2020 Derrek (through 7 weeks)

4-3 (0.571), 682.98 points

6th place

3.01 expected wins (0.431)

42-49 all-play record (0.462)

-8.9% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 120.29 89.64 Mike R. 30.65
2 W 120.45 115.27 Ed 5.18
3 L 94.86 115.20 Pulley -20.34
4 L 77.59 103.54 Rob -25.95
5 L 72.78 94.18 Babel -21.40
6 W 117.52 105.43 Pat 12.09
7 W 79.49 65.33 Dave 14.16
8 Kevin
9 Matt
10 Richie
11 Schertz
12 Scott
13 Rabbit

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%32.0%32.0%012345670.0%42.519230769230774141.2307692307692300.0%106.9423076923077141.2307692307692310.0%171.3653846153846141.2307692307692320.0%235.78846153846152141.23076923076923324.6%300.211538461538597.6204514638540440.0%364.6346153846155141.2307692307692350.0%429.0576923076924141.2307692307692360.0%493.4807692307693141.2307692307692370.5%42.519230769230774140.287809829656805.9%106.9423076923077130.79709568209137123.4%171.365384615384699.80666565901717239.1%235.7884615384615271.9999999999999930.0%300.211538461538554.01013369693886545.9%364.6346153846155130.7879367189881350.6%429.0576923076924140.2079571286875560.0%493.4807692307693141.19688994397827Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st1234567Rank by WeekWeek2nd11.74615384615384528.33136094674557612nd109.630769230769228.33136094674557625th207.515384615384695.7869822485207310th305.4208.2130177514793412th403.28461538461534253.18343195266272510th501.16923076923075208.2130177514793610th599.053846153846208.213017751479372nd11.74615384615384528.33136094674557611st109.63076923076925.84615384615381125th207.515384615384695.786982248520738th305.4163.24260355029585411th403.28461538461534230.69822485207159th501.16923076923075185.727810650887666th599.053846153846118.2721893491124172nd11.74615384615384528.33136094674557613rd109.630769230769250.81656804733728425th207.515384615384695.7869822485207310th305.4208.2130177514793412th403.28461538461534253.18343195266272511th501.16923076923075230.698224852071611th599.053846153846230.6982248520717Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.12 12 Christian McCaffrey K RB
2.03 17 Adam Thielen WR
3.12 40 Jonathan Taylor RB
4.03 45 T.Y. Hilton WR
5.12 68 Diontae Johnson WR
6.03 73 Tyler Higbee TE
7.12 96 Robbie Chosen WR
8.03 101 Daniel Jones QB
9.12 124 James Conner K RB
10.03 129 Justin Jefferson WR
11.12 152 Pittsburgh DEF
12.03 157 Benny Snell, Jr. RB
13.12 180 Nyheim Hines RB
14.03 185 Denzel Mims WR
15.12 208 Jimmy Garoppolo QB
16.03 213 Matt Prater K

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.00012345670.78038.5406593406593487.2187649139154610.78298.7604395604395587.0823943901516320.000158.98021978021976141.2307692307692330.000219.19999999999996141.2307692307692340.000279.4197802197802141.2307692307692350.746339.639560439560489.5597922385278260.141399.8593406593406131.4596356649634970.00038.5406593406593433.2067605970616910.00098.7604395604395532.9340195495340420.380158.98021978021976114.9019812379722430.118219.19999999999996133.0392608985611740.066279.4197802197802136.6530797783025550.000339.639560439560437.8888152462864160.000399.8593406593406121.688502099157767Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0077131312345671240.1230769230769277.3254437869822519102.815384615384693.3017751479289920165.50769230769228141.2307692307692330228.19999999999996141.2307692307692340290.8923076923077141.23076923076923512353.584615384615477.3254437869822563416.2769230769231125.254437869822487040.1230769230769213.4201183431952710102.815384615384645.37278106508874524165.50769230769228119.9289940828402331228.19999999999996135.9053254437869841290.8923076923077135.9053254437869850353.584615384615413.4201183431952760416.2769230769231109.278106508875747All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2020 Derrek 4-3 6th 97.57 0.431 19.95 8-5 5th 5th place
1 992 2019 Babel 4-3 7th 98.04 0.428 20.66 8-5 5th 5th place
2 979 2011 Derrek 4-3 7th 96.54 0.434 25.65 8-5 3rd 6th place
3 978 2023 Schertz 4-3 7th 96.72 0.433 26.49 6-8 9th
4 972 2018 Rabbit 3-4 9th 102.21 0.427 21.01 7-6 7th
5 962 2020 Matt 3-4 11th 97.84 0.413 20.33 8-5 2nd 2nd place
6 958 2013 Rabbit 2-5 13th 94.90 0.422 27.56 5-8 11th
7 957 2011 Kevin 3-4 10th 99.79 0.439 28.06 6-7 8th
8 956 2024 Matt 3-4 10th 94.93 0.444 23.35 8-6 6th
9 955 2019 Ed 3-4 10th 95.81 0.413 21.44 5-8 11th
10 953 2008 Matt 1-6 12th 88.54 0.429 16.35 3-10 12th