2010 Derrek (through 5 weeks)

4-1 (0.800), 488.38 points (97.68 average)

3rd place

2.66 expected wins (0.532)

30-25 all-play record (0.545)

-17.8% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 88.82 82.53 Matt 6.29
2 W 101.51 85.30 Rob 16.21
3 W 85.65 84.48 Kevin 1.17
4 W 128.72 90.03 Ed 38.69
5 L 83.68 104.34 Rabbit -20.66
6 Mike R.
7 Babel
8 Pulley
9 Dave
10 Allen
11 Pat
12 Rob
13 Allen

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%32.0%32.0%0123450.0%73.12820512820512141.2307692307692300.0%191.07692307692304141.2307692307692310.0%309.02564102564105141.2307692307692320.0%426.974358974359141.23076923076923316.4%544.9230769230769109.9692918332790240.0%662.8717948717949141.2307692307692350.2%73.12820512820512140.86771506943427010.7%191.07692307692304120.90640433175811133.6%309.0256410256410577.24716358978031236.4%426.97435897435972.030.0%544.923076923076978.7078144357888242.7%662.8717948717949136.175331143753745Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345Rank by WeekWeek7th11.746153846153845165.286713286713318th158.5730769230769191.860139860139927th305.4165.286713286713334th452.22692307692385.5664335664335745th599.053846153846112.1398601398601656th11.746153846153845138.7132867132867514th158.573076923076985.5664335664335722nd305.432.4195804195804331st452.2269230769235.84615384615386843rd599.05384615384658.99300699300701557th11.746153846153845165.286713286713318th158.5730769230769191.860139860139927th305.4165.286713286713336th452.226923076923138.7132867132867547th599.053846153846165.28671328671335Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.10 10 Drew Brees QB
2.03 15 Ryan Grant RB
3.10 34 Chad Ochocinco WR
4.03 39 Donald Driver WR
5.10 58 Kellen Winslow II TE
6.03 63 Brandon Jacobs RB
7.10 82 Braylon Edwards WR
8.03 87 Bernard Berrian WR
9.10 106 Rashard Mendenhall K RB
10.03 111 Darren McFadden RB
11.10 130 Sidney Rice K WR
12.03 135 Willis McGahee RB
13.10 154 Chad Henne QB
14.03 159 Kevin Smith RB
15.10 178 Matt Prater K
16.03 183 Denver DEF

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123450.39473.66153846153847113.9664968205448910.618196.4307692307692498.426520448055320.354319.20000000000005116.695119602706730.981441.9692307692307673.2890717150568840.000564.7384615384616141.2307692307692350.00073.6615384615384786.7022244103205510.000196.4307692307692455.6222716653413620.000319.2000000000000592.1594699746441730.000441.969230769230765.34737419934452940.314564.7384615384616119.504427595629475Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0066111112345575.73846153846152109.7622377622377617201.9692307692307697.1748251748251725328.2109.76223776223776310454.4307692307691678.293706293706340580.6615384615385141.230769230769235075.7384615384615278.2937062937063110201.9692307692307653.1188811188811220328.278.2937062937063130454.4307692307691615.3566433566433643580.6615384615385122.349650349650355All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2010 Derrek 4-1 3rd 97.68 0.532 16.72 7-6 5th 3rd place
1 985 2009 Mike R. 2-3 9th 98.53 0.534 12.11 5-8 10th
2 982 2024 Scott 2-3 8th 97.95 0.533 24.63 5-9 12th
3 981 2008 Kevin 2-3 7th 94.58 0.531 15.10 8-5 3rd 6th place
4 968 2009 Rob 3-2 4th 98.80 0.545 17.88 8-5 3rd 4th place
5 965 2014 Kevin 2-3 10th 99.85 0.520 15.72 4-9 14th
6 962 2020 Scott 3-2 6th 105.87 0.531 14.84 7-6 8th
7 960 2010 Babel 2-3 9th 98.59 0.524 27.16 8-5 3rd 6th place
8 954 2011 Babel 3-2 6th 105.86 0.528 14.08 7-6 7th
9 952 2025 Mike R. 2-3 9th 101.50 0.518 18.81
10 949 2025 Pat 3-2 4th 104.96 0.536 23.47