2018 Kevin (through 10 weeks)

6-4 (0.600), 1,141.34 points (114.13 average)

6th place

6.19 expected wins (0.619)

83-47 all-play record (0.638)

+4.1% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 108.58 76.15 Pat 32.43
2 W 121.51 119.04 Richie 2.47
3 L 101.62 140.04 Rabbit -38.42
4 L 137.38 160.96 Mike R. -23.58
5 L 100.96 114.08 Pulley -13.12
6 W 113.22 111.11 Schertz 2.11
7 W 127.24 83.57 Ed 43.67
8 W 107.18 66.27 Matt 40.91
9 L 105.26 126.61 Derrek -21.35
10 W 118.39 104.00 Scott 14.39
11 Babel
12 Rob
13 Dave

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%0123456789100.0%33.73426573426574141.2307692307692300.0%80.5874125874126141.2307692307692310.0%127.44055944055944141.2307692307692320.0%174.29370629370626141.2307692307692330.0%221.14685314685315141.2307692307692340.0%268.0141.23076923076923526.1%314.853146853146871.9999999999999960.0%361.7062937062937141.2307692307692370.0%408.5594405594406141.2307692307692380.0%455.41258741258747141.2307692307692390.0%502.2657342657343141.23076923076923100.0%33.73426573426574141.2233483881836700.1%80.5874125874126141.07008589335410.6%127.44055944055944139.7593236920933522.8%174.29370629370626133.6885776524369839.1%221.14685314685315117.16825994624995418.9%268.091.1180915628471350.0%314.85314685314682.769230769230745623.7%361.706293706293778.38377023163845713.6%408.5594405594406105.24772945524484.4%455.41258741258747129.4661676664895890.6%502.2657342657343139.5587892428633810Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678910Rank by WeekWeek4th11.74615384615384573.3017751479289914th77.002564102564173.3017751479289926th142.2589743589743118.2721893491124132nd207.515384615384628.33136094674557644th272.7717948717948473.3017751479289955th338.028205128205195.786982248520762nd403.2846153846153428.33136094674557674th468.541025641025673.3017751479289984th533.797435897435973.3017751479289994th599.05384615384673.30177514792899104th11.74615384615384573.3017751479289914th77.002564102564173.3017751479289926th142.2589743589743118.2721893491124135th207.515384615384695.786982248520746th272.77179487179484118.2721893491124156th338.0282051282051118.2721893491124166th403.28461538461534118.2721893491124175th468.541025641025695.786982248520786th533.7974358974359118.2721893491124196th599.053846153846118.27218934911241104th11.74615384615384573.3017751479289914th77.002564102564173.3017751479289926th142.2589743589743118.2721893491124133rd207.515384615384650.81656804733728445th272.7717948717948495.786982248520755th338.028205128205195.786982248520764th403.2846153846153473.3017751479289974th468.541025641025673.3017751479289985th533.797435897435995.786982248520794th599.05384615384673.3017751479289910Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.11 11 Devonta Freeman RB
2.04 18 Stefon Diggs WR
3.11 39 Keenan Allen K WR
4.04 46 Marquise Goodwin WR
5.11 67 Trey Burton TE
6.04 74 Sterling Shepard WR
7.11 95 Ben Roethlisberger QB
8.04 102 Marlon Mack RB
9.11 123 Jack Doyle TE
10.04 130 Tyrell Williams WR
11.11 151 Alex Smith QB
12.04 158 John Ross III WR
13.11 179 Chris Ivory RB
14.04 186 Alvin Kamara K RB
15.11 207 Harrison Butker K
16.04 214 Denver DEF

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456789100.55929.507692307692306102.5533897298808310.73971.6615384615384790.0554883325554820.000113.8153846153846141.2307692307692330.000155.96923076923073141.2307692307692340.000198.12307692307692141.2307692307692350.621240.2769230769230598.2362819208770860.791282.430769230769286.4739373206849770.544324.58461538461535103.5941177592310180.000366.73846153846154141.2307692307692390.700408.8923076923076792.75273634197924100.00029.50769230769230663.8760102289924410.00071.6615384615384738.88020743434175620.440113.8153846153846110.7779030604802430.858155.9692307692307381.8267640352777640.428198.12307692307692111.6151423176987550.000240.2769230769230555.24179461098492560.000282.430769230769231.71710541060069570.000324.5846153846153565.9574662876927880.506366.73846153846154106.1776696683401790.000408.8923076923076744.2747034531892610Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week00771313123456789101030.71923076923076287.976331360946741974.6038461538461593.3017751479289920118.48846153846154141.2307692307692330162.3730769230769141.2307692307692340206.2576923076923141.2307692307692358250.1423076923076798.62721893491124610294.02692307692387.9763313609467476337.9115384615384109.2781065088757480381.79615384615386141.2307692307692398425.680769230769298.6272189349112410030.71923076923076234.721893491124251074.6038461538461545.37278106508874527118.48846153846154103.95266272189349311162.373076923076982.650887573964546206.2576923076923109.2781065088757450250.1423076923076756.0236686390532460294.02692307692334.7218934911242570337.911538461538477.3254437869822588381.7961538461538698.6272189349112490425.680769230769256.0236686390532410All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2018 Kevin 6-4 6th 114.13 0.619 11.29 7-6 6th 3rd place
1 964 2024 Rabbit 4-6 9th 108.89 0.621 16.57 6-8 8th
2 946 2021 Schertz 7-3 6th 111.17 0.627 23.98 9-5 7th
3 945 2015 Dave 5-5 6th 107.68 0.619 24.92 6-7 8th
4 944 2016 Rabbit 6-4 3rd 108.02 0.607 16.10 9-4 2nd 2nd place
5 943 2019 Derrek 6-4 4th 108.94 0.605 15.97 7-6 6th 3rd place
6 943 2020 Schertz 5-5 7th 107.56 0.608 15.77 6-7 9th
7 942 2015 Richie 5-5 7th 107.03 0.624 20.82 7-6 6th 4th place
8 935 2016 Pulley 7-3 2nd 110.71 0.634 21.64 8-5 3rd 3rd place
9 932 2022 Schertz 4-6 11th 109.90 0.609 27.08 6-8 9th
10 931 2013 Pulley 6-4 3rd 105.81 0.610 20.91 8-5 3rd 3rd place