2014 Dave (through 11 weeks)

6-5 (0.545), 1,220.79 points

4th place

7.42 expected wins (0.674)

101-42 all-play record (0.706)

+22.0% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 157.21 83.62 Schertz 73.59 Team Blangums
2 W 105.75 96.43 Rob 9.32
3 L 107.13 125.49 Matt -18.36
4 L 111.07 128.90 Rabbit -17.83
5 W 115.44 104.23 Pulley 11.21
6 W 118.85 101.93 Mike R. 16.92
7 L 73.50 82.37 Derrek -8.87
8 L 98.27 108.28 Allen -10.01
9 L 106.27 133.95 Richie -27.68
10 W 120.93 100.53 Ed 20.40
11 W 106.37 103.77 Pat 2.60 Team Blangums
12 Babel
13 Kevin

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%012345678910110.0%31.782051282051285141.2307692307692300.0%74.73076923076923141.2307692307692310.0%117.67948717948717141.2307692307692320.0%160.62820512820514141.2307692307692330.0%203.57692307692307141.2307692307692340.0%246.52564102564102141.23076923076923516.2%289.47435897435999.6932516698919460.0%332.42307692307696141.2307692307692370.0%375.3717948717949141.2307692307692380.0%418.3205128205129141.2307692307692390.0%461.26923076923083141.23076923076923100.0%504.21794871794873141.23076923076923110.0%31.782051282051285141.2307681704177500.0%74.73076923076923141.2281925462157810.0%117.67948717948717141.1655347182543820.3%160.62820512820514140.519915640507831.7%203.57692307692307136.8611713126896346.5%246.52564102564102124.499320671042250.0%289.47435897435958.15573410901463626.2%332.4230769230769673.97870461472142727.0%375.371794871794972.0816.5%418.320512820512998.966928012351195.1%461.26923076923083128.22807847018606100.5%504.21794871794873139.986026506222911Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st1234567891011Rank by WeekWeek1st11.7461538461538455.84615384615381112nd70.4769230769230928.33136094674557622nd129.207692307692328.33136094674557632nd187.9384615384615228.33136094674557642nd246.6692307692307528.33136094674557652nd305.428.33136094674557662nd364.130769230769228.33136094674557673rd422.8615384615384350.81656804733728483rd481.5923076923076650.81656804733728493rd540.323076923076950.816568047337284102nd599.05384615384628.331360946745576111st11.7461538461538455.84615384615381111st70.476923076923095.84615384615381122nd129.207692307692328.33136094674557635th187.9384615384615295.786982248520744th246.6692307692307573.3017751479289954th305.473.3017751479289965th364.130769230769295.786982248520776th422.86153846153843118.2721893491124187th481.59230769230766140.7573964497041595th540.323076923076995.7869822485207104th599.05384615384673.30177514792899111st11.7461538461538455.84615384615381111st70.476923076923095.84615384615381122nd129.207692307692328.33136094674557632nd187.9384615384615228.33136094674557642nd246.6692307692307528.33136094674557652nd305.428.33136094674557662nd364.130769230769228.33136094674557673rd422.8615384615384350.81656804733728483rd481.5923076923076650.81656804733728493rd540.323076923076950.816568047337284103rd599.05384615384650.81656804733728411Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
11
11

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.11 11 A.J. Green WR
2.04 18 Jordy Nelson WR
3.11 39 Ray Rice RB
4.04 46 Steven Jackson RB
5.11 67 Giovani Bernard K RB
6.04 74 Matt Ryan QB
7.11 95 Martellus Bennett TE
8.04 102 Markus Wheaton WR
9.11 123 Cordarrelle Patterson K WR
10.04 130 Jeremy Hill RB
11.11 151 Doug Baldwin WR
12.04 158 Stephen Gostkowski K
13.11 179 Houston DEF
14.04 186 Dwayne Allen TE
15.11 207 Teddy Bridgewater QB
16.04 214 Ka'Deem Carey RB

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.00012345678910111.00027.5916083916083972.0287794936514610.63465.9132867132867197.3255116518412720.000104.23496503496503141.2307692307692330.000142.55664335664335141.2307692307692340.788180.8783216783216486.643153957008250.829219.1999999999999683.8475582198497460.000257.5216783216783141.2307692307692370.000295.8433566433567141.2307692307692380.000334.165034965035141.2307692307692390.854372.486713286713382.13156246248826100.645410.808391608391696.60956640208117110.00027.591608391608392.826789756533685210.00065.9132867132867153.4202540729133120.662104.2349650349650395.3708674778930930.722142.5566433566433591.2342949237236840.000180.8783216783216432.05553868324716450.000219.1999999999999626.46434720893026360.138257.5216783216783131.6454267990709270.501295.8433566433567106.5532504265268680.642334.16503496503596.791393767099690.000372.486713286713323.03235569420731100.000410.808391608391651.98836357339311611Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0077131312345678910111328.72447552447552372.01968.6195804195804293.3017751479289920108.5146853146853141.2307692307692330148.40979020979017141.23076923076923411188.3048951048950882.6508875739645512228.277.3254437869822560268.09510489510484141.2307692307692370307.9902097902098141.2307692307692380347.8853146853147141.23076923076923911387.780419580419682.65088757396451013427.6755244755244772.011028.7244755244755232.76923076923077361068.6195804195804245.37278106508874529108.514685314685393.3017751479289937148.40979020979017103.9526627218934940188.3048951048950824.07100591715975250228.213.4201183431952762268.09510489510484130.5798816568047374307.9902097902098119.92899408284023810347.885314685314787.9763313609467490387.780419580419624.071005917159752100427.675524475524472.769230769230773611All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2014 Dave 6-5 4th 110.98 0.674 19.00 7-6 4th 6th place
1 988 2021 Derrek 9-2 2nd 111.49 0.675 23.38 12-2 1st 3rd place
2 982 2014 Rabbit 9-2 1st 112.43 0.671 21.57 10-3 1st 2nd place
3 971 2021 Richie 7-4 5th 114.42 0.669 21.32 9-5 5th 6th place
4 967 2014 Pulley 7-4 2nd 113.36 0.684 21.29 9-4 2nd 3rd place
5 966 2008 Kevin 7-4 3rd 105.09 0.669 18.33 8-5 3rd 6th place
6 956 2023 Matt 6-5 6th 109.69 0.657 16.56 9-5 2nd 3rd place
7 944 2018 Mike R. 8-3 1st 122.59 0.677 20.66 9-4 2nd 4th place
8 944 2008 Babel 9-2 1st 103.29 0.670 10.29 11-2 1st 4th place
9 940 2019 Matt 7-4 2nd 115.27 0.695 18.11 8-5 2nd 2nd place
10 936 2010 Dave 5-6 6th 107.95 0.652 22.81 5-8 8th