2026 Dave

2-5 (0.286), 589.14 points (84.16 average)

13th place

2.05 expected wins (0.293)

27-64 all-play record (0.297)

+36.2% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 145.51 133.88 Pulley 11.63 Team Blangums
2 L 59.58 100.47 Pat -40.89 Slapped Heartbeat
3 L 66.60 134.30 Mike R. -67.70 Slapped Heartbeat
4 W 128.97 115.95 Ed 13.02
5 L 55.76 90.94 Schertz -35.18 Slapped Heartbeat
6 L 57.32 127.25 Babel -69.93 Slapped Heartbeat
7 L 75.40 98.08 Scott -22.68
8 Derrek
9 Rabbit
10 Rob
11 Matt
12 Pulley
13 Richie
14 Kevin

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%20.0%20.0%40.0%40.0%60.0%60.0%012345670.0%58.38461538461538141.2307692307692300.0%146.84615384615384141.23076923076923170.0%235.3076923076923272.020.0%323.7692307692308141.2307692307692330.0%412.2307692307692141.2307692307692340.0%500.6923076923077141.2307692307692350.0%589.1538461538461141.2307692307692360.0%677.6153846153845141.2307692307692370.4%58.38461538461538140.8673640155135012.2%146.84615384615384129.1498400289191310.0%235.307692307692322.7692307692307736216.4%323.7692307692308125.0202596315565730.9%412.2307692307692140.2943739581100440.0%500.6923076923077141.215812543695950.0%589.1538461538461141.230696569554760.0%677.6153846153845141.230769163089957Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st1234567Rank by WeekWeek1st11.7461538461538455.84615384615381119th109.6307692307692185.7278106508876210th207.5153846153846208.2130177514793310th305.4208.2130177514793412th403.28461538461534253.18343195266272512th501.16923076923075253.18343195266272612th599.053846153846253.1834319526627271st11.7461538461538455.84615384615381117th109.6307692307692140.75739644970415210th207.5153846153846208.213017751479339th305.4185.7278106508876410th403.28461538461534208.2130177514793511th501.16923076923075230.698224852071613th599.053846153846275.668639053254471st11.7461538461538455.84615384615381118th109.6307692307692163.24260355029585210th207.5153846153846208.2130177514793310th305.4208.2130177514793412th403.28461538461534253.18343195266272512th501.16923076923075253.18343195266272612th599.053846153846253.183431952662727Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
1
1
1
7

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.09 9 Ashton Jeanty RB
2.07 21 Nico Collins WR
3.08 36 Tetairoa McMillan WR
4.07 49 D.J. Moore K WR
5.08 64 David Montgomery K RB
5.10 66 Caleb Williams QB
7.08 92 Kyle Monangai RB
9.08 120 Brandon Aubrey K
10.05 131 Houston DEF
10.07 133 T.J. Hockenson TE
11.08 148 Tank Bigsby RB
12.07 161 Malik Willis QB
13.08 176 Adonai Mitchell WR
14.07 189 Terrance Ferguson TE
15.08 204 Jalen Nailor WR
16.07 217 Jaydon Blue RB

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.00012345670.96356.1230769230769374.5664184762211210.000143.81538461538463141.2307692307692320.000231.5076923076923141.2307692307692330.875319.280.6256103251222740.000406.89230769230767141.2307692307692350.000494.5846153846154141.2307692307692360.000582.276923076923141.2307692307692370.00056.123076923076937.90206772167300610.014143.81538461538463140.27822415360120.053231.5076923076923137.568908496402630.000319.220.0204514194753240.001406.89230769230767141.1470449345819750.007494.5846153846154140.7778870998113260.141582.276923076923131.462833550307277Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0077131312345671357.705494505494572.010147.87032967032965141.2307692307692320238.0351648351648141.23076923076923312328.1999999999999377.3254437869822540418.36483516483514141.2307692307692350508.52967032967035141.2307692307692360598.6945054945054141.230769230769237057.70549450549452.769230769230773610147.87032967032965141.2307692307692320238.0351648351648141.2307692307692330328.1999999999999313.4201183431952740418.36483516483514141.2307692307692350508.52967032967035141.2307692307692362598.6945054945054130.579881656804737All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % StDev Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2026 Dave 2-5 13th 84.16 0.293 34.41
1 951 2011 Pat 2-5 12th 84.15 0.310 25.98 5-8 11th
2 949 2023 Scott 2-5 12th 83.81 0.285 18.56 8-6 7th
3 945 2016 Pat 3-4 12th 84.95 0.305 20.03 7-6 7th
4 937 2014 Richie 1-6 14th 81.95 0.285 16.00 6-7 9th
5 931 2015 Derrek 3-4 11th 82.30 0.305 15.56 7-6 7th
6 930 2016 Mike R. 1-6 14th 85.81 0.307 15.67 5-8 11th
7 930 2012 Richie 1-6 13th 83.49 0.308 14.94 1-12 14th
8 922 2022 Pulley 2-5 13th 83.15 0.282 9.25 7-7 8th
9 920 2022 Richie 3-4 12th 83.15 0.280 10.03 6-8 13th
10 911 2010 Pat 1-6 12th 79.96 0.313 17.77 3-10 12th