307692307692380.0%455.41258741258747141.2307692307692390.0%502.2657342657343141.23076923076923100.0%33.73426573426574141.1825049864981500.4%80.5874125874126140.1368448678328513.2%127.44055944055944133.3640083679666220.0%174.2937062937062685.42255155133319323.1%221.1468531468531584.69203436912785428.3%268.072.0521.2%314.853146853146889.3886393471141869.5%361.7062937062937117.9204948168364172.5%408.5594405594406135.2300587554764880.3%455.41258741258747140.4390043907215590.0%502.2657342657343141.1913057662764910Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678910Rank by WeekWeek12th11.746153846153845253.18343195266272114th77.0025641025641298.15384615384613211th142.2589743589743230.69822485207139th207.5153846153846185.727810650887647th272.77179487179484140.7573964497041559th338.0282051282051185.727810650887669th403.28461538461534185.7278106508876711th468.5410256410256230.698224852071810th533.7974358974359208.213017751479398th599.053846153846163.242603550295851012th11.746153846153845253.18343195266272114th77.0025641025641298.15384615384613213th142.2589743589743275.6686390532544312th207.5153846153846253.18343195266272412th272.77179487179484253.18343195266272513th338.0282051282051275.6686390532544612th403.28461538461534253.18343195266272713th468.5410256410256275.6686390532544814th533.7974358974359298.15384615384613912th599.053846153846253.183431952662721012th11.746153846153845253.18343195266272114th77.0025641025641298.15384615384613211th142.2589743589743230.69822485207138th207.5153846153846163.2426035502958547th272.77179487179484140.7573964497041559th338.0282051282051185.727810650887669th403.28461538461534185.7278106508876710th468.5410256410256208.2130177514793810th533.7974358974359208.213017751479398th599.053846153846163.2426035502958510Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.02 2 Ja'Marr Chase WR
2.13 27 Jahmyr Gibbs K RB
3.02 30 Patrick Mahomes II QB
4.13 55 DeVonta Smith K WR
5.02 58 Zamir White RB
6.13 83 Zack Moss RB
7.02 86 Hollywood Brown WR
8.13 111 Pat Freiermuth TE
9.02 114 Jordan Addison WR
10.13 139 Dalton Schultz TE
11.02 142 San Francisco DEF
12.13 167 Deshaun Watson QB
13.02 170 Michael Wilson WR
14.13 195 Roschon Johnson RB
15.02 198 Jason Sanders K
16.13 223 Tim Patrick WR

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456789100.00029.507692307692306141.2307692307692310.00071.66153846153847141.2307692307692320.000113.8153846153846141.2307692307692330.929155.9692307692307376.8971629158759840.000198.12307692307692141.2307692307692350.000240.27692307692305141.2307692307692360.566282.4307692307692102.02343191936170.000324.58461538461535141.2307692307692380.000366.73846153846154141.2307692307692390.600408.8923076923076799.671040384435100.27029.507692307692306122.5244673251895910.10471.66153846153847134.002319741978320.548113.8153846153846103.3189518951173530.000155.9692307692307312.56355660098273640.656198.1230769230769295.8299372984205650.245240.27692307692305124.2859199238056860.000282.430769230769262.8160946079527870.292324.58461538461535120.9902989328465480.704366.7384615384615492.4774952558931590.000408.8923076923076758.1113115381007810Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0077131312345678910030.719230769230762141.230769230769231074.60384615384615141.2307692307692320118.48846153846154141.23076923076923312162.373076923076977.3254437869822540206.2576923076923141.2307692307692350250.14230769230767141.2307692307692366294.026923076923109.2781065088757470337.9115384615384141.2307692307692380381.79615384615386141.2307692307692399425.680769230769293.3017751479289910230.719230769230762130.579881656804731074.60384615384615141.2307692307692329118.4884615384615493.3017751479289930162.373076923076913.4201183431952747206.2576923076923103.9526627218934952250.14230769230767130.5798816568047360294.02692307692377.3254437869822570337.9115384615384141.2307692307692389381.7961538461538693.3017751479289990425.680769230769245.37278106508874510All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2024 Kevin 3-7 12th 99.76 0.492 17.32 5-9 11th
1 995 2011 Babel 5-5 8th 99.44 0.490 17.14 7-6 7th
2 989 2020 Babel 6-4 6th 98.82 0.491 13.87 8-5 3rd 3rd place
3 986 2024 Ed 5-5 8th 99.72 0.486 16.05 6-8 9th
4 981 2014 Mike R. 5-5 7th 98.26 0.489 21.47 6-7 7th
5 981 2020 Mike R. 4-6 10th 98.47 0.495 13.98 6-7 11th
6 979 2009 Rob 6-4 4th 97.83 0.497 15.98 8-5 3rd 4th place
7 978 2012 Allen 4-6 7th 98.85 0.487 21.97 6-7 8th
8 972 2024 Pat 5-5 7th 100.82 0.483 21.29 6-8 10th
9 971 2009 Babel 3-7 11th 97.25 0.498 14.18 5-8 9th
10 970 2021 Matt 8-2 4th 103.38 0.492 25.25 11-3 2nd 4th place