2009 Matt (through 10 weeks)

7-3 (0.700), 1,018.83 points

1st place

5.50 expected wins (0.550)

64-46 all-play record (0.582)

+2.3% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 116.27 79.52 Pat 36.75 Team Blangums
2 L 87.78 108.95 Mike R. -21.17
3 W 93.31 79.29 Derrek 14.02
4 W 109.17 105.50 Babel 3.67
5 W 95.19 81.24 Rob 13.95
6 W 101.57 100.86 Ed 0.71
7 W 133.67 109.55 Allen 24.12 Team Blangums
8 W 112.98 95.55 Pulley 17.43
9 L 93.80 114.48 Rabbit -20.68
10 L 75.09 110.15 Kevin -35.06
11 Dave
12 Pat
13 Mike R.

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%0123456789100.0%33.73426573426574141.2307692307692300.0%80.5874125874126141.2307692307692310.0%127.44055944055944141.2307692307692320.0%174.29370629370626141.2307692307692330.0%221.14685314685315141.2307692307692340.0%268.0141.2307692307692350.0%314.8531468531468141.23076923076923616.5%361.706293706293798.2683083657363370.0%408.5594405594406141.2307692307692380.0%455.41258741258747141.2307692307692390.0%502.2657342657343141.23076923076923100.0%33.73426573426574141.2187629156273400.1%80.5874125874126140.8893605942043611.3%127.44055944055944137.9471763188237526.0%174.29370629370626125.62109147047693316.1%221.1468531468531599.10940812492741426.3%268.072.588257120568526.5%314.853146853146872.060.0%361.706293706293755.30584750070343676.0%408.5594405594406125.5291747234724781.2%455.41258741258747138.211497447201290.1%502.2657342657343141.0063582044446710Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678910Rank by WeekWeek1st11.7461538461538455.84615384615386815th77.0025641025641112.1398601398601626th142.2589743589743138.7132867132867537th207.5153846153846165.286713286713344th272.7717948717948485.5664335664335756th338.0282051282051138.7132867132867562nd403.2846153846153432.4195804195804371st468.54102564102565.84615384615386882nd533.797435897435932.4195804195804393rd599.05384615384658.993006993007015101st11.7461538461538455.84615384615386815th77.0025641025641112.1398601398601624th142.258974358974385.5664335664335733rd207.515384615384658.99300699300701542nd272.7717948717948432.4195804195804352nd338.028205128205132.4195804195804361st403.284615384615345.84615384615386871st468.54102564102565.84615384615386882nd533.797435897435932.4195804195804391st599.0538461538465.846153846153868101st11.7461538461538455.84615384615386815th77.0025641025641112.1398601398601626th142.2589743589743138.7132867132867537th207.5153846153846165.286713286713345th272.77179487179484112.1398601398601657th338.0282051282051165.286713286713362nd403.2846153846153432.4195804195804371st468.54102564102565.84615384615386883rd533.797435897435958.99300699300701594th599.05384615384685.5664335664335710Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.01 1 Steven Jackson RB
2.12 24 Wes Welker WR
3.01 25 Pierre Thomas RB
4.12 48 Chad Ochocinco WR
5.01 49 Eddie Royal WR
6.12 72 Larry Johnson RB
7.01 73 Kevin Smith K RB
8.12 96 Philadelphia DEF
9.01 97 Chris Chambers WR
10.12 120 Aaron Rodgers K QB
11.01 121 Kevin Boss TE
12.12 144 Ricky Williams RB
13.01 145 Steve Smith WR
14.12 168 Kyle Orton QB
15.01 169 Earl Bennett WR
16.12 192 Neil Rackers K

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456789100.79829.50769230769230685.9526933178443410.00071.66153846153847141.2307692307692320.415113.8153846153846112.5108528208495430.689155.9692307692307393.5553500176776540.451198.12307692307692109.9993623415323950.554240.27692307692305102.8626382645588360.938282.430769230769276.2931145512399770.747324.5846153846153589.5437837769584380.000366.73846153846154141.2307692307692390.000408.89230769230767141.23076923076923100.00029.50769230769230630.6746174049194310.33071.66153846153847118.3975137633213720.000113.815384615384683.7909364109298530.000155.9692307692307345.8799308045860840.000198.1230769230769278.7679554522955750.000240.2769230769230564.4945072983484160.000282.430769230769211.35545987171070770.000324.5846153846153537.8567983231476380.426366.73846153846154111.7153580988938990.153408.89230769230767130.636768271124810Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week00661111123456789101130.71923076923076272.01074.60384615384615141.2307692307692322118.48846153846154128.6433566433566439162.373076923076984.5874125874125946206.2576923076923103.4685314685314756250.14230769230767103.46853146853147611294.02692307692372.0710337.911538461538478.293706293706380381.79615384615386141.2307692307692390425.6807692307692141.2307692307692310030.7192307692307622.76923076923077361374.60384615384615122.3496503496503520118.48846153846154116.0559440559440530162.373076923076927.94405594405594740206.257692307692365.7062937062937250250.1423076923076765.7062937062937260294.0269230769232.769230769230773670337.911538461538415.3566433566433685381.79615384615386109.7622377622377691425.6807692307692134.9370629370629310All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2009 Matt 7-3 1st 101.88 0.550 15.79 9-4 2nd Blingabowl II champion
1 996 2016 Ed 5-5 8th 102.34 0.549 15.98 6-7 9th
2 994 2009 Derrek 5-5 7th 101.05 0.549 16.30 7-6 5th 3rd place
3 990 2015 Rabbit 5-5 8th 100.63 0.550 18.06 5-8 11th
4 988 2020 Pulley 7-3 2nd 103.60 0.549 17.27 8-5 4th 4th place
5 986 2009 Mike R. 5-5 6th 102.70 0.547 18.80 5-8 10th
6 985 2012 Derrek 7-3 5th 98.92 0.550 16.82 8-5 5th 5th place
7 981 2011 Mike R. 6-4 4th 105.23 0.550 18.24 6-7 9th
8 977 2014 Matt 6-4 4th 103.62 0.554 20.50 7-6 6th 4th place
9 974 2020 Matt 6-4 4th 104.56 0.552 21.26 8-5 2nd 2nd place
10 974 2020 Scott 6-4 5th 101.51 0.540 13.48 7-6 8th