2016 Babel (through 7 weeks)

3-4 (0.429), 643.18 points (91.88 average)

11th place

2.62 expected wins (0.375)

35-56 all-play record (0.385)

+28.9% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 85.32 119.88 Kevin -34.56
2 L 73.09 112.79 Rob -39.70
3 W 105.43 91.12 Pat 14.31
4 L 95.64 131.99 Rabbit -36.35
5 L 74.07 112.10 Pulley -38.03
6 W 76.61 75.57 Allen 1.04
7 W 133.02 129.83 Matt 3.19 Team Blangums
8 Mike R.
9 Dave
10 Richie
11 Derrek
12 Schertz
13 Ed

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%32.0%32.0%012345670.0%58.38461538461538141.2307692307692300.0%146.84615384615384141.2307692307692310.0%235.30769230769232141.23076923076923233.7%323.769230769230872.030.0%412.2307692307692141.2307692307692340.0%500.6923076923077141.2307692307692350.0%589.1538461538461141.2307692307692360.0%677.6153846153845141.2307692307692371.0%58.38461538461538139.22006842486343012.5%146.84615384615384115.49655793598167133.3%235.3076923076923272.9750834783358320.0%323.76923076923082.7692307692307736315.6%412.2307692307692109.2655625928622143.5%500.6923076923077134.038981025978250.4%589.1538461538461140.4600527442838160.0%677.6153846153845141.199235649772657Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st1234567Rank by WeekWeek11th11.746153846153845230.698224852071114th109.6307692307692298.15384615384613212th207.5153846153846253.18343195266272313th305.4275.6686390532544413th403.28461538461534275.6686390532544514th501.16923076923075298.15384615384613611th599.053846153846230.698224852071712th11.746153846153845253.18343195266272114th109.6307692307692298.15384615384613211th207.5153846153846230.698224852071313th305.4275.6686390532544413th403.28461538461534275.6686390532544512th501.16923076923075253.18343195266272611th599.053846153846230.698224852071711th11.746153846153845230.698224852071114th109.6307692307692298.15384615384613212th207.5153846153846253.18343195266272313th305.4275.6686390532544413th403.28461538461534275.6686390532544513th501.16923076923075275.6686390532544611th599.053846153846230.6982248520717Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.03 3 Adrian Peterson RB
2.12 26 Randall Cobb WR
3.03 31 Julian Edelman WR
4.12 54 Melvin Gordon III RB
5.03 59 Kevin White WR
6.12 82 Doug Martin K RB
7.03 87 C.J. Anderson K×2 RB
8.12 110 Antonio Gates TE
9.03 115 Kirk Cousins QB
10.12 138 Jameis Winston QB
11.03 143 Zach Miller TE
12.12 166 Cincinnati DEF
13.03 171 Nelson Agholor WR
14.12 194 Tyler Boyd WR
15.03 199 Steven Hauschka K
16.12 222 Jared Goff QB

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.00012345670.00056.12307692307693141.2307692307692310.000143.81538461538463141.2307692307692320.609231.507692307692399.061569433348830.000319.2141.2307692307692340.000406.89230769230767141.2307692307692350.158494.5846153846154130.2764702919012660.906582.27692307692378.514972235429170.27056.12307692307693122.5725985812986810.119143.81538461538463133.0139963316417520.000231.507692307692356.8923696359283630.438319.2110.9245134612923240.126406.89230769230767132.5281419687225450.000494.5846153846154119.3221713530332860.000582.27692307692315.7991752400889717Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week007713131234567057.7054945054945141.2307692307692310147.87032967032965141.2307692307692325238.0351648351648114.6035502958579930328.19999999999993141.2307692307692340418.36483516483514141.2307692307692354508.52967032967035119.92899408284023613598.694505494505472.07357.7054945054945125.2544378698224811147.87032967032965135.9053254437869820238.035164835164887.9763313609467437328.19999999999993103.9526627218934942418.36483516483514130.5798816568047350508.5296703296703598.6272189349112460598.69450549450542.76923076923077367All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % StDev Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2016 Babel 3-4 11th 91.88 0.375 20.13 7-6 6th 6th place
1 979 2016 Allen 3-4 10th 91.98 0.382 23.23 4-9 13th
2 975 2019 Dave 2-5 14th 93.53 0.380 16.07 6-7 10th
3 973 2025 Babel 3-4 9th 92.33 0.367 24.55 4-10 12th
4 971 2026 Kevin 3-4 7th 91.81 0.368 12.67
5 970 2019 Rob 3-4 11th 91.72 0.364 16.03 5-8 13th
6 969 2026 Derrek 2-5 12th 93.26 0.386 18.38
7 969 2025 Matt 2-5 14th 89.24 0.366 19.02 4-10 11th
8 968 2022 Pat 3-4 11th 88.80 0.381 16.79 8-6 6th 6th place
9 968 2015 Kevin 2-5 12th 87.04 0.373 15.35 3-10 14th
10 967 2010 Kevin 2-5 10th 86.50 0.379 17.86 5-8 10th