2016 Dave (through 8 weeks)

5-3 (0.625), 886.47 points

2nd place

5.15 expected wins (0.644)

67-37 all-play record (0.644)

-18.0% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 112.14 123.45 Derrek -11.31
2 L 91.85 106.42 Allen -14.57
3 W 135.90 69.92 Matt 65.98
4 W 137.04 71.75 Mike R. 65.29
5 W 113.30 101.55 Ed 11.75
6 W 69.91 63.16 Pat 6.75
7 L 101.29 116.71 Schertz -15.42
8 W 125.04 86.15 Richie 38.89
9 Babel
10 Pulley
11 Rabbit
12 Rob
13 Kevin

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%32.0%32.0%0123456780.0%38.940170940170944141.2307692307692300.0%96.20512820512818141.2307692307692310.0%153.47008547008548141.2307692307692320.0%210.73504273504273141.2307692307692330.0%268.0141.23076923076923434.8%325.264957264957372.050.0%382.52991452991455141.2307692307692360.0%439.79487179487177141.2307692307692370.0%497.05982905982904141.2307692307692380.0%38.940170940170944141.228051261238600.1%96.20512820512818141.1210865459588610.8%153.47008547008548139.5908900083093725.7%210.73504273504273129.81277513842713319.9%268.0101.6019319932640340.0%325.26495726495732.7692307692307736528.7%382.5299145299145584.2389768079190269.3%439.79487179487177122.7499253888714270.6%497.05982905982904139.984281076585068Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678Rank by WeekWeek7th11.746153846153845140.7573964497041519th95.64725274725272185.727810650887625th179.5483516483516695.786982248520731st263.449450549450555.84615384615381141st347.35054945054945.84615384615381155th431.251648351648395.786982248520765th515.152747252747295.786982248520772nd599.05384615384628.33136094674557688th11.746153846153845163.24260355029585112th95.64725274725272253.1834319526627229th179.54835164835166185.727810650887635th263.4494505494505595.786982248520744th347.350549450549473.3017751479289953rd431.251648351648350.81656804733728464th515.152747252747273.3017751479289972nd599.05384615384628.33136094674557687th11.746153846153845140.7573964497041519th95.64725274725272185.727810650887624th179.5483516483516673.3017751479289931st263.449450549450555.84615384615381141st347.35054945054945.84615384615381154th431.251648351648373.3017751479289964th515.152747252747273.3017751479289972nd599.05384615384628.3313609467455768Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
2
8

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.01 1 A.J. Green WR
2.14 28 Demaryius Thomas WR
3.01 29 Jarvis Landry WR
4.14 56 Frank Gore RB
5.01 57 Devonta Freeman K RB
6.14 84 Theo Riddick RB
7.01 85 Blake Bortles QB
8.14 112 Dwayne Allen TE
9.01 113 Jeremy Langford K RB
10.14 140 Phillip Dorsett WR
11.01 141 Jordan Howard RB
12.14 168 Minnesota DEF
13.01 169 Kyle Rudolph TE
14.14 196 Alex Smith QB
15.01 197 Chandler Catanzaro K
16.14 224 Leonte Carroo WR

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456780.00034.776923076923076141.2307692307692310.00087.46923076923076141.2307692307692320.928140.1615384615384476.9616953958713730.934192.8538461538461876.5753122452071740.733245.5461538461538690.4851056691174950.082298.2384615384615135.5328353524348360.000350.93076923076916141.2307692307692370.862403.623076923076981.5528363625868580.71334.77692307692307691.8942677480103510.36987.46923076923076115.6909241447980720.000140.1615384615384412.69262156097352130.000192.8538461538461811.91985525964511840.000245.5461538461538639.7394421074657550.000298.2384615384615129.8349014741004360.529350.93076923076916104.5994548786735370.000403.623076923076921.8749034944044648Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0077131312345678036.20480769230769141.230769230769231091.06057692307692141.23076923076923212145.9163461538461577.32544378698225312200.7721153846153877.32544378698225411255.627884615384682.650887573964551310.48365384615386135.9053254437869860365.3394230769231141.23076923076923711420.195192307692382.65088757396458736.20480769230769103.952662721893491591.06057692307692114.6035502958579920145.9163461538461513.4201183431952730200.7721153846153813.4201183431952740255.627884615384624.07100591715975250310.48365384615386130.5798816568047368365.339423076923198.6272189349112470420.195192307692324.0710059171597528All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2016 Dave 5-3 2nd 110.81 0.644 21.36 6-7 8th
1 988 2014 Dave 4-4 6th 110.90 0.638 21.87 7-6 4th 6th place
2 987 2013 Pulley 5-3 3rd 108.54 0.643 22.06 8-5 3rd 3rd place
3 987 2022 Scott 5-3 2nd 112.46 0.647 21.67 6-8 10th
4 987 2023 Mike R. 5-3 4th 111.25 0.643 16.13 7-7 8th
5 983 2019 Matt 5-3 3rd 111.92 0.646 18.06 8-5 2nd 2nd place
6 977 2014 Rabbit 6-2 2nd 112.17 0.652 22.03 10-3 1st 2nd place
7 974 2020 Ed 2-6 13th 111.90 0.649 15.58 4-9 13th
8 972 2019 Derrek 5-3 4th 111.90 0.646 12.29 7-6 6th 3rd place
9 971 2023 Rabbit 6-2 2nd 112.01 0.656 21.85 8-6 6th 4th place
10 969 2010 Ed 7-1 1st 106.38 0.649 20.08 9-4 2nd 2nd place