2019 Matt (through 8 weeks)

5-3 (0.625), 895.38 points

3rd place

5.17 expected wins (0.646)

66-38 all-play record (0.635)

+11.1% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 120.70 126.54 Richie -5.84
2 W 135.49 113.62 Schertz 21.87
3 W 109.82 94.91 Rabbit 14.91
4 W 119.19 93.76 Kevin 25.43
5 L 102.39 120.14 Scott -17.75
6 W 71.00 64.50 Rob 6.50
7 L 124.28 138.50 Babel -14.22
8 W 112.51 98.92 Pulley 13.59
9 Derrek
10 Dave
11 Pat
12 Ed
13 Mike R.

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%32.0%32.0%0123456780.0%38.940170940170944141.2307692307692300.0%96.20512820512818141.2307692307692310.0%153.47008547008548141.2307692307692320.0%210.73504273504273141.2307692307692330.0%268.0141.23076923076923432.4%325.264957264957371.9999999999999950.0%382.52991452991455141.2307692307692360.0%439.79487179487177141.2307692307692370.0%497.05982905982904141.2307692307692380.0%38.940170940170944141.2204512149775200.1%96.20512820512818140.9730197917175511.2%153.47008547008548138.6407944574066326.4%210.73504273504273127.58992726879288319.1%268.0100.4701313638194840.0%325.26495726495732.769230769230745529.1%382.5299145299145578.93390421211848611.1%439.79487179487177117.396478693364170.6%497.05982905982904139.99440953372718Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678Rank by WeekWeek6th11.746153846153845118.2721893491124112nd95.6472527472527228.33136094674557623rd179.5483516483516650.81656804733728431st263.449450549450555.84615384615381143rd347.350549450549450.81656804733728453rd431.251648351648350.81656804733728463rd515.152747252747250.81656804733728473rd599.05384615384650.81656804733728488th11.746153846153845163.2426035502958513rd95.6472527472527250.81656804733728424th179.5483516483516673.3017751479289932nd263.4494505494505528.33136094674557643rd347.350549450549450.81656804733728453rd431.251648351648350.81656804733728463rd515.152747252747250.81656804733728473rd599.05384615384650.81656804733728486th11.746153846153845118.2721893491124112nd95.6472527472527228.33136094674557624th179.5483516483516673.3017751479289933rd263.4494505494505550.81656804733728443rd347.350549450549450.81656804733728454th431.251648351648373.3017751479289963rd515.152747252747250.81656804733728473rd599.05384615384650.8165680473372848Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.13 13 Todd Gurley II RB
2.02 16 Dalvin Cook RB
3.13 41 Evan Engram TE
4.02 44 Austin Ekeler RB
5.13 69 Dede Westbrook WR
6.02 72 Lamar Jackson QB
7.13 97 JuJu Smith-Schuster K WR
8.02 100 DK Metcalf WR
9.13 125 John Brown WR
10.02 128 Jameis Winston QB
11.13 153 Alexander Mattison RB
12.02 156 Jack Doyle TE
13.13 181 Chase Edmonds RB
14.02 184 Paul Richardson WR
15.13 209 Giorgio Tavecchio K
16.02 212 Philadelphia DEF

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456780.00034.776923076923076141.2307692307692310.89087.4692307692307679.5916983541737320.646140.1615384615384496.5130075112018630.772192.8538461538461887.7512013593760140.000245.54615384615386141.2307692307692350.057298.2384615384615137.2537014856450260.000350.93076923076916141.2307692307692370.682403.623076923076993.9901528215710780.79134.77692307692307686.4556813836196610.00087.4692307692307617.9526274775782220.000140.1615384615384451.795245791634530.000192.8538461538461834.271633487982840.511245.54615384615386105.8657525993376350.000298.2384615384615133.276633740520860.821350.9307692307691684.3646666859076570.000403.623076923076946.749536412372928Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0077131312345678036.20480769230769141.2307692307692311291.0605769230769277.3254437869822529145.9163461538461593.30177514792899311200.7721153846153882.650887573964540255.6278846153846141.2307692307692351310.48365384615386135.9053254437869860365.3394230769231141.2307692307692378420.195192307692398.627218934911248836.2048076923076998.627218934911241091.0605769230769213.4201183431952720145.9163461538461545.37278106508874530200.7721153846153824.07100591715975246255.6278846153846109.2781065088757450310.48365384615386130.57988165680473611365.339423076923182.650887573964570420.195192307692356.023668639053248All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2019 Matt 5-3 3rd 111.92 0.646 18.06 8-5 2nd 2nd place
1 990 2022 Scott 5-3 2nd 112.46 0.647 21.67 6-8 10th
2 990 2020 Ed 2-6 13th 111.90 0.649 15.58 4-9 13th
3 988 2019 Derrek 5-3 4th 111.90 0.646 12.29 7-6 6th 3rd place
4 987 2023 Mike R. 5-3 4th 111.25 0.643 16.13 7-7 8th
5 983 2016 Dave 5-3 2nd 110.81 0.644 21.36 6-7 8th
6 980 2014 Rabbit 6-2 2nd 112.17 0.652 22.03 10-3 1st 2nd place
7 974 2023 Rabbit 6-2 2nd 112.01 0.656 21.85 8-6 6th 4th place
8 972 2014 Dave 4-4 6th 110.90 0.638 21.87 7-6 4th 6th place
9 970 2013 Pulley 5-3 3rd 108.54 0.643 22.06 8-5 3rd 3rd place
10 968 2021 Schertz 6-2 2nd 116.73 0.650 20.89 9-5 7th