2018 Pulley (through 8 weeks)

6-2 (0.750), 932.62 points

3rd place

5.11 expected wins (0.638)

65-39 all-play record (0.625)

-12.7% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 103.12 95.06 Richie 8.06
2 W 123.39 76.67 Dave 46.72
3 L 87.17 116.13 Babel -28.96
4 W 131.55 127.35 Ed 4.20
5 W 114.08 100.96 Kevin 13.12
6 L 106.39 112.82 Mike R. -6.43
7 W 137.51 100.32 Pat 37.19
8 W 129.41 81.73 Schertz 47.68
9 Scott
10 Derrek
11 Matt
12 Rabbit
13 Rob

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%0123456780.0%38.940170940170944141.2307692307692300.0%96.20512820512818141.2307692307692310.0%153.47008547008548141.2307692307692320.0%210.73504273504273141.2307692307692330.0%268.0141.2307692307692340.0%325.2649572649573141.23076923076923526.3%382.5299145299145583.2185739269955660.0%439.79487179487177141.2307692307692370.0%497.05982905982904141.2307692307692380.0%38.940170940170944141.211934402399100.2%96.20512820512818140.8233117799046911.6%153.47008547008548137.6195997166515227.7%210.73504273504273124.30438095618129320.5%268.096.01210649520935431.4%325.264957264957372.050.0%382.5299145299145525.20637862322191610.7%439.79487179487177117.7134519844604271.5%497.05982905982904137.987627871451088Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678Rank by WeekWeek6th11.746153846153845118.2721893491124115th95.6472527472527295.786982248520727th179.54835164835166140.7573964497041536th263.44945054945055118.2721893491124145th347.350549450549495.786982248520757th431.2516483516483140.7573964497041564th515.152747252747273.3017751479289972nd599.05384615384628.33136094674557686th11.746153846153845118.2721893491124115th95.6472527472527295.786982248520727th179.54835164835166140.7573964497041534th263.4494505494505573.3017751479289943rd347.350549450549450.81656804733728455th431.251648351648395.786982248520764th515.152747252747273.3017751479289973rd599.05384615384650.81656804733728486th11.746153846153845118.2721893491124115th95.6472527472527295.786982248520728th179.54835164835166163.2426035502958536th263.44945054945055118.2721893491124146th347.3505494505494118.2721893491124157th431.2516483516483140.7573964497041565th515.152747252747295.786982248520773rd599.05384615384650.8165680473372848Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.12 12 Todd Gurley II K RB
2.03 17 T.Y. Hilton WR
3.12 40 Chris Hogan WR
4.03 45 Jimmy Graham TE
5.12 68 Will Fuller V WR
6.03 73 Andrew Luck QB
7.12 96 Marqise Lee WR
8.03 101 Adrian Peterson RB
9.12 124 Latavius Murray RB
10.03 129 Ty Montgomery RB
11.12 152 Frank Gore RB
12.03 157 Baltimore DEF
13.12 180 Dez Bryant WR
14.03 185 Jimmy Garoppolo K QB
15.12 208 Matt Prater K
16.03 213 Spencer Ware RB

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456780.47134.776923076923076108.6262410439199610.76187.4692307692307688.5343172093828620.000140.16153846153844141.2307692307692330.818192.8538461538461884.579572020231940.659245.5461538461538695.6028560244745350.000298.2384615384615141.2307692307692360.848350.9307692307691682.534014163774570.805403.623076923076985.4659804246967780.00034.77692307692307676.021712857070710.00087.4692307692307635.8378651879965120.209140.16153846153844126.7407922838815830.000192.8538461538461827.9283748096945640.000245.5461538461538649.97494281817985550.533298.2384615384615104.3305695453594260.000350.9307692307691623.83725909677977570.000403.623076923076929.701191618624328Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0077131312345678836.2048076923076998.6272189349112411091.0605769230769287.9763313609467420145.91634615384615141.2307692307692339200.7721153846153893.3017751479289949255.627884615384693.3017751479289950310.48365384615386141.23076923076923612365.339423076923177.32544378698225711420.195192307692382.65088757396458036.2048076923076956.023668639053241091.0605769230769234.7218934911242523145.91634615384615125.2544378698224830200.7721153846153845.37278106508874540255.627884615384645.37278106508874553310.48365384615386125.2544378698224860365.339423076923113.4201183431952770420.195192307692324.0710059171597528All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2018 Pulley 6-2 3rd 116.58 0.638 15.93 9-4 3rd 6th place
1 968 2023 Mike R. 5-3 4th 111.25 0.643 16.13 7-7 8th
2 966 2021 Schertz 6-2 2nd 116.73 0.650 20.89 9-5 7th
3 965 2018 Kevin 5-3 5th 114.71 0.628 12.11 7-6 6th 3rd place
4 965 2014 Dave 4-4 6th 110.90 0.638 21.87 7-6 4th 6th place
5 960 2019 Matt 5-3 3rd 111.92 0.646 18.06 8-5 2nd 2nd place
6 959 2020 Ed 2-6 13th 111.90 0.649 15.58 4-9 13th
7 958 2019 Derrek 5-3 4th 111.90 0.646 12.29 7-6 6th 3rd place
8 958 2021 Richie 6-2 3rd 116.15 0.653 21.57 9-5 5th 6th place
9 955 2022 Scott 5-3 2nd 112.46 0.647 21.67 6-8 10th
10 955 2016 Dave 5-3 2nd 110.81 0.644 21.36 6-7 8th