2014 Dave (through 8 weeks)

4-4 (0.500), 887.22 points (110.90 average)

6th place

5.10 expected wins (0.637)

67-37 all-play record (0.644)

+11.7% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 157.21 83.62 Schertz 73.59 Team Blangums
2 W 105.75 96.43 Rob 9.32
3 L 107.13 125.49 Matt -18.36
4 L 111.07 128.90 Rabbit -17.83
5 W 115.44 104.23 Pulley 11.21
6 W 118.85 101.93 Mike R. 16.92
7 L 73.50 82.37 Derrek -8.87
8 L 98.27 108.28 Allen -10.01
9 Richie
10 Ed
11 Pat
12 Babel
13 Kevin

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%32.0%32.0%0123456780.0%38.940170940170944141.2307692307692300.0%96.20512820512818141.2307692307692310.0%153.47008547008548141.2307692307692320.0%210.73504273504273141.23076923076923320.7%268.096.8485175710919940.0%325.2649572649573141.2307692307692350.0%382.52991452991455141.2307692307692360.0%439.79487179487177141.2307692307692370.0%497.05982905982904141.2307692307692380.0%38.940170940170944141.2243727894584700.1%96.20512820512818140.96328124965111.4%153.47008547008548138.2036434975132727.4%210.73504273504273125.4086428096216830.0%268.052.46626591141475432.3%325.264957264957372.0526.9%382.5299145299145583.6711901794894610.1%439.79487179487177119.4920504334528271.0%497.05982905982904139.067024913469488Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678Rank by WeekWeek1st11.7461538461538455.84615384615381112nd95.6472527472527228.33136094674557622nd179.5483516483516628.33136094674557632nd263.4494505494505528.33136094674557642nd347.350549450549428.33136094674557652nd431.251648351648328.33136094674557662nd515.152747252747228.33136094674557673rd599.05384615384650.81656804733728481st11.7461538461538455.84615384615381111st95.647252747252725.84615384615381122nd179.5483516483516628.33136094674557635th263.4494505494505595.786982248520744th347.350549450549473.3017751479289954th431.251648351648373.3017751479289965th515.152747252747295.786982248520776th599.053846153846118.2721893491124181st11.7461538461538455.84615384615381111st95.647252747252725.84615384615381122nd179.5483516483516628.33136094674557632nd263.4494505494505528.33136094674557642nd347.350549450549428.33136094674557652nd431.251648351648328.33136094674557662nd515.152747252747228.33136094674557673rd599.05384615384650.8165680473372848Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.11 11 A.J. Green WR
2.04 18 Jordy Nelson WR
3.11 39 Ray Rice RB
4.04 46 Steven Jackson RB
5.11 67 Giovani Bernard K RB
6.04 74 Matt Ryan QB
7.11 95 Martellus Bennett TE
8.04 102 Markus Wheaton WR
9.11 123 Cordarrelle Patterson K WR
10.04 130 Jeremy Hill RB
11.11 151 Doug Baldwin WR
12.04 158 Stephen Gostkowski K
13.11 179 Houston DEF
14.04 186 Dwayne Allen TE
15.11 207 Teddy Bridgewater QB
16.04 214 Ka'Deem Carey RB

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456780.96534.77692307692307674.4196769617796310.61987.4692307692307698.3916395786020520.000140.16153846153844141.2307692307692330.000192.85384615384618141.2307692307692340.766245.5461538461538688.1676454193738850.804298.238461538461585.5613268679300660.000350.93076923076916141.2307692307692370.000403.6230769230769141.2307692307692380.00034.7769230769230767.60858469279003210.00087.4692307692307655.5525099264348820.645140.1615384615384496.5689159550856930.701192.8538461538461892.7034327347168340.000245.5461538461538635.10452160797855550.000298.238461538461529.891884505090960.129350.93076923076916132.287627404732870.470403.6230769230769108.701734770874788Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week00771313123456781336.2048076923076972.01991.0605769230769293.3017751479289920145.91634615384615141.2307692307692330200.77211538461538141.23076923076923411255.627884615384682.6508875739645512310.4836538461538677.3254437869822560365.3394230769231141.2307692307692370420.1951923076923141.230769230769238036.204807692307692.76923076923077361091.0605769230769245.37278106508874529145.9163461538461593.3017751479289937200.77211538461538103.9526627218934940255.627884615384624.07100591715975250310.4836538461538613.4201183431952762365.3394230769231130.5798816568047374420.1951923076923119.928994082840238All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2014 Dave 4-4 6th 110.90 0.637 21.87 7-6 4th 6th place
1 988 2013 Pulley 5-3 3rd 108.54 0.636 22.06 8-5 3rd 3rd place
2 987 2016 Dave 5-3 2nd 110.81 0.643 21.36 6-7 8th
3 978 2019 Matt 5-3 3rd 111.92 0.643 18.06 8-5 2nd 2nd place
4 974 2023 Mike R. 5-3 4th 111.25 0.644 16.13 7-7 8th
5 970 2022 Scott 5-3 2nd 112.46 0.649 21.67 6-8 10th
6 970 2014 Rabbit 6-2 2nd 112.17 0.650 22.03 10-3 1st 2nd place
7 968 2019 Derrek 5-3 4th 111.90 0.642 12.29 7-6 6th 3rd place
8 964 2014 Babel 4-4 7th 110.38 0.623 24.02 7-6 5th Blingabowl VII champion
9 964 2018 Pulley 6-2 3rd 116.58 0.637 15.93 9-4 3rd 6th place
10 962 2022 Ed 4-4 5th 108.87 0.625 19.53 7-7 7th