2009 Derrek (through 10 weeks)

5-5 (0.500), 1,010.53 points (101.05 average)

7th place

5.56 expected wins (0.556)

59-51 all-play record (0.536)

-12.6% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 98.07 103.78 Ed -5.71
2 W 113.43 96.95 Allen 16.48
3 L 79.29 93.31 Matt -14.02
4 W 119.18 87.02 Rabbit 32.16 Team Blangums
5 W 108.29 96.73 Kevin 11.56
6 L 96.12 96.50 Dave -0.38
7 L 73.82 81.24 Pat -7.42
8 L 85.27 90.33 Mike R. -5.06
9 W 115.93 82.90 Pulley 33.03
10 W 121.13 116.97 Babel 4.16
11 Rob
12 Ed
13 Allen

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%0123456789100.0%33.73426573426574141.2307692307692300.0%80.5874125874126141.2307692307692310.0%127.44055944055944141.2307692307692320.0%174.29370629370626141.2307692307692330.0%221.14685314685315141.23076923076923427.3%268.076.0061626462734850.0%314.8531468531468141.2307692307692360.0%361.7062937062937141.2307692307692370.0%408.5594405594406141.2307692307692380.0%455.41258741258747141.2307692307692390.0%502.2657342657343141.23076923076923100.0%33.73426573426574141.223646902966100.1%80.5874125874126141.043768394530710.8%127.44055944055944139.2393912211243824.7%174.29370629370626130.1054612509015314.8%221.14685314685315105.8780509482066540.0%268.010.781556061777735528.9%314.853146853146872.0617.2%361.7062937062937100.1141096301171775.4%408.5594405594406128.3389627974858380.8%455.41258741258747139.3048072484510390.0%502.2657342657343141.1248872036234210Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678910Rank by WeekWeek8th11.746153846153845191.860139860139912nd77.002564102564132.4195804195804328th142.2589743589743191.860139860139933rd207.515384615384658.99300699300701542nd272.7717948717948432.4195804195804353rd338.028205128205158.99300699300701567th403.28461538461534165.286713286713378th468.5410256410256191.860139860139985th533.7974358974359112.1398601398601693rd599.05384615384658.993006993007015108th11.746153846153845191.860139860139913rd77.002564102564158.99300699300701529th142.2589743589743218.4335664335664535th207.5153846153846112.1398601398601643rd272.7717948717948458.99300699300701556th338.0282051282051138.7132867132867569th403.28461538461534218.43356643356645710th468.5410256410256245.00699300699389th533.7974358974359218.4335664335664597th599.053846153846165.2867132867133108th11.746153846153845191.860139860139912nd77.002564102564132.4195804195804328th142.2589743589743191.860139860139933rd207.515384615384658.99300699300701542nd272.7717948717948432.4195804195804354th338.028205128205185.5664335664335768th403.28461538461534191.860139860139978th468.5410256410256191.860139860139985th533.7974358974359112.1398601398601696th599.053846153846138.7132867132867510Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.06 6 Frank Gore RB
2.07 19 Marion Barber III K RB
3.06 30 Brandon Marshall WR
4.07 43 Antonio Gates TE
5.06 54 Roddy White K WR
6.07 67 Matt Cassel QB
7.06 78 Devin Hester WR
8.07 91 Tennessee DEF
9.06 102 Steve Breaston WR
10.07 115 David Garrard QB
11.06 126 Rashard Mendenhall RB
12.07 139 Ladell Betts RB
13.06 150 Sidney Rice WR
14.07 163 David Akers K
15.06 174 Brent Celek TE
16.07 187 Robert Meachem WR

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456789100.00029.507692307692306141.2307692307692310.77371.6615384615384787.6846336510146520.000113.8153846153846141.2307692307692330.858155.9692307692307381.8322711532925840.688198.1230769230769293.596456897277550.000240.27692307692305141.2307692307692360.000282.4307692307692141.2307692307692370.000324.58461538461535141.2307692307692380.825366.7384615384615484.1019890067684990.879408.8923076923076780.36838258575838100.50029.507692307692306106.5975636862502510.00071.6615384615384734.1384980712600620.173113.8153846153846129.2303845795652330.000155.9692307692307322.43377307581593540.000198.1230769230769245.96214456378578550.464240.27692307692305109.0739314859497460.119282.4307692307692133.0233505075871470.280324.58461538461535121.851763403934480.000366.7384615384615426.9732087827677790.000408.8923076923076719.5059959407475410Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0066111112345678910030.719230769230762141.2307692307692311074.6038461538461578.293706293706320118.48846153846154141.23076923076923311162.373076923076972.049206.257692307692384.5874125874125950250.14230769230767141.2307692307692360294.026923076923141.2307692307692370337.9115384615384141.2307692307692389381.7961538461538684.5874125874125999425.680769230769284.5874125874125910430.719230769230762116.055944055944051074.6038461538461515.3566433566433621118.48846153846154134.9370629370629330162.37307692307692.769230769230773640206.257692307692327.94405594405594752250.14230769230767128.6433566433566461294.026923076923134.9370629370629373337.9115384615384122.3496503496503580381.7961538461538627.94405594405594790425.680769230769227.94405594405594710All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2009 Derrek 5-5 7th 101.05 0.556 16.30 7-6 5th 3rd place
1 987 2009 Matt 7-3 1st 101.88 0.552 15.79 9-4 2nd Blingabowl II champion
2 980 2013 Mike R. 6-4 4th 100.16 0.558 22.15 7-6 6th 5th place
3 980 2015 Rabbit 5-5 8th 100.63 0.549 18.06 5-8 11th
4 978 2012 Derrek 7-3 5th 98.92 0.550 16.82 8-5 5th 5th place
5 978 2014 Matt 6-4 4th 103.62 0.558 20.50 7-6 6th 4th place
6 974 2020 Pulley 7-3 2nd 103.60 0.549 17.27 8-5 4th 4th place
7 971 2016 Ed 5-5 8th 102.34 0.545 15.98 6-7 9th
8 971 2009 Mike R. 5-5 6th 102.70 0.547 18.80 5-8 10th
9 968 2020 Matt 6-4 4th 104.56 0.552 21.26 8-5 2nd 2nd place
10 967 2017 Rob 6-4 5th 97.38 0.547 16.03 8-5 4th 5th place