2010 Derrek (through 5 weeks)

4-1 (0.800), 488.38 points

3rd place

2.65 expected wins (0.531)

30-25 all-play record (0.545)

-17.4% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 88.82 82.53 Matt 6.29
2 W 101.51 85.30 Rob 16.21
3 W 85.65 84.48 Kevin 1.17
4 W 128.72 90.03 Ed 38.69
5 L 83.68 104.34 Rabbit -20.66
6 Mike R.
7 Babel
8 Pulley
9 Dave
10 Allen
11 Pat
12 Rob
13 Allen

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%32.0%32.0%0123450.0%53.25641025641026141.2307692307692300.0%139.15384615384616141.2307692307692310.0%225.05128205128204141.2307692307692320.0%310.94871794871796141.23076923076923316.4%396.84615384615387109.7253308137827640.0%482.7435897435898141.2307692307692350.4%53.25641025641026140.5538655260691011.0%139.15384615384616120.08755296245333133.4%225.0512820512820477.06034087931171236.1%310.9487179487179672.030.0%396.8461538461538778.2198923967962842.7%482.7435897435898136.06899510270665Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345Rank by WeekWeek7th11.746153846153845165.286713286713318th158.5730769230769191.860139860139927th305.4165.286713286713334th452.22692307692385.5664335664335745th599.053846153846112.1398601398601656th11.746153846153845138.7132867132867514th158.573076923076985.5664335664335722nd305.432.4195804195804331st452.2269230769235.84615384615386843rd599.05384615384658.99300699300701557th11.746153846153845165.286713286713318th158.5730769230769191.860139860139927th305.4165.286713286713336th452.226923076923138.7132867132867547th599.053846153846165.28671328671335Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.10 10 Drew Brees QB
2.03 15 Ryan Grant RB
3.10 34 Chad Ochocinco WR
4.03 39 Donald Driver WR
5.10 58 Kellen Winslow II TE
6.03 63 Brandon Jacobs RB
7.10 82 Braylon Edwards WR
8.03 87 Bernard Berrian WR
9.10 106 Rashard Mendenhall K RB
10.03 111 Darren McFadden RB
11.10 130 Sidney Rice K WR
12.03 135 Willis McGahee RB
13.10 154 Chad Henne QB
14.03 159 Kevin Smith RB
15.10 178 Matt Prater K
16.03 183 Denver DEF

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123450.40150.58461538461538113.4594802767816510.611134.892307692307798.9473837062477920.354219.2116.7323728471134830.965303.5076923076922574.3893252184453640.000387.8153846153846141.2307692307692350.00050.5846153846153885.6881913227940810.000134.892307692307756.66399818172635620.000219.292.2339764634577430.000303.507692307692257.54788120612150240.321387.8153846153846118.982486489216635Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0066111112345552.661538461538456109.7622377622377617140.4307692307692297.1748251748251725228.20000000000002109.76223776223776310315.969230769230778.293706293706340403.7384615384615141.230769230769235052.66153846153845678.2937062937063110140.4307692307692253.1188811188811220228.2000000000000278.2937062937063130315.969230769230715.3566433566433643403.7384615384615122.349650349650355All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2010 Derrek 4-1 3rd 97.68 0.531 16.72 7-6 5th 3rd place
1 986 2009 Mike R. 2-3 9th 98.53 0.531 12.11 5-8 10th
2 980 2024 Scott 2-3 8th 97.95 0.532 24.63 5-9 12th
3 977 2008 Kevin 2-3 7th 94.58 0.527 15.10 8-5 3rd 6th place
4 974 2009 Rob 3-2 4th 98.80 0.540 17.88 8-5 3rd 4th place
5 968 2014 Kevin 2-3 10th 99.85 0.520 15.72 4-9 14th
6 964 2010 Babel 2-3 9th 98.59 0.525 27.16 8-5 3rd 6th place
7 956 2017 Schertz 2-3 7th 92.90 0.522 20.33 5-8 10th
8 953 2020 Scott 3-2 6th 105.87 0.536 14.84 7-6 8th
9 952 2011 Babel 3-2 6th 105.86 0.526 14.08 7-6 7th
10 952 2020 Schertz 2-3 9th 108.01 0.528 17.66 6-7 9th