2021 Derrek (through 11 weeks)

9-2 (0.818), 1,226.34 points

2nd place

7.42 expected wins (0.675)

92-51 all-play record (0.643)

-20.4% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 109.27 95.82 Rob 13.45
2 W 120.93 93.79 Mike R. 27.14
3 W 122.93 75.52 Pulley 47.41
4 W 130.98 106.49 Ed 24.49
5 L 106.90 118.05 Babel -11.15
6 W 112.25 74.38 Rob 37.87
7 L 52.19 89.05 Matt -36.86 Slapped Heartbeat
8 W 93.68 69.98 Scott 23.70
9 W 120.87 73.47 Kevin 47.40 Team Blangums
10 W 106.84 93.35 Pat 13.49
11 W 149.50 137.82 Richie 11.68 Team Blangums
12 Schertz
13 Dave
14 Rabbit

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%012345678910110.0%31.782051282051285141.2307692307692300.0%74.73076923076923141.2307692307692310.0%117.67948717948717141.2307692307692320.0%160.62820512820514141.2307692307692330.0%203.57692307692307141.2307692307692340.0%246.52564102564102141.2307692307692350.0%289.474358974359141.2307692307692360.0%332.42307692307696141.2307692307692370.0%375.3717948717949141.23076923076923816.6%418.3205128205129101.5226432961546490.0%461.26923076923083141.23076923076923100.0%504.21794871794873141.23076923076923110.0%31.782051282051285141.230742765593400.0%74.73076923076923141.229100768329610.0%117.67948717948717141.192596641114420.2%160.62820512820514140.7802691585436331.3%203.57692307692307138.0992220449951445.7%246.52564102564102127.63898962967727515.7%289.474358974359103.65175506805477627.5%332.4230769230769675.63003962454394729.0%375.371794871794971.9999999999999980.0%418.320512820512961.81451736154005593.9%461.26923076923083131.9562038811719100.0%504.21794871794873141.2246040967255611Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st1234567891011Rank by WeekWeek6th11.746153846153845118.2721893491124113rd70.4769230769230950.81656804733728423rd129.207692307692350.81656804733728431st187.938461538461525.84615384615381141st246.669230769230755.84615384615381152nd305.428.33136094674557665th364.130769230769295.786982248520775th422.8615384615384395.786982248520783rd481.5923076923076650.81656804733728492nd540.323076923076928.331360946745576102nd599.05384615384628.331360946745576115th11.74615384615384595.786982248520714th70.4769230769230973.3017751479289923rd129.207692307692350.81656804733728432nd187.9384615384615228.33136094674557642nd246.6692307692307528.33136094674557653rd305.450.81656804733728465th364.130769230769295.786982248520775th422.8615384615384395.786982248520783rd481.5923076923076650.81656804733728492nd540.323076923076928.331360946745576102nd599.05384615384628.331360946745576116th11.746153846153845118.2721893491124114th70.4769230769230973.3017751479289923rd129.207692307692350.81656804733728433rd187.9384615384615250.81656804733728443rd246.6692307692307550.81656804733728454th305.473.3017751479289966th364.1307692307692118.2721893491124177th422.86153846153843140.7573964497041585th481.5923076923076695.786982248520795th540.323076923076995.7869822485207103rd599.05384615384650.81656804733728411Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
10

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.10 10 Saquon Barkley RB
2.05 19 Patrick Mahomes II QB
3.10 38 Jonathan Taylor K RB
4.05 47 Diontae Johnson WR
5.10 66 Will Fuller V WR
6.05 75 Raheem Mostert RB
7.10 94 Henry Ruggs III WR
8.05 103 Rob Gronkowski TE
9.10 122 Justin Jefferson K WR
10.05 131 Nyheim Hines RB
11.10 150 Parris Campbell WR
12.05 159 Austin Hooper TE
13.10 178 Baltimore DEF
14.05 187 Brandon McManus K
15.10 206 Allen Lazard WR
16.05 215 Daniel Jones QB

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.00012345678910110.67027.5916083916083994.8754912192206910.83065.9132867132867183.795386163409820.845104.2349650349650382.7157861836128330.900142.5566433566433578.9201399388530140.000180.87832167832164141.2307692307692350.714219.1999999999999691.8298828551619160.000257.5216783216783141.2307692307692370.402295.8433566433567113.399154030473880.829334.16503496503583.8522072149780590.631372.486713286713397.58017327386993100.968410.808391608391674.215356869001110.00027.5916083916083948.5202132076721710.00065.9132867132867126.36000309605036320.000104.2349650349650324.20080313645644330.000142.5566433566433516.60951064693679840.632180.8783216783216497.443802750106150.000219.1999999999999642.428996479554660.001257.5216783216783141.1846482473534470.000295.843356643356785.5675388301783680.000334.16503496503526.4736451991868990.000372.486713286713353.92957731697064100.000410.80839160839167.19994450723277211Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week007713131234567891011828.72447552447552398.6272189349112411168.6195804195804282.6508875739645211108.514685314685382.6508875739645311148.4097902097901782.650887573964540188.30489510489508141.2307692307692356228.2109.2781065088757460268.09510489510484141.2307692307692375307.9902097902098114.60355029585799813347.885314685314772.0911387.780419580419682.65088757396451013427.6755244755244772.011028.72447552447552356.023668639053241068.6195804195804224.07100591715975220108.514685314685324.07100591715975230148.4097902097901724.07100591715975243188.30489510489508125.2544378698224850228.277.3254437869822560268.09510489510484141.2307692307692370307.990209790209887.9763313609467480347.88531468531472.769230769230773690387.780419580419624.071005917159752100427.675524475524472.769230769230773611All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2021 Derrek 9-2 2nd 111.49 0.675 23.38 12-2 1st 3rd place
1 988 2014 Dave 6-5 4th 110.98 0.674 19.00 7-6 4th 6th place
2 985 2014 Rabbit 9-2 1st 112.43 0.671 21.57 10-3 1st 2nd place
3 972 2021 Richie 7-4 5th 114.42 0.669 21.32 9-5 5th 6th place
4 970 2014 Pulley 7-4 2nd 113.36 0.684 21.29 9-4 2nd 3rd place
5 954 2008 Kevin 7-4 3rd 105.09 0.669 18.33 8-5 3rd 6th place
6 945 2018 Mike R. 8-3 1st 122.59 0.677 20.66 9-4 2nd 4th place
7 944 2023 Matt 6-5 6th 109.69 0.657 16.56 9-5 2nd 3rd place
8 940 2010 Dave 5-6 6th 107.95 0.652 22.81 5-8 8th
9 934 2019 Matt 7-4 2nd 115.27 0.695 18.11 8-5 2nd 2nd place
10 932 2008 Babel 9-2 1st 103.29 0.670 10.29 11-2 1st 4th place