2011 Derrek (through 9 weeks)

5-4 (0.556), 866.61 points

6th place

3.93 expected wins (0.437)

45-54 all-play record (0.455)

+8.0% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 62.28 120.32 Allen -58.04 Slapped Heartbeat
2 W 138.17 104.84 Pat 33.33
3 W 111.02 109.31 Rob 1.71
4 L 96.21 121.00 Babel -24.79
5 W 108.41 92.26 Dave 16.15
6 W 99.76 69.43 Ed 30.33
7 L 59.96 110.89 Matt -50.93
8 L 85.45 106.08 Pulley -20.63
9 W 105.35 94.19 Mike R. 11.16
10 Kevin
11 Rabbit
12 Pulley
13 Allen

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%32.0%32.0%01234567890.0%36.07692307692308141.2307692307692300.0%87.61538461538464141.2307692307692310.0%139.15384615384616141.2307692307692320.0%190.6923076923077141.2307692307692330.0%242.23076923076925141.23076923076923423.0%293.769230769230891.6369612743021750.0%345.3076923076923141.2307692307692360.0%396.8461538461538141.2307692307692370.0%448.3846153846154141.2307692307692380.0%499.9230769230769141.2307692307692390.1%36.07692307692308141.011670193235901.8%87.61538461538464137.3609277854068319.6%139.15384615384616120.49085742243976224.1%190.692307692307789.19813074412632332.1%242.2307692307692572.040.0%293.769230769230842.0431533178350958.2%345.3076923076923123.5104275796561761.1%396.8461538461538138.8202477089409470.0%448.3846153846154141.2242993183495580.0%499.9230769230769141.230769230769239Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st123456789Rank by WeekWeek12th11.746153846153845298.15384615384613110th85.15961538461536245.00699300699328th158.5730769230769191.8601398601399310th231.98653846153846245.00699300699348th305.4191.8601398601399510th378.8134615384615245.006993006993610th452.226923076923245.006993006993710th525.6403846153845245.006993006993810th599.053846153846245.006993006993912th11.746153846153845298.1538461538461318th85.15961538461536191.860139860139925th158.5730769230769112.1398601398601637th231.98653846153846165.286713286713347th305.4165.286713286713353rd378.813461538461558.99300699300701567th452.226923076923165.286713286713378th525.6403846153845191.860139860139986th599.053846153846138.71328671328675912th11.746153846153845298.1538461538461319th85.15961538461536218.4335664335664527th158.5730769230769165.286713286713338th231.98653846153846191.860139860139948th305.4191.860139860139959th378.8134615384615218.43356643356645610th452.226923076923245.006993006993710th525.6403846153845245.006993006993810th599.053846153846245.0069930069939Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.10 10 Philip Rivers QB
2.03 15 Larry Fitzgerald WR
3.10 34 Pittsburgh DEF
4.03 39 BenJarvus Green-Ellis RB
5.10 58 Mario Manningham WR
6.03 63 Sidney Rice WR
7.10 82 Rashard Mendenhall K RB
8.03 87 Owen Daniels TE
9.10 106 Darren McFadden K RB
10.03 111 Joe Flacco QB
11.10 130 Michael Bush RB
12.03 135 Marcedes Lewis TE
13.10 154 Jerome Harrison RB
14.03 159 Jacoby Ford WR
15.10 178 Jerome Simpson WR
16.03 183 Garrett Hartley K

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.0001234567890.00031.84957264957265140.2970360014395210.91478.6871794871794877.463185959651120.671125.524786324786394.1462207703212130.000172.36239316239318140.2970360014395240.630219.296.9906894931147650.475266.03760683760686107.6235844807001760.000312.8752136752136140.2970360014395270.000359.7128205128205140.2970360014395280.577406.5504273504273100.614000842387590.00331.84957264957265140.1092233068910.00078.6871794871794814.62933591786267620.000125.524786324786347.9954055392028930.420172.36239316239318111.404921870128140.000219.253.6843429847899950.000266.0376068376068674.950132959960836-0.007312.8752136752136140.7639026161043670.247359.7128205128205123.335887901845580.000406.550427350427360.930965683335469Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week00661111123456789033.15726495726496141.2307692307692311081.917948717948778.293706293706328130.6786324786324790.8811188811188830179.4393162393162141.2307692307692349228.284.5874125874125955276.96068376068376109.7622377622377660325.7213675213675141.2307692307692370374.4820512820512141.2307692307692385423.242735042735109.762237762237769033.15726495726496141.230769230769231081.917948717948715.3566433566433620130.6786324786324740.5314685314685333179.4393162393162122.3496503496503540228.227.94405594405594750276.9606837606837678.2937062937063162325.7213675213675128.6433566433566473374.4820512820512122.3496503496503580423.24273504273578.293706293706319All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2011 Derrek 5-4 6th 96.29 0.437 23.11 8-5 3rd 6th place
1 975 2013 Rob 5-4 5th 97.87 0.442 27.79 8-5 2nd 2nd place
2 973 2019 Ed 3-6 11th 97.58 0.427 22.27 5-8 11th
3 973 2022 Mike R. 5-4 7th 94.59 0.438 14.38 9-5 2nd Blingabowl XV champion
4 969 2009 Pat 5-4 4th 97.70 0.448 24.57 6-7 8th
5 967 2019 Scott 2-7 14th 94.20 0.425 23.47 4-9 14th
6 965 2019 Rabbit 5-4 8th 97.06 0.429 31.18 6-7 7th
7 964 2018 Babel 3-6 12th 100.80 0.439 16.38 4-9 12th
8 963 2016 Babel 4-5 10th 94.81 0.425 18.58 7-6 6th 6th place
9 962 2017 Richie 4-5 8th 88.33 0.438 21.04 6-7 8th
10 961 2021 Mike R. 1-8 12th 97.29 0.453 22.13 4-10 11th