2011 Derrek (through 7 weeks)

4-3 (0.571), 675.81 points

7th place

3.04 expected wins (0.434)

37-40 all-play record (0.481)

+9.0% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 62.28 120.32 Allen -58.04 Slapped Heartbeat
2 W 138.17 104.84 Pat 33.33
3 W 111.02 109.31 Rob 1.71
4 L 96.21 121.00 Babel -24.79
5 W 108.41 92.26 Dave 16.15
6 W 99.76 69.43 Ed 30.33
7 L 59.96 110.89 Matt -50.93
8 Pulley
9 Mike R.
10 Kevin
11 Rabbit
12 Pulley
13 Allen

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%32.0%32.0%012345670.0%42.519230769230774141.2307692307692300.0%106.9423076923077141.2307692307692310.0%171.3653846153846141.2307692307692320.0%235.78846153846152141.23076923076923327.0%300.211538461538591.1284812389969540.0%364.6346153846155141.2307692307692350.0%429.0576923076924141.2307692307692360.0%493.4807692307693141.2307692307692370.4%42.519230769230774140.503569714284305.7%106.9423076923077130.6656496107011122.6%171.365384615384699.29880120717047237.3%235.7884615384615272.030.0%300.211538461538541.026193247224747.1%364.6346153846155128.1200241194135950.0%429.0576923076924141.2307692307692360.0%493.4807692307693141.230769230769237Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st1234567Rank by WeekWeek12th11.746153846153845298.15384615384613110th109.6307692307692245.00699300699328th207.5153846153846191.8601398601399310th305.4245.00699300699348th403.28461538461534191.8601398601399510th501.16923076923075245.006993006993610th599.053846153846245.006993006993712th11.746153846153845298.1538461538461318th109.6307692307692191.860139860139925th207.5153846153846112.1398601398601637th305.4165.286713286713347th403.28461538461534165.286713286713353rd501.1692307692307558.99300699300701567th599.053846153846165.2867132867133712th11.746153846153845298.1538461538461319th109.6307692307692218.4335664335664527th207.5153846153846165.286713286713338th305.4191.860139860139948th403.28461538461534191.860139860139959th501.16923076923075218.43356643356645610th599.053846153846245.0069930069937Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.10 10 Philip Rivers QB
2.03 15 Larry Fitzgerald WR
3.10 34 Pittsburgh DEF
4.03 39 BenJarvus Green-Ellis RB
5.10 58 Mario Manningham WR
6.03 63 Sidney Rice WR
7.10 82 Rashard Mendenhall K RB
8.03 87 Owen Daniels TE
9.10 106 Darren McFadden K RB
10.03 111 Joe Flacco QB
11.10 130 Michael Bush RB
12.03 135 Marcedes Lewis TE
13.10 154 Jerome Harrison RB
14.03 159 Jacoby Ford WR
15.10 178 Jerome Simpson WR
16.03 183 Garrett Hartley K

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.00012345670.00038.54065934065934138.9354678959678610.90498.7604395604395577.4090987171159520.661158.9802197802197693.9269662871518630.000219.19999999999996138.9354678959678640.620279.419780219780296.7432738836667750.465339.6395604395604107.2708998992106360.000399.8593406593406138.935467895967867-0.00738.54065934065934139.4349207832182710.00098.7604395604395515.88272953826404420.000158.9802197802197648.9184646783358530.410219.19999999999996111.0148008707681740.000279.419780219780254.5510798713656950.000339.639560439560475.60633190245346-0.017399.8593406593406140.083118563368547Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week006611111234567040.12307692307692141.23076923076923110102.815384615384678.293706293706328165.5076923076922890.8811188811188830228.19999999999996141.2307692307692349290.892307692307784.5874125874125955353.5846153846154109.7622377622377660416.2769230769231141.230769230769237040.12307692307692141.2307692307692310102.815384615384615.3566433566433620165.5076923076922840.5314685314685333228.19999999999996122.3496503496503540290.892307692307727.94405594405594750353.584615384615478.2937062937063162416.2769230769231128.643356643356647All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2011 Derrek 4-3 7th 96.54 0.434 25.65 8-5 3rd 6th place
1 997 2023 Schertz 4-3 7th 96.72 0.433 26.49 6-8 9th
2 979 2020 Derrek 4-3 6th 97.57 0.431 19.95 8-5 5th 5th place
3 973 2019 Babel 4-3 7th 98.04 0.428 20.66 8-5 5th 5th place
4 971 2011 Kevin 3-4 10th 99.79 0.439 28.06 6-7 8th
5 968 2024 Matt 3-4 10th 94.93 0.444 23.35 8-6 6th
6 967 2013 Rabbit 2-5 13th 94.90 0.422 27.56 5-8 11th
7 955 2018 Rabbit 3-4 9th 102.21 0.427 21.01 7-6 7th
8 955 2024 Richie 3-4 8th 99.70 0.449 26.26 8-6 5th
9 954 2012 Dave 3-4 8th 92.71 0.446 22.57 6-7 7th
10 949 2019 Kevin 4-3 5th 104.06 0.435 35.08 6-7 8th