2014 Dave (through 8 weeks)

4-4 (0.500), 887.22 points

6th place

5.11 expected wins (0.638)

67-37 all-play record (0.644)

+11.6% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 157.21 83.62 Schertz 73.59 Team Blangums
2 W 105.75 96.43 Rob 9.32
3 L 107.13 125.49 Matt -18.36
4 L 111.07 128.90 Rabbit -17.83
5 W 115.44 104.23 Pulley 11.21
6 W 118.85 101.93 Mike R. 16.92
7 L 73.50 82.37 Derrek -8.87
8 L 98.27 108.28 Allen -10.01
9 Richie
10 Ed
11 Pat
12 Babel
13 Kevin

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%32.0%32.0%0123456780.0%38.940170940170944141.2307692307692300.0%96.20512820512818141.2307692307692310.0%153.47008547008548141.2307692307692320.0%210.73504273504273141.23076923076923320.7%268.097.2195954910729540.0%325.2649572649573141.2307692307692350.0%382.52991452991455141.2307692307692360.0%439.79487179487177141.2307692307692370.0%497.05982905982904141.2307692307692380.0%38.940170940170944141.2268522916356800.1%96.20512820512818140.9971187313365411.3%153.47008547008548138.3747566214880527.2%210.73504273504273125.8019309248226830.0%268.053.208421751376676432.5%325.264957264957371.99999999999999527.1%382.5299145299145583.53433947770145610.1%439.79487179487177119.6055692319788570.9%497.05982905982904139.226432111966128Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678Rank by WeekWeek1st11.7461538461538455.84615384615381112nd95.6472527472527228.33136094674557622nd179.5483516483516628.33136094674557632nd263.4494505494505528.33136094674557642nd347.350549450549428.33136094674557652nd431.251648351648328.33136094674557662nd515.152747252747228.33136094674557673rd599.05384615384650.81656804733728481st11.7461538461538455.84615384615381111st95.647252747252725.84615384615381122nd179.5483516483516628.33136094674557635th263.4494505494505595.786982248520744th347.350549450549473.3017751479289954th431.251648351648373.3017751479289965th515.152747252747295.786982248520776th599.053846153846118.2721893491124181st11.7461538461538455.84615384615381111st95.647252747252725.84615384615381122nd179.5483516483516628.33136094674557632nd263.4494505494505528.33136094674557642nd347.350549450549428.33136094674557652nd431.251648351648328.33136094674557662nd515.152747252747228.33136094674557673rd599.05384615384650.8165680473372848Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.11 11 A.J. Green WR
2.04 18 Jordy Nelson WR
3.11 39 Ray Rice RB
4.04 46 Steven Jackson RB
5.11 67 Giovani Bernard K RB
6.04 74 Matt Ryan QB
7.11 95 Martellus Bennett TE
8.04 102 Markus Wheaton WR
9.11 123 Cordarrelle Patterson K WR
10.04 130 Jeremy Hill RB
11.11 151 Doug Baldwin WR
12.04 158 Stephen Gostkowski K
13.11 179 Houston DEF
14.04 186 Dwayne Allen TE
15.11 207 Teddy Bridgewater QB
16.04 214 Ka'Deem Carey RB

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456780.97834.77692307692307673.4926687314655110.61387.4692307692307698.7894008896553320.000140.16153846153844141.2307692307692330.000192.85384615384618141.2307692307692340.767245.5461538461538688.1070431948222450.808298.238461538461585.311447457663860.000350.93076923076916141.2307692307692370.000403.6230769230769141.2307692307692380.00034.7769230769230765.75456823216180210.00087.4692307692307656.3480325485414120.641140.1615384615384496.8347567157071430.701192.8538461538461892.6981841615377440.000245.5461538461538634.98331715887526650.000298.238461538461529.3921256845583860.117350.93076923076916133.10931603688570.480403.6230769230769108.01713966434098Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week00771313123456781336.2048076923076972.01991.0605769230769293.3017751479289920145.91634615384615141.2307692307692330200.77211538461538141.23076923076923411255.627884615384682.6508875739645512310.4836538461538677.3254437869822560365.3394230769231141.2307692307692370420.1951923076923141.230769230769238036.204807692307692.76923076923077361091.0605769230769245.37278106508874529145.9163461538461593.3017751479289937200.77211538461538103.9526627218934940255.627884615384624.07100591715975250310.4836538461538613.4201183431952762365.3394230769231130.5798816568047374420.1951923076923119.928994082840238All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2014 Dave 4-4 6th 110.90 0.638 21.87 7-6 4th 6th place
1 988 2016 Dave 5-3 2nd 110.81 0.644 21.36 6-7 8th
2 982 2013 Pulley 5-3 3rd 108.54 0.643 22.06 8-5 3rd 3rd place
3 977 2023 Mike R. 5-3 4th 111.25 0.643 16.13 7-7 8th
4 976 2022 Scott 5-3 2nd 112.46 0.647 21.67 6-8 10th
5 972 2019 Matt 5-3 3rd 111.92 0.646 18.06 8-5 2nd 2nd place
6 971 2014 Babel 4-4 7th 110.38 0.627 24.02 7-6 5th Blingabowl VII champion
7 968 2014 Rabbit 6-2 2nd 112.17 0.652 22.03 10-3 1st 2nd place
8 965 2018 Pulley 6-2 3rd 116.58 0.638 15.93 9-4 3rd 6th place
9 962 2020 Ed 2-6 13th 111.90 0.649 15.58 4-9 13th
10 961 2023 Rabbit 6-2 2nd 112.01 0.656 21.85 8-6 6th 4th place