2019 Dave (through 7 weeks)

2-5 (0.286), 654.72 points

14th place

2.67 expected wins (0.381)

29-62 all-play record (0.319)

+10.9% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 89.82 100.20 Rabbit -10.38
2 L 72.44 102.52 Rob -30.08
3 L 79.62 102.86 Ed -23.24 Slapped Heartbeat
4 L 96.01 99.26 Richie -3.25
5 L 86.16 126.31 Mike R. -40.15
6 W 106.81 103.85 Scott 2.96
7 W 123.86 100.12 Pulley 23.74
8 Babel
9 Pat
10 Matt
11 Derrek
12 Schertz
13 Kevin

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%32.0%32.0%012345670.0%42.519230769230774141.2307692307692300.0%106.9423076923077141.23076923076923131.0%171.365384615384675.840796319835520.0%235.78846153846152141.2307692307692330.0%300.2115384615385141.2307692307692340.0%364.6346153846155141.2307692307692350.0%429.0576923076924141.2307692307692360.0%493.4807692307693141.2307692307692371.5%42.519230769230774138.00065175338625012.6%106.9423076923077114.681588597222510.0%171.365384615384610.450823408901783232.8%235.7884615384615272.0317.0%300.2115384615385105.3272762303824544.4%364.6346153846155131.9108715914891850.5%429.0576923076924140.1121231940577460.0%493.4807692307693141.183817300574847Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st1234567Rank by WeekWeek11th11.746153846153845230.698224852071113th109.6307692307692275.6686390532544213th207.5153846153846275.6686390532544313th305.4275.6686390532544414th403.28461538461534298.15384615384613514th501.16923076923075298.15384615384613612th599.053846153846253.18343195266272711th11.746153846153845230.698224852071114th109.6307692307692298.15384615384613214th207.5153846153846298.15384615384613314th305.4298.15384615384613414th403.28461538461534298.15384615384613514th501.16923076923075298.15384615384613614th599.053846153846298.15384615384613711th11.746153846153845230.698224852071113th109.6307692307692275.6686390532544213th207.5153846153846275.6686390532544313th305.4275.6686390532544414th403.28461538461534298.15384615384613514th501.16923076923075298.15384615384613612th599.053846153846253.183431952662727Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
1
  • Pick 12.05 - from Rob
  • Pick 2.05 - from Rob
  • Pick 3.10 - from Rob
  • Pick 11.04 - to Rob
  • Pick 2.11 - to Rob
  • Pick 3.04 - to Rob

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.04 4 Tyreek Hill WR
2.05 19 Zach Ertz TE
3.10 38 Aaron Rodgers QB
4.11 53 Alshon Jeffery WR
5.04 60 Latavius Murray RB
6.11 81 Curtis Samuel WR
7.04 88 Anthony Miller WR
8.11 109 James Washington WR
9.04 116 James White K RB
10.11 137 Mohamed Sanu WR
12.05 159 Damien Harris RB
12.11 165 Greg Zuerlein K
13.04 172 Derrius Guice K RB
14.11 193 Minnesota DEF
15.04 200 Malcolm Brown RB
16.11 221 Ryquell Armstead RB

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.00012345670.00038.54065934065934141.2307692307692310.00098.76043956043955141.2307692307692320.000158.98021978021976141.2307692307692330.000219.19999999999996141.2307692307692340.000279.4197802197802141.2307692307692350.606339.639560439560499.2963693280736760.830399.859340659340683.7728580396247770.31338.54065934065934119.570120527629210.08198.76043956043955135.616385490506120.162158.98021978021976130.013829805875630.418219.19999999999996112.2970259268917940.258279.4197802197802123.377130982702750.000339.639560439560457.36196942537810660.000399.859340659340626.314946848480297Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week007713131234567040.12307692307692141.2307692307692310102.8153846153846141.2307692307692320165.50769230769228141.2307692307692330228.19999999999996141.2307692307692340290.8923076923077141.2307692307692356353.5846153846154109.27810650887574610416.276923076923187.976331360946747340.12307692307692125.2544378698224811102.8153846153846135.9053254437869820165.50769230769228141.2307692307692337228.19999999999996103.9526627218934942290.8923076923077130.5798816568047350353.584615384615477.3254437869822560416.276923076923134.721893491124257All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2019 Dave 2-5 14th 93.53 0.381 16.07 6-7 10th
1 979 2013 Allen 3-4 12th 89.44 0.381 13.69 4-9 14th
2 977 2022 Pat 3-4 11th 88.80 0.382 16.79 8-6 6th 6th place
3 975 2023 Richie 1-6 14th 91.48 0.387 13.48 4-10 13th
4 971 2020 Babel 4-3 7th 95.02 0.389 13.17 8-5 3rd 3rd place
5 967 2016 Allen 3-4 10th 91.98 0.375 23.23 4-9 13th
6 964 2010 Kevin 2-5 10th 86.50 0.379 17.86 5-8 10th
7 964 2023 Ed 4-3 8th 92.47 0.396 15.35 11-3 1st 2nd place
8 964 2019 Rob 3-4 11th 91.72 0.367 16.03 5-8 13th
9 962 2017 Matt 3-4 10th 85.60 0.384 16.50 5-8 11th
10 962 2016 Babel 3-4 11th 91.88 0.370 20.13 7-6 6th 6th place