2009 Mike R. (through 5 weeks)

2-3 (0.400), 492.66 points

9th place

2.66 expected wins (0.531)

32-23 all-play record (0.582)

+16.3% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 82.27 101.19 Allen -18.92
2 W 108.95 87.78 Matt 21.17
3 L 96.83 121.92 Rabbit -25.09
4 L 89.47 105.70 Kevin -16.23
5 W 115.14 93.77 Dave 21.37 Team Blangums
6 Pat
7 Pulley
8 Derrek
9 Babel
10 Rob
11 Ed
12 Allen
13 Matt

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%32.0%32.0%0123450.0%53.25641025641026141.2307692307692300.0%139.15384615384616141.23076923076923131.4%225.0512820512820480.9716884269902320.0%310.94871794871796141.2307692307692330.0%396.84615384615387141.2307692307692340.0%482.7435897435898141.2307692307692351.3%53.25641025641026138.73453491327814011.1%139.15384615384616119.9358824198440210.0%225.0512820512820420.712607623211213236.0%310.9487179487179672.0317.3%396.84615384615387107.9379767825148542.9%482.7435897435898135.729774895980545Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345Rank by WeekWeek9th11.746153846153845218.4335664335664519th158.5730769230769218.4335664335664529th305.4218.4335664335664538th452.226923076923191.860139860139947th599.053846153846165.286713286713359th11.746153846153845218.4335664335664518th158.5730769230769191.8601398601399210th305.4245.006993006993310th452.226923076923245.00699300699349th599.053846153846218.4335664335664559th11.746153846153845218.4335664335664518th158.5730769230769191.860139860139929th305.4218.4335664335664538th452.226923076923191.860139860139947th599.053846153846165.28671328671335Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.03 3 Calvin Johnson WR
2.10 22 Joseph Addai RB
3.03 27 Braylon Edwards WR
4.10 46 Michael Turner K RB
5.03 51 Hines Ward WR
6.10 70 John Carlson TE
7.03 75 Matt Schaub QB
8.10 94 Darren Sproles RB
9.03 99 Baltimore DEF
10.10 118 Sammy Morris RB
11.03 123 Michael Jenkins WR
12.10 142 Chad Pennington QB
13.03 147 Stephen Gostkowski K
14.10 166 Greg Camarillo WR
15.03 171 Leon Washington RB
16.10 190 Donald Lee TE

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123450.00050.58461538461538141.2307692307692310.709134.892307692307792.1207131673316720.000219.2141.2307692307692330.000303.50769230769225141.2307692307692340.805387.815384615384685.4953785544724450.26850.58461538461538122.667710490428810.000134.892307692307743.0106571038941320.498219.2106.7464518410020630.375303.50769230769225115.2355169453002840.000387.815384615384629.7599878781756645Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0066111112345052.661538461538456141.2307692307692319140.4307692307692284.5874125874125920228.20000000000002141.2307692307692330315.9692307692307141.23076923076923411403.738461538461572.05352.661538461538456122.3496503496503510140.4307692307692227.94405594405594725228.20000000000002109.7622377622377634315.9692307692307116.0559440559440540403.73846153846152.76923076923077365All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2009 Mike R. 2-3 9th 98.53 0.531 12.11 5-8 10th
1 986 2010 Derrek 4-1 3rd 97.68 0.531 16.72 7-6 5th 3rd place
2 971 2024 Scott 2-3 8th 97.95 0.532 24.63 5-9 12th
3 970 2009 Rob 3-2 4th 98.80 0.540 17.88 8-5 3rd 4th place
4 970 2008 Kevin 2-3 7th 94.58 0.527 15.10 8-5 3rd 6th place
5 965 2014 Kevin 2-3 10th 99.85 0.520 15.72 4-9 14th
6 957 2010 Babel 2-3 9th 98.59 0.525 27.16 8-5 3rd 6th place
7 956 2020 Scott 3-2 6th 105.87 0.536 14.84 7-6 8th
8 956 2011 Babel 3-2 6th 105.86 0.526 14.08 7-6 7th
9 953 2020 Mike R. 2-3 10th 105.60 0.524 9.72 6-7 11th
10 945 2020 Schertz 2-3 9th 108.01 0.528 17.66 6-7 9th