2009 Derrek (through 10 weeks)

5-5 (0.500), 1,010.53 points

7th place

5.49 expected wins (0.549)

59-51 all-play record (0.536)

-12.2% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 98.07 103.78 Ed -5.71
2 W 113.43 96.95 Allen 16.48
3 L 79.29 93.31 Matt -14.02
4 W 119.18 87.02 Rabbit 32.16 Team Blangums
5 W 108.29 96.73 Kevin 11.56
6 L 96.12 96.50 Dave -0.38
7 L 73.82 81.24 Pat -7.42
8 L 85.27 90.33 Mike R. -5.06
9 W 115.93 82.90 Pulley 33.03
10 W 121.13 116.97 Babel 4.16
11 Rob
12 Ed
13 Allen

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%0123456789100.0%33.73426573426574141.2307692307692300.0%80.5874125874126141.2307692307692310.0%127.44055944055944141.2307692307692320.0%174.29370629370626141.2307692307692330.0%221.14685314685315141.23076923076923427.1%268.073.3646248739929250.0%314.8531468531468141.2307692307692360.0%361.7062937062937141.2307692307692370.0%408.5594405594406141.2307692307692380.0%455.41258741258747141.2307692307692390.0%502.2657342657343141.23076923076923100.0%33.73426573426574141.2170153971571300.1%80.5874125874126140.9242848963550311.1%127.44055944055944138.4165696222598925.5%174.29370629370626127.40255079960659315.8%221.14685314685315101.620182856960740.0%268.05.4984805172166205527.7%314.853146853146872.0616.4%361.7062937062937100.2272655865951775.3%408.5594405594406127.865484434959880.9%455.41258741258747139.065342264744890.1%502.2657342657343141.097211094690510Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678910Rank by WeekWeek8th11.746153846153845191.860139860139912nd77.002564102564132.4195804195804328th142.2589743589743191.860139860139933rd207.515384615384658.99300699300701542nd272.7717948717948432.4195804195804353rd338.028205128205158.99300699300701567th403.28461538461534165.286713286713378th468.5410256410256191.860139860139985th533.7974358974359112.1398601398601694th599.05384615384685.56643356643357108th11.746153846153845191.860139860139913rd77.002564102564158.99300699300701529th142.2589743589743218.4335664335664535th207.5153846153846112.1398601398601643rd272.7717948717948458.99300699300701556th338.0282051282051138.7132867132867569th403.28461538461534218.43356643356645710th468.5410256410256245.00699300699389th533.7974358974359218.4335664335664597th599.053846153846165.2867132867133108th11.746153846153845191.860139860139912nd77.002564102564132.4195804195804328th142.2589743589743191.860139860139933rd207.515384615384658.99300699300701542nd272.7717948717948432.4195804195804354th338.028205128205185.5664335664335768th403.28461538461534191.860139860139978th468.5410256410256191.860139860139985th533.7974358974359112.1398601398601696th599.053846153846138.7132867132867510Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.06 6 Frank Gore RB
2.07 19 Marion Barber III K RB
3.06 30 Brandon Marshall WR
4.07 43 Antonio Gates TE
5.06 54 Roddy White K WR
6.07 67 Matt Cassel QB
7.06 78 Devin Hester WR
8.07 91 Tennessee DEF
9.06 102 Steve Breaston WR
10.07 115 David Garrard QB
11.06 126 Rashard Mendenhall RB
12.07 139 Ladell Betts RB
13.06 150 Sidney Rice WR
14.07 163 David Akers K
15.06 174 Brent Celek TE
16.07 187 Robert Meachem WR

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456789100.00029.507692307692306141.2307692307692310.75671.6615384615384788.9187522097075520.000113.8153846153846141.2307692307692330.829155.9692307692307383.8503144098186840.674198.1230769230769294.5440363149654150.000240.27692307692305141.2307692307692360.000282.4307692307692141.2307692307692370.000324.58461538461535141.2307692307692380.793366.7384615384615486.3277122581948590.852408.8923076923076782.21386812465276100.49529.507692307692306106.9764823981009110.00071.6615384615384736.60673518864588520.202113.8153846153846127.2502335976564530.000155.9692307692307326.4698595888681240.000198.1230769230769247.8573033991615850.465240.27692307692305109.0674970958129160.139282.4307692307692131.591361937471670.289324.58461538461535121.2158379211071280.000366.7384615384615431.4246552856204990.000408.8923076923076723.196967018536310Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0066111112345678910030.719230769230762141.2307692307692311074.6038461538461578.293706293706320118.48846153846154141.23076923076923311162.373076923076972.049206.257692307692384.5874125874125950250.14230769230767141.2307692307692360294.026923076923141.2307692307692370337.9115384615384141.2307692307692389381.7961538461538684.5874125874125999425.680769230769284.5874125874125910430.719230769230762116.055944055944051074.6038461538461515.3566433566433621118.48846153846154134.9370629370629330162.37307692307692.769230769230773640206.257692307692327.94405594405594752250.14230769230767128.6433566433566461294.026923076923134.9370629370629373337.9115384615384122.3496503496503580381.7961538461538627.94405594405594790425.680769230769227.94405594405594710All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2009 Derrek 5-5 7th 101.05 0.549 16.30 7-6 5th 3rd place
1 994 2009 Matt 7-3 1st 101.88 0.550 15.79 9-4 2nd Blingabowl II champion
2 993 2016 Ed 5-5 8th 102.34 0.549 15.98 6-7 9th
3 993 2015 Rabbit 5-5 8th 100.63 0.550 18.06 5-8 11th
4 990 2012 Derrek 7-3 5th 98.92 0.550 16.82 8-5 5th 5th place
5 987 2020 Pulley 7-3 2nd 103.60 0.549 17.27 8-5 4th 4th place
6 985 2009 Mike R. 5-5 6th 102.70 0.547 18.80 5-8 10th
7 979 2011 Mike R. 6-4 4th 105.23 0.550 18.24 6-7 9th
8 976 2017 Rob 6-4 5th 97.38 0.545 16.03 8-5 4th 5th place
9 976 2017 Ed 4-6 8th 97.82 0.546 18.88 4-9 13th
10 974 2020 Scott 6-4 5th 101.51 0.540 13.48 7-6 8th