2025 Dave (through 10 weeks)

6-4 (0.600), 1,035.06 points (103.51 average)

4th place

5.53 expected wins (0.553)

68-62 all-play record (0.523)

+16.0% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 85.32 118.21 Rob -32.89
2 L 78.93 112.40 Schertz -33.47
3 W 106.31 87.69 Ed 18.62
4 L 96.29 121.85 Pulley -25.56
5 W 118.22 102.91 Scott 15.31
6 W 117.55 114.40 Derrek 3.15
7 W 108.99 69.40 Matt 39.59
8 W 86.67 84.15 Pat 2.52
9 W 133.48 133.47 Mike R. 0.01 Team Blangums
10 L 103.30 106.55 Rob -3.25
11 Babel
12 Richie
13 Rabbit
14 Kevin

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%0123456789100.0%46.32167832167832141.2307692307692300.0%110.65734265734265141.2307692307692310.0%174.993006993007141.2307692307692320.0%239.3286713286713141.2307692307692330.0%303.6643356643357141.2307692307692340.0%367.99999999999994141.23076923076923527.1%432.3356643356642672.060.0%496.67132867132864141.2307692307692370.0%561.006993006993141.2307692307692380.0%625.3426573426574141.2307692307692390.0%689.6783216783215141.23076923076923100.0%46.32167832167832141.2192033599268400.1%110.65734265734265140.925393267294711.2%174.993006993007138.2946966796672525.6%239.3286713286713126.92059842928975315.6%303.6643356643357101.2922209573602426.3%367.9999999999999473.9968314817228450.0%432.335664335664262.7692307692307736616.8%496.6713286713286498.2923729002013976.0%561.006993006993125.9182908070028681.1%625.3426573426574138.3833734536055190.1%689.6783216783215141.0196500998001510Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678910Rank by WeekWeek10th11.746153846153845208.2130177514793113th77.0025641025641275.6686390532544212th142.2589743589743253.18343195266272313th207.5153846153846275.6686390532544411th272.77179487179484230.69822485207158th338.0282051282051163.2426035502958566th403.28461538461534118.2721893491124177th468.5410256410256140.7573964497041586th533.7974358974359118.2721893491124195th599.05384615384695.78698224852071010th11.746153846153845208.2130177514793112th77.0025641025641253.18343195266272211th142.2589743589743230.698224852071314th207.5153846153846298.15384615384613411th272.77179487179484230.69822485207157th338.0282051282051140.7573964497041565th403.2846153846153495.786982248520774th468.541025641025673.3017751479289983rd533.797435897435950.81656804733728494th599.05384615384673.301775147928991010th11.746153846153845208.2130177514793112th77.0025641025641253.18343195266272212th142.2589743589743253.18343195266272313th207.5153846153846275.6686390532544411th272.77179487179484230.69822485207157th338.0282051282051140.7573964497041566th403.28461538461534118.2721893491124177th468.5410256410256140.7573964497041585th533.797435897435995.786982248520795th599.05384615384695.786982248520710Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
1
6
7
10

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.01 1 Ashton Jeanty RB
2.01 15 Justin Jefferson K×2 WR
3.14 42 DeVonta Smith WR
4.01 43 Sam LaPorta TE
5.14 70 Quinshon Judkins RB
7.14 98 Tank Bigsby RB
8.01 99 Michael Pittman, Jr. WR
8.14 112 Jayden Daniels K QB
9.14 126 Tyler Allgeier RB
10.01 127 Luther Burden III WR
11.14 154 Cameron Dicker K
12.01 155 Buffalo DEF
13.14 182 Dylan Sampson RB
14.01 183 Isaiah Likely TE
15.14 210 Tua Tagovailoa QB
16.01 211 Tahj Brooks RB

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456789100.00042.969230769230776141.2307692307692310.000104.35384615384616141.2307692307692320.609165.7384615384615699.0444100224219730.000227.12307692307695141.2307692307692340.794288.507692307692386.2942925446158650.780349.8923076923076787.2277040583417360.658411.27692307692395.7067550216837370.281472.6615384615384121.7825940241169580.925534.046153846153977.1761282332044590.000595.4307692307691141.23076923076923100.26342.969230769230776122.9965697570993410.184104.35384615384616128.5168481457769820.000165.7384615384615656.858050814074730.469227.12307692307695108.7698994284736640.000288.507692307692331.35781585846248750.000349.8923076923076733.2246388859142360.000411.27692307692350.18274081259825470.000472.6615384615384102.3344188174646880.000534.046153846153913.12148723563967790.566595.4307692307691102.0690428945770710Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0077131312345678910044.18076923076923141.2307692307692310107.29615384615383141.2307692307692327170.41153846153844103.9526627218934930233.52692307692305141.2307692307692348296.642307692307798.62721893491124510359.757692307692387.9763313609467469422.873076923076993.3017751479289975485.9884615384615114.60355029585799813549.103846153846272.090612.2192307692309141.2307692307692310444.18076923076923119.9289940828402311107.29615384615383135.9053254437869820170.4115384615384466.6745562130177534233.52692307692305119.9289940828402340296.642307692307756.0236686390532450359.757692307692334.7218934911242560422.873076923076945.37278106508874570485.988461538461587.9763313609467480549.10384615384622.769230769230773697612.2192307692309103.9526627218934910All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % StDev Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2025 Dave 6-4 4th 103.51 0.553 16.19 7-7 7th
1 991 2009 Matt 7-3 1st 101.88 0.552 15.79 9-4 2nd Blingabowl II champion
2 990 2020 Pulley 7-3 2nd 103.60 0.549 17.27 8-5 4th 4th place
3 984 2020 Matt 6-4 4th 104.56 0.552 21.26 8-5 2nd 2nd place
4 984 2009 Derrek 5-5 7th 101.05 0.556 16.30 7-6 5th 3rd place
5 981 2014 Matt 6-4 4th 103.62 0.558 20.50 7-6 6th 4th place
6 980 2009 Mike R. 5-5 6th 102.70 0.547 18.80 5-8 10th
7 978 2016 Ed 5-5 8th 102.34 0.545 15.98 6-7 9th
8 978 2011 Mike R. 6-4 4th 105.23 0.547 18.24 6-7 9th
9 977 2015 Rabbit 5-5 8th 100.63 0.549 18.06 5-8 11th
10 974 2012 Derrek 7-3 5th 98.92 0.550 16.82 8-5 5th 5th place